Introduction

Motivation

Subsea processing is a relatively new approach for recovering oil resources and may be a key enabler for many challenging field developments. It can be defined as the handling, treatment and production of produced fluids on the seabed. Typical examples include separation, compression and pumping processes. Subsea processing can be very advantageous for deeper waters, and to make marginal fields profitable, so its usage is expected to increase in the future. Here, we want to investigate the impacts of subsea processing in the layout optimization of subsea systems. To this end, a mixed-integer nonlinear (MINLP) model which contains subsea processing equipment options is solved to find the global optimum design of the field layout.

The oil and gas industry has the ambition to expand the use of subsea processing in existing and future fields, as seen around the world in the last years. Figure 1a shows the number of subsea processing units for several locations around the world. Most of the deployments are concentrated in Norway, UK, Brazil and USA. Figure 1b shows the number of planned and existing subsea processing units in time depicting water depth, while Fig. 1c shows the existing and planned subsea processing units in time depicting tieback distance. There is a significant increase in the use of subsea processing in the last two decades along with water depth and tie-back distance.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Current subsea trends. Data extracted from Offshore Magazine (2020)

There are many advantages of using subsea processing. It increases safety (due to fewer personnel travelling and having contact with equipment), increased recovery, and ultimately economic value. The benefits also increase with flow-rates, water depth, and the exploitation of marginal fields (Albuquerque et al. 2013; John et al. 2018). It also can reduce the waste disposal to the sea, operational risks (as the processing equipment is on the seabed) and the environmental footprint, as smaller platforms, or none at all, are used.

Subsea processing may reduce capital expenditures (CAPEX), as it allows to connect satellite fields to existing infrastructure nearby, often extending their lifetime. Adding subsea processing may also postpone the need to upgrade the existing topside facilities to handle new operating conditions. This is especially important when upgrading topside facilities is not feasible due to space restrictions, and building another topside is the only option, thus dramatically reducing cost and the environmental impact related to manufacturing.

The use of subsea processing, however, creates new challenges that neither existed nor were required in earlier projects (Moreno-Trejo et al. 2012; Økland et al. 2013). Determining the optimal layout of the subsea processing system, type and number of equipment, operating conditions and capacity, is one of them. Several studies have previously considered layout optimization of petroleum production systems, but mostly focused on topside or equipment location, without a specific focus on subsea processing systems and equipment allocation (Hong et al. 2017; Liu et al. 2022; Mnasri et al. 2022).

Previous work

In the following part, we will limit our review to studies dealing with methods based on numerical optimization and mathematical programming to provide decision support when designing and operating petroleum production systems.

Studies in this area started arranging the subsea equipment as a secondary objective, while the topside arrangement was prioritized. Devine and Lesso (1972) employed a general model to minimize oil field development costs, but the only subsea facilities considered were flow-lines. The first relevant work in optimization of subsea layout was published by Grimmett and Startzman (1987), where a binary programming approach was employed for sizing and placing topside and subsea facilities (i.e. platforms, templates and manifolds). As binary implicit enumeration was used, the method managed to find the absolute minimum investment development plan, but even the small-sized case study contained nearly \(10^{190}\) development options, making it unfeasible for large applications. Later research (Garcia-Diaz et al. 1996) was conducted to overcome this and other problems.

Rosa and Ferreira Filho (2013), Rodrigues et al. (2016) and Sales et al. (2018) proposed methods of optimizing subsea layout by locating and allocating topsides and manifolds. Rosa and Ferreira Filho (2013) developed an exhaustive search model that maximizes NPV, while Rodrigues et al. (2016) proposed an integer linear programming model for the same problem. Sales et al. (2018) proposed a Monte Carlo simulation approach combined with a genetic algorithm to address uncertainties in the placement of topsides and manifolds. In these studies, no other subsea equipment was considered besides flow-lines and manifolds.

