Skip to main content
Log in

Additive kernel estimates of returns to schooling

  • Published:
Empirical Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this paper, we employ a partially linear nonparametric additive regression estimator, with recent U.S. Current Population Survey data, to analyze returns to schooling. Similar to previous research, we find that blacks and Hispanics have higher rates of return on average. However, for married males, while non-Hispanic whites have lower returns on average, they typically possess the highest returns in the sample. For females, we are able to show that Hispanics have uniformly higher returns over non-Hispanic whites for the full sample. When we restrict our analysis to females whose highest level of education is a high school diploma, we find average, but no longer uniformly higher returns. However, these uniformly higher returns resurface for college graduates.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. For completeness, we also obtained empirical results with an additive local-linear estimator which are available by request. Most of the results are similar, but we do find some differences which we report in Sect. 5.2.4.

  2. Non-Hispanic whites will be referred to as whites hereafter.

  3. These authors also use a cross-validation procedure which could possibly lead to a poor stochastic bandwidth choice.

  4. See Henderson and Parmeter (2014) or Li and Racine (2007) for the general case.

  5. The second step can alternatively be estimated using local-linear least squares regression (see Martins-Filho and Yang 2007).

  6. Note that the aforementioned papers are primarily concerned with sample selection problems.

  7. We choose to solely focus on the returns to schooling variable: \(\partial \ln \left( \hbox {earnings}\right) /\partial \hbox {schooling}\). The other estimates, such as for the control variables, are in line with the literature and are available upon request.

  8. We also performed specification tests for our preferred semiparametric model versus a nonparametric alternative and failed to reject the null that the semiparametric model was correctly specified in 10 of the 12 cases—the exceptions being white married males and single black males.

  9. In the stochastic dominance literature, it is common to use the cutoff value of one-half (\(0.50\)) for \(p\)-values (e.g., Eren and Henderson 2008).

References

  • Basu R, Ullah A (1992) Chinese earnings-age profile: a nonparametric analysis. J Int Trade Econ Dev 1:151–165

    Google Scholar 

  • Belman D, Heywood J (1991) Sheepskin effects in the return to education. Rev Econ Stat 73:720–724

  • Brand JE, Xie Y (2010) Who benefits from college? Evidence for negative selection in heterogeneous economic returns to higher education. Am Sociol Rev 75:273–302

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buchinsky M (1998) The dynamics of changes in the female wage distribution in the USA: a quantile regression approach. J Appl Econom 13:1–30

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buja A, Hastie TJ, Tibshirani RJ (1989) Linear smoothers and additive models. Ann Stat 17:453–555

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cai Z (2002) A two-stage approach to additive time-series models. Stat Neerl 56:415–433

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Card D (2008) Returns to schooling. In: Durlauf SN, Blume LE (eds) The New Palgrave dictionary of economics, 2nd edn. Palgrave Macmillan, NY

    Google Scholar 

  • Card D (1999) The causal effect of education on earnings. In: Ashenfelter O, Card D (eds) Handbook of labor economics. Elsevier, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Card D (2001) Estimating the return to schooling: progress on some persistent econometric problems. Econometrica 69:1127–1160

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Card D, Krueger AB (1992a) Does school quality matter: returns to education and the characteristics of public schools in the United States. J Polit Econ 100:1–40

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Card D, Krueger AB (1992b) School quality and black-white relative earnings: a direct assessment. Q J Econ 107:151–200

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duncan B, Hotz VJ, Trejo SJ (2006) Hispanics in the U.S. labor market. In: Tienda M, Mitchell F (eds) Hispanics and future of America. The National Academies Press, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Eren O, Henderson DJ (2008) The impact of homework on student achievement. Econom J 11:326–348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Griliches Z (1977) Estimating the returns to schooling: some econometric problems. Econometrica 45:1–22

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harmon C, Hogan V, Walker I (2003) Dispersion in the economic return to schooling. Labour Econ 10:205–214

  • Heckman J, Lochner L, Todd P (2003) Fifty years of mincer earnings regressions. Technical Report 9732, National Bureau of Economic Research

  • Heckman J, Lochner L, Todd P (2006) Earnings functions, rates of return and treatment effects: the Mincer equation and beyond. In: Hanushek EA and Welch F (eds) Handbook of the Economics of Education, vol 1. North Holland, pp 307–458

  • Heckman J, Lochner L, Todd P (2008) Earnings functions and rates of return. J Hum Cap 2:1–31

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heckman J, Polachek SW (1974) Empirical evidence on functional form of the earnings schooling relationship. J Am Stat Assoc 69:350–354

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Henderson DJ, Maasoumi E (2014) Searching for rehabilitation in nonparametric regression models with exogenous treatment assignment. In: Racine JS, Su L and Ullah A (eds) Oxford Handbook of Nonparametric and Semiparametric Econometrics and Statistics. Oxford University Press, pp 501–520

  • Henderson DJ, Parmeter CF (2014) Applied nonparametric econometrics. Cambridge University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson DJ, Polachek SW, Wang L (2011) Heterogeneity in schooling rates of return. Econ Educ Rev 30:1202–1214

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Imbens G, Angrist J (1994) Identification and estimation of local average treatment effects. Econometrica 62:467–476

