Abstract
Future orientation has been established as having positive associations with health and educational outcomes for adolescents exposed to violence. However, conceptualizations of future orientation have been inconsistent. This study uses latent profile analysis to understand the interrelationships between measures of future orientation (e.g., commitment to learning, goal orientation, hope, expectancies, fatalism). Participants were 188 primarily African American male early adolescents ranging from 10 to 15 years old (60.6% male; Mage = 12.87, SDage = 1.52). Adolescents in the high- and low-future orientation profiles differed on academic behaviors and aggressive behavior. A discordant profile emerged with adolescents moderate on all measures of future orientation except expectancies. Relational aspects of parenting were associated with higher likelihood of adolescents being assigned to the high- and low-future orientation profiles. These findings suggest the importance of parental warmth in promoting future orientation for adolescents in risky environments, as improving future orientation might mitigate risk for future negative academic comes or engagement in violent behavior.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Akaike, H. (1987). Factor analysis and AIC. Psychometrika, 52(3), 317–332.
Anda, R., Felitti, V., Bremner, J., Walker, J., Whitfield, C., Perry, B., & Giles, W. (2006). The enduring effects of abuse