Recently published works focus on optimizing gathering systems (i.e. spatially optimizing networks of flow-lines, pipelines, and manifolds). Fonseca dos Santos et al. (2017) proposed an evolutionary algorithm to find the best position for the topside and subsea equipment, while considering marine geology, environmental constraints, offshore operations, risers anchoring, and others. Stape et al. (2019) analysed the selection of manifold and trunk line strategies and their impact on costs and production rates using a genetic algorithm. They also observed that uncertainties play a key role in the optimum layout. This and other recent studies (Chidiac et al. 2019; González et al. 2020; Angga and Stanko 2021; Sales et al. 2021; Bilal et al. 2021) focus on other aspects of field development without addressing subsea design.

Díaz Arias et al. (2021) avoids the use of a superstructure approach by combining evolutionary algorithms (EA) and commercial simulation software to automate and optimize concept selection and field architecture design when considering decentralized subsea processing modules. The algorithm solves the field layout design problem with a great deal of precision, but it does require high computational effort.

One major point lacking in previous studies is that the subsea design does not include the presence of subsea processing equipment. To overcome this, Krogstad (2018) and Díaz Arias et al. (2021) dealt with the optimization of subsea processing systems. Krogstad (2018) proposed an MINLP model using the concept of superstructures to maximize the NPV of the planning and development of offshore oil field structures, considering a wide range of subsea equipment. The approach managed to obtain optimum solutions, along with useful insights, in short time. The main objective of this research is to expand and continue this study.

Main contributions

In this work, we continue and expand the model presented by Krogstad (2018). An MINLP optimization model where we maximize the net present value (NPV) of the project by varying the layout, flow-rates, equipment capacity, and system pressure is proposed. The model is constrained by production potential equations, compressor, pump and multiphase pump duties, equipment cost, reliability and maintenance aspects, and discharge equations. While Krogstad (2018) successfully optimizes the subsea field layout, we propose some key improvements in this model. Our contributions are the following:

  • To model the production deliverability of the system upstream the subsea station, we employ a deliverability equation that depends on the recovery factor and inlet pressure to the subsea station;

  • We consider that the pressure at the outlet of the subsea station depends on the produced flow-rates of oil, gas and water;

  • We estimate the duty of the multiphase booster with a more rigorous method using correlations derived from HYSYS instead of using dry gas equations;

  • We include maintenance and reliability aspects by adding penalties to uptime and operational expenditures due to the presence of equipment.

In the next section, the optimization model is presented. After, we show and discuss the results of the case study, then we conclude about the model’s performance and its applicability, relevance and potential advantages for subsea layout optimization.

Methodology

Optimization model

General approach

We approach the problem of subsea processing optimization using a superstructure approach. Superstructures represent all solutions expected by the designer combined. This approach was initially used for process synthesis in chemical engineering plants (Umeda et al. 1972) and still is widely applied. Figure 2 illustrates the subsea layout superstructure used in the present study. The superstructure accounts for subsea separation (cooler and separator), boosting (compressor, multiphase and oil pump), and surface equipment (risers and topside separator). If multiphase flow is chosen, a separator must be installed at the FPSO. Else, the pressure of the phases must be increased separately by installing an oil pump and a gas compressor. A cooler is installed to condense out any remaining liquid before the compression. The condensed liquid is then commingled with the oil flow to the pump. All the fluids are produced to an FPSO.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Superstructure with subsea processing. The arrows point the flow direction between the units. The nodes represent mixing or splitting points

We propose an MINLP model to find the combination of equipment that maximizes NPV. The decision variables are the selected equipment in the superstructure, the flow-rates, equipment capacity, and system pressure. The constraints are the reservoir deliverability, compressor, pump and multiphase pump duties, equipment cost, reliability and maintenance aspects, and discharge equations.

In the formulation, oil, gas and water rates are treated in units of mass over time, instead of standard volume over time. The main equations of the optimization model are shown below. More details are provided in Appendix A and Appendix C and in the work by Krogstad (2018). Due to nonlinearities in the equations and the binary variables regarding equipment presence, the problem is formulated as an MINLP.

All the flows are represented by continuous variables \({\textbf{x}}\). The subsea equipment (separator, compressor, pumps, and others) are represented by binary variables \({\textbf{y}}\). The optimal solution is represented by the set of optimal flow-rates, system pressure, equipment, and equipment capacity.

The mass balance in the nodes of the superstructure shown in Fig. 2 can be modelled by a set of linear equations represented by the equation below, that involves the matrix \({\textbf{A}}\), the flow-rates \({\textbf{x}}(t)\), and the right-hand side of the balance, \({\textbf{b}}(t)\)

$$\begin{aligned} {{\textbf{A}}}{{\textbf{x}}}(t) = {\textbf{b}}(t) \end{aligned}$$
(1)

Economic optimization criteria

The objective function (Eq. 2) is set to maximize the NPV of the project, where \(C_0\) is the initial investment, CF(t) is the cash flow for the time step t, and r the interest rate.

$$\begin{aligned} \max {\textrm{NPV}} = - \frac{C_0}{1 + r} + \sum _t \frac{\textrm{CF}(t)}{{\left( {1 + r} \right) }^t}\text { [million USD]} \end{aligned}$$
(2)

The cash flow \(\textrm{CF}(t)\) is defined as the difference between the revenue and operating costs (in million dollars)

$$\begin{aligned}{} {} {\textrm{CF}}(t) &= \left( \frac{\textrm{O}(t)}{\rho _{\textrm{o,std}}}p_{\textrm{o}}+\frac{\textrm{G}(t)}{\rho _{\textrm{g,std}}}p_g \right) \alpha \nonumber \\{} & {} \quad - \left( P_\textrm{k}(t)+P_\textrm{p}(t)+P_{\textrm{mpp}}(t)\right) \cdot p_{\textrm{e}} \cdot \alpha \end{aligned}$$
(3)

where \(\rho _{\textrm{o,std}}\) and \(\rho _{\textrm{g,std}}\) are the oil and gas at standard-conditions, respectively. \(\textrm{O}(t)\) and \(\textrm{G}(t)\) are the oil and gas production rate for time step t calculated at the end of the year using a backward approximation, and \(p_\textrm{o}\), \(p_\textrm{g}\), and \(p_\textrm{e}\) are the oil, gas and electricity prices. We assume that the power is provided from shore or a neighbouring field; therefore, the energy consumption costs are considered in the model. \(P_\textrm{k}(t)\), \(P_\textrm{p}(t)\) and \(P_{\textrm{mpp}}(t)\) are, respectively, the compressor, oil pump, and multiphase pump duties. We do not consider other operational expenses.

The reliability factor \(f_r\) reduces the base operating hours per year \((\alpha _0)\) by some percent, simulating the increased chance of emergency stops in the production system according to the equipment j employed:

$$\begin{aligned} \alpha = \alpha _0 \cdot f_r \end{aligned}$$
(4)

where

$$\begin{aligned} f_r = 1 - \sum _j{r_\textrm{p}(j) \cdot y(j)} \end{aligned}$$
(5)

while \(\alpha\) is the overall operating hours per year, and \(r_\textrm{p}(j)\) is the reliability penalty assigned to each equipment, shown in the following vector. These values were chosen based on engineering insight, assuming that a failure in one equipment causes a loss of 1–5 days of the systems’ annual reliability.

$$\begin{aligned} r_p(j)=\left[ \begin{array}{l} 0.005 \\ 0.005 \\ 0.030 \\ 0.010 \\ 0.060 \\ 0.001 \\ 0.001 \\ 0.001 \\ 0.001 \\ 0.001 \\ 0.001 \\ 0.001 \end{array}\right] ~ \begin{array}{l} \text {Cooler} \\ \text {Separator} \\ \text {Compressor} \\ \text {Oil pump} \\ \text {Multiphase pump} \\ \text {Gas flowline} \\ \text {Gas riser} \\ \text {Multiphase flowline} \\ \text {Multiphase riser} \\ \text {Topside separator} \\ \text {Oil flowline} \\ \text {Oil riser} \end{array} \end{aligned}$$
(6)

The reliability penalty of each equipment, \(r_\textrm{p}(j)\) indicates that, if included, the equipment will cause a reduction in the expected total uptime of the system. For example, the presence of a compressor causes a yearly decrease in uptime of 3% due to maintenance work.

Simplified reservoir model equations

The maximum oil production (production potential) delivered by the system upstream the subsea processing station is a function of the recovery factor (\(\mathrm{R_f}\)) and the pressure at the suction of the subsea station (\(p_\textrm{s}\)):

$$\begin{aligned}{} & {} q_{\textrm{pp}}(t) = q_{\textrm{ppo}}(p_\textrm{s}) \cdot \nonumber \\{} & {} \quad \left( a_1 \cdot {\mathrm{R_f}(t)}^3 + a_2 \cdot {\mathrm{R_f}(t)}^2 + a_3 \cdot {\mathrm{R_f}(t)} + 1 \right) \text { [ton/h]} \end{aligned}$$
(7)

where \(a_1\), \(a_2\), \(a_3\) are coefficients, and the recovery factor is the ratio of extracted oil over the oil initially in place (\(O_{\textrm{IIP}}\)):

$$\begin{aligned} \mathrm{R_f}(t) = \frac{\sum _{\tau = 1}^t O(\tau )~\alpha }{O_{\textrm{IIP}}} \text { [\%wt]} \end{aligned}$$
(8)

The maximum initial production potential (\({q_{\text{ppo}}}\)) is dependent on the pressure at the inlet of the separation station (\(p_s\)):

$$\begin{aligned} q_{\textrm{ppo}}(p_\textrm{s}) = q_{\textrm{ppo},0} \cdot \left[ 1 - b_1\frac{p_\textrm{s}}{p_\textrm{ref}} - b_2 {\left( \frac{p_\textrm{s}}{p_{\textrm{ref}}} \right) }^2 \right] \text { [ton/h]} \end{aligned}$$
(9)

where \(b_1\) and \(b_2\) are constants, \(p_{\textrm{ref}}\) is the reference pressure (which is equal to the static pressure when there is no flow at the inlet of the subsea station at the initial conditions) and \(q_{\textrm{ppo},0}\) is the maximum initial production potential when \(p_\textrm{s} = 0\).

Equipment capacity

The compressor, oil pump and multiphase pump duties depend on the flow-rate through the unit and the pressure boost required. The compressor duty is given by Eq. 10, and the oil pump duty by Eq. 11.

$$\begin{aligned} P_k(t)=\frac{x_{3}(t)}{\eta _{k}} \cdot \frac{R \cdot T_{i}}{3.6 M_{m}} \cdot \frac{\gamma }{\gamma -1}\left[ \left( \frac{p_{\textrm{out}}}{p_{\textrm{in}}(t)}\right) ^{\frac{\gamma -1}{\gamma }}-1\right] \text { [kW]} \end{aligned}$$
(10)

where \(x_3(t)\) is the compressor flow rate, \({\eta _{k}}\) is the compressor efficiency, R the universal gas constant, \(T_{i}\) the gas temperature at the inlet of the compressor, \(M_m\) the natural gas molar mass, \(\gamma\) the heat capacity ratio of the gas, \(p_{in}\) the boosting equipment inlet pressure and \(p_{out}\) the boosting equipment outlet pressure. It is assumed that the compression is adiabatic.

The oil pump duty is given by

$$\begin{aligned} P_{p}(t)=x_{11}(t)~\frac{p_{\textrm{out}}-p_{\textrm{in}}(t)}{3600\rho _{o}\eta _{p}}\text { [kW]} \end{aligned}$$
(11)

where \(x_{11}(t)\) is the pump flow rate and \(\eta _{p}\) is the pump efficiency. In this equation, we are assuming that the density of oil at the pump inlet is similar to the density of the standard oil conditions.

To determine the duty of the multiphase pump, the total mass flow of the stream was multiplied by the isentropic enthalpy difference and divided the result by the isentropic efficiency. A constant isentropic efficiency of 60% was assumed. The following equation was used

$$\begin{aligned} P_{\textrm{mpp}}\left( t\right) =\frac{x_{10}\left( t\right) \cdot {\Delta }h_s}{{\eta }_{\textrm{mpp}}} \end{aligned}$$
(12)

where \(x_{10}\left( t\right)\) is the multiphase pump mass flow rate, \({\eta }_{mpp}\) is the multiphase pump efficiency and \(\Delta h_s\) is the isentropic enthalpy difference.

The isentropic enthalpy difference was computed from a correlation derived using data from several simulations performed with HYSYS. The isentropic enthalpy difference is a function of the inlet pressure and the delta pressure across the pump. The inlet temperature is assumed fixed and equal to 70 \(\mathrm {{}^\circ }\textrm{C}\). The composition employed for the simulation is provided in Table B.1 in Appendix B. The gas-oil ratio is assumed to be equal to 150 \(\mathrm{Sm^3/Sm^3}\) and constant in time. The adjusted curves have the form:

$$\begin{aligned} {\Delta h_s=c}_1\left( p_{\textrm{in}}\right) \cdot {\Delta }p^2+c_2\left( p_{\textrm{in}}\right) \cdot {\Delta }p \end{aligned}$$
(13)

where \({\Delta }p=p_{\textrm{out}}-p_{\textrm{in}}\left( t\right)\), and \(c_1\) and \(c_2\) are the coefficients given by

$$\begin{aligned}{} {} c_1\left( p_{\textrm{in}}\right) &=-1.35{\times }{10}^{-7}-\frac{4.03{\times }{10}^{-6}}{1+{\left( \frac{p_{\textrm{in}}}{4299}\right) }^{5.15}}\ \nonumber \\{} & {} \quad \left[ \textrm{kJ}/\left( \mathrm{kg\ kPa}^2\right) \right] \end{aligned}$$
(14)
$$\begin{aligned}{} {} c_2\left( p_{\textrm{in}}\right) &=9.52{\times }{10}^{-3}+\frac{3.86{\times }{10}^{-2}}{1+{\left( \frac{p_{\textrm{in}}}{4468}\right) }^{3.61}}\nonumber \\{} & {} \quad \left[ \textrm{kJ}/\left( \mathrm{kg\ kPa}\right) \right] \end{aligned}$$
(15)

We consider a choke element between the reservoir and the suction of the subsea station, therefore

$$\begin{aligned} p_r \ge p_{\textrm{in}}(t) \text { [kPa]} \end{aligned}$$
(16)

and the pressure loss between the suction of the subsea station and the inlet of boosting equipment, as well as inside the subsea station, was considered negligible, therefore

$$\begin{aligned} p_{s} = p_{\textrm{in}} \text { [kPa]} \end{aligned}$$
(17)

where \(p_r(t)\) is the reservoir pressure. Equation 16 proved to be an algorithmic bound in our analyses. That is, although it is not active, adding this constraint speeds up the optimization.

More details about the formulation and the equations employed are given in Appendix A.

Solver strategy

The model was implemented in the high-level mathematical optimization system GAMS 37.1.0 (GAMS Development Corporation 2021) and solved with two different MINLP solvers, BARON 21.1.13 (Sahinidis 2021) and DICOPT (Kocis and Grossmann 1989), both with their default settings. These solvers were selected because they have the overall best performance for solving this problem.

DICOPT is an example of a commercial solver that uses outer approximation to discover local solutions to MINLP problems. In the outer approximation algorithm, an alternate sequence of MILPs and NLPs are solved. NLP problems are formed and solved by fixing the discrete variables, yielding an upper bound as the solution. The MINLP problem is then linearized around that solution, generating a MILP problem, which when solved yields the problem’s lower bound as another solution. The discrete element of this solution is then fed into the NLP problem in order to update the upper bound. When the upper and lower bounds meet, the algorithm terminates.

Although methods like the outer approximation can perform efficiently and provide good solutions, they do not always find the global optimum. For many problems, the global optimum is difficult to recognize and even more difficult to locate, especially for MINLPs. To this type of problem, the spatial branch and bound algorithm is widely used (Liberti 2008). Convex envelopes are used to surround the non-convex functions to produce convex relaxations of the original problem. By solving the convex problem, a solution is obtained, which is used as the split point of the feasible space. The split regions are again surrounded by convex envelopes and the process is repeated until the optimal value of the subproblem is identified. If the lower bound of the first subregion is found to be higher than the upper bound of the second region, there is no need to continue searching for the global minimum in first subregion and so it can be discarded. The subregion who has the lowest value is then the region who has the global optimum solution. Several other algorithms have been derived from spatial branch and bound, including the branch and reduce algorithm used by the commercial solver BARON.

Both solvers ran on an Intel i9-990 processor and 32 GB RAM with a time limit of 48 h. The relative optimality gap for termination was set to 0.1% for BARON. The optimality gap shows the distance between the current best-found solution, and the overestimated upper bound of the problem, so it is safe to assume that the solution obtained by BARON is very close to, or at the global maximum of the problem. The overestimated upper bound solution is unfeasible since it violates the mass balance, flow-rates, system pressure and equipment capacity variables equations, overall producing more oil than possible. However, it returns similar values regarding NPV.

BARON obtained the global optimum within reasonable computational time, however, only when the time span was small (i.e. 10 years). For a larger time span, the optimality gap was too large to conclude that the global optimal solution was obtained. The solution returned by DICOPT was slightly worse than the solution obtained by BARON. This happens because DICOPT does not guarantee global optimality. Therefore, BARON should be employed when obtaining the global optimum is important, while DICOPT may be used for simulation-optimization approaches that require fast results, such as Monte Carlo or control applications. Here, our approach will focus on using BARON.

Results

The case study presented here is based on the Goliat field, presented by Krogstad (2018). Relevant information about the field is given in Appendix C. The BARON solver converged in all cases with a relative optimality gap of \(1 \times 10^{-3}\).

It is important to note that the problem does not contain only integer variables, but a nonlinear problem intrinsically connected to it. And, regarding the integer variables, there are few combinations possible for the case study. We enumerated all and obtained only 12. Solving the 12 nonlinear problems took about 3 s in the same computer. However, by increasing the number of variables (i.e. increasing number of equipment, time-steps, or equations), the number of feasible combinations increases exponentially, which drives the model to be computationally intractable. Therefore, the enumeration approach will most likely not be efficient for larger instances of this problem and it will be complex to implement. Even though it is a good idea to reduce the number of combinations to test by using other techniques, such as enumeration, the aim of this research was to make the model generic and require as little as possible practical “engineering” input. Solving the problem this way also reduces the chance of additional human errors, while providing a computational time still compatible with practical applications.

Finding optimal and suboptimal layouts

Solving the model with BARON requires 8 s for a time span of 10 years and a time resolution of one year. Figure 3a shows the structure of the optimum solution found, Fig. 4 shows the optimum production curves, with an NPV of 1.72 billion USD, Fig. 5 shows the upper and lower bound trajectories versus computational time, and Table 1 shows the optimum binary variables of Structure A, B, and C. This structure employs subsea separation, boosting the gas phase through a compressor and the oil phase through an oil pump. The phases are later recombined and transported in a multiphase riser. This solution is similar to the one employed in the Åsgard field (Micali and Abelsson 2016).

Table 1 Optimal set of binary variables for Structure A, B, and C

In any field layout optimization problem, there may exist other layouts that are not part of the global optimum, but are relevant anyway. To further investigate sub-optimal field layout structures (such as the second or third best structures), we applied integer cuts in the model to exclude the global optimum. First, \({\textbf{y}}\) was converted into a binary value, in the form \(y_{\textrm{bin}} = \sum _j 2 \cdot y(j)^{j-1}\). Then, constraints were added to remove a specific \(y_{\textrm{bin}}\) from the search space, such as \(y_{bin} \ge a\), and \(y_{\textrm{bin}} \le b\), where \({\textbf{a}}\) and \({\textbf{b}}\) are integer cuts. The values of \({\textbf{a}}\) and \({\textbf{b}}\) were selected by varying the range between a and b manually and evaluating if the solution changed. The whole range of feasible integer solutions was investigated. In this way, we removed the best layout design (Fig. 3a) from the feasible space, thus obtaining the second best layout, structure B (Fig. 3b). To obtain the third best layout, structure C (Fig. 3c), we removed the first and the second best layouts from the feasible space.

Structure A employs full subsea processing and boosts the oil and gas in a single multiphase line. Structure B also employs full subsea processing, but it boosts the oil and gas in separate lines. These two layouts have a marginal difference in NPV (Table 2). Structure C ignores subsea separation completely and boosts oil and gas in a single multiphase line. The NPV difference between the first and third layout is small. The difference lies in revenue (due to lost revenue), operational and equipment costs, as seen in Table 2. Nonetheless, a preferred solution can be selected based on the user preferences and constraints.

Table 2 NPV difference between structures
Fig. 3
figure 3

First, second and third best structures obtained

Fig. 4
figure 4

Optimum production curves

Fig. 5
figure 5

Lower and upper bound curves versus computational time

The solution flow-rates, system pressure and equipment capacities were also analysed. They are the continuous variables of the problem and together with the structure, compose the solution of the field design problem. The best 5000 solutions were extracted from the solver. In all these solutions, the continuous variables had very similar values, thus obtaining a similar NPV. This is a challenge for the solver and it explains why it requires a high number of iterations to obtain the global optimum. This should be taken in mind while developing and implementing subsea layout optimization problems.

Sensitivity analysis over field parameters

We investigated the impact of some parameters on the NPV through a sensitivity analysis. We considered the following: oil initially in place (OIIP), oil price, and gas-oil ratio (GOR). The oil price had the biggest impact on the optimization results, followed by the OIIP and the GOR. Structures A and B are more robust than structure C for all studied scenarios.

For reduced values of oil price, oil initially in place, and gas-oil ratio, the three solutions are identical in terms of NPV. Figure 6 shows that for increasing values of OIIP and oil price, and decreasing values of GOR, structure C gets away from structures A and B in terms of NPV. This means that structure C is less robust for the given field. It seems that employing subsea processing is the best strategy for this case study, while the decision of boosting oil and gas in a single or a separate line is less relevant.

The reliability parameters also seem to have a large impact on the optimal solution. For example, if the reliability penalty factor for the multiphase pump is changed from 3 to 6%, structure C becomes optimal instead of structure A. Even though it is a small variation in the penalty factor, they play a key role in the subsea layout design, therefore it is important to properly estimate maintenance and reliability factors.

Fig. 6
figure 6

Sensitivity analyses for each parameter. The base is the original case, while the increase or decrease in the parameter is given by the percentage values

Discussion

A subsea layout optimization tool that considers subsea processing was developed. The tool successfully finds the best subsea processing design in the study case analysed. The model is based on Krogstad (2018), but significant changes and improvements were performed to make it more realistic, e.g. production deliverability, maintenance and reliability aspects, power consumption of multiphase boosters, and pressure calculations at the outlet of the subsea station.

In the convergence process of the model, NPV values close to the optimum are achieved in short time and with a few iterations, but a significant portion of the computation time is spent converging to the global optimum. A large part of the search space has similar values regarding NPV, flow-rates, system pressure, equipment capacity variables and equipment binaries. This fact could be exploited to find solutions faster, e.g. to run some initial optimization to find the equipment binaries and later to run another optimization with the equipment binaries fixed to converge on the continuous variables.

For the case studied, we note that structures A, B and C have a similar NPV. From a practical decision-making perspective, and given the precision of the estimations in our model, these solutions are equivalent. However, in the sensitivity analysis, we notice that structures A and B, which use subsea separation and boosting, are more robust to changes in oil price, OIIP and gas-oil ratio than structure C, which only uses subsea boosting.

Cost estimates for various subsea equipment, especially for multiphase pumps, have room for improvement. Maintenance cost estimation could be improved by collecting better data for several key parameters: downtime, mean time to failure and availability-independent maintenance costs. Other potential changes could include the ability to have different equipment in parallel, or the potential to have standby units available. Finally, the proposed methods were applied for a specific field only. More studies with other fields are required to guarantee the conclusions shown here.

We also suggest computing other key performance indicators to evaluate the difference between the solutions. Some key performance indicators that might be relevant to include are: internal rate of return, payback time and environmental performance factors such as \(\mathrm{CO_2}\) footprint, \(\mathrm{CO_2}\) emissions and energy consumption.

Finally, the value of the reliability penalty of the multiphase booster had a big impact on the optimal subsea processing layout. This shows that it is important to properly estimate maintenance and reliability factors.

Conclusions

  1. 1.

    The subsea layout optimization tool which considers subsea processing successfully finds the best subsea processing design in the study case analysed. The changes and improvements performed make the model more realistic.

  2. 2.

    The importance of improving maintenance and reliability aspects in the model is especially clear, as it obtained a more precise solution than the one seen in previous studies.

  3. 3.

    Nonetheless, by using an exact approach, a large amount of time is spent converging to the optimum.