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kim W, Linton OB, Hengartner NW (1999) A computationally efficient estimator for additive nonparametric regression with bootstrap confidence intervals. J Comput Graph Stat 8:278–297

    Google Scholar 

  • King M, Tertilt M (2003) IPUMS-CPS: an integrated version of the march current population survey 1962–2002. Hist Methods 36:35–40

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • King M, Ruggles S, Alexander JT, Flood S, Genadek K, Schroeder MB, Trampe B, Vick R (2010) Integrated use microdata series, current population survey: Version 3.0. [Machine-Readable Database]. University of Minnesota, Minneapolis

  • Koop G, Tobias J (2004) Learning about heterogeneity in returns to schooling. J Appl Econom 19:827–849

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Landale NS, Oropesa RS, Bradatan C (2006) Hispanic families in the United States: family structure and process in an era of family change. In: Tienda M, Mitchell F (eds) Hispanics and future of America. The National Academies Press, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Lemieux T, Card D (2001) Education, earnings, and the ‘Canadian G.I. Bill’. Can J Econ 34:313–344

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li Q, Racine J (2007) Nonparametric econometrics: theory and practice. Princeton University Press, Princeton

  • Linton O (1997) Efficient estimation of additive nonparametric regression models. Biometrika 84:469–474

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Linton O (2000) Efficient estimation of generalized additive nonparametric regression models. Econom Theory 16:502–523

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Linton O, Mammen E (2008) Nonparametric transformation to white noise. J Econom 142:241–264

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Linton O, Nielsen JP (1995) A kernel method of estimating structured nonparametric regression based on marginal integration. Biometrika 82:93–100

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mammen E, Linton O, Nielsen J (1999) The existence and asymptotic properties of a backfitting projection algorithm under weak conditions. Ann Stat 27:1443–1490

    Google Scholar 

  • Mammen E, Park BU, Schienle M (2012) Additive models: extensions and related models. In: Su L, Racine J, Ullah A (eds) Handbook of applied nonparametric and semiparametric econometrics and statistics. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Manzan S, Zerom D (2005) Kernel estimation of a partially linear additive model. Stat Probab Lett 72:313–322

  • Martins FOM (2001) Parametric and semiparametric estimation of sample selection models: an empirical application to the female labor force in Portugal. J Appl Econom 16:23–39

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martins-Filho C, Yang K (2007) Finite sample performance of kernel-based regression methods for nonparametric additive models under common bandwidth selection criterion. J Nonparametr Stat 19:23–62

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mincer J (1974) Schooling, experience, and earnings. Columbia University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Murphy KM, Welch F (1990) Empirical age-earnings profiles. J Labor Econ 8:202–209

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Newey W (1994) Kernel estimation of partial means. Econom Theory 10:233–253

    Google Scholar 

  • Park JH (1994) Estimation of sheepskin effects and returns to schooling using the old and the new CPS measures of educational attainment. Working Paper #338, Princeton University (Industrial Section)

  • Polachek SW (1975) Differences in expected post-school investment and determinant of market wage differentials. Int Econ Rev 16:451–470

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Polachek SW (2008) Earnings over the life cycle: the Mincer earnings function and its applications. Found Trends Microecon 4:165–272

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Robinson PM (1988) Root-n consistent semiparametric regression. Econometrica 56:931–954

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schick A (1996) Root-n consistent and efficient estimation in semiparametric additive regression models. Stat Probab Lett 30:45–51

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Severance-Lossin E, Sperlich S (1999) Estimation of derivatives for additive separable models. Statistics 33:241–265

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schneider B, Martinez S, Owens A (2006) Barriers to educational opportunities for Hispanics in the United States. In: Tienda M, Mitchell F (eds) Hispanics and future of America. The National Academies Press, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Spence M (1973) Job market signaling. Q J Econ 87:355–374

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stock JH, Watson MW (2007) Introduction to econometrics. Q J Econ 87:355–374

    Google Scholar 

  • Stone C (1980) Optimal rates of convergence for nonparametric estimators. Ann Stat 8:1348–1360

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stone C (1985) Additive regression and other nonparametric models. Ann Stat 13:689–705

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tjøstheim D, Auestad B (1994) Nonparametric identification of nonlinear time-series projections. J Am Stat Assoc 89:1389–1409

    Google Scholar 

  • Ullah A (1985) Specification analysis of econometric models. J Quant Econ 1:187–209

    Google Scholar 

  • Welch F (1973) Black and white differences in returns to schooling. Am Econ Rev 63:893–907

    Google Scholar 

  • Yang L, Sperlich S, Hardle W (2003) Derivative estimation and testing in generalized additive models. J Stat Plan Inference 115:521–542

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Daniel J. Henderson.

Additional information

The authors would like to thank two anonymous referees, Subal Kumbhakar, Essie Maasoumi, Chris Parmeter, Sol Polachek and Le Wang for useful comments and suggestions as well as participants in presentations made at the State University of New York at Binghamton, Syracuse University, the University of Alabama and at the 2011 Midwest Econometric Group (University of Chicago). The R code used in this paper is available from the authors upon request.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ozabaci, D., Henderson, D.J. Additive kernel estimates of returns to schooling. Empir Econ 48, 227–251 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-014-0877-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-014-0877-8

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation