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Uncertainty and front-end loading of labor agreements

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Abstract

Uncertainty of future prices is offered as an explanation for front-end loading of real wages in nominal wage contracts. Exploitation of mutually beneficial gains from trade between risk-neutral employers and employees implies an expected future real wage that is lower the greater is the uncertainty of future prices, and the observed extent of front-end loading is consistent with plausible values of uncertainty of future prices.

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References

  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.Current Wage Developments. Washington, D.C., September 1977, April 1982.

  • Hall, R. E. and D. M. Lilien. “Efficient Wage Bargains under Uncertain Supply and Demand.”American Economic Review (December 1979), pp. 868–879.

  • Maddala, G. S.Econometrics. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1977.

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I would like to thank, without implicating, M. L. Burstein, George Fallis, and an anonymous referee for helpful comments.

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Beare, J.B. Uncertainty and front-end loading of labor agreements. Journal of Labor Research 6, 113–117 (1985). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02685156

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02685156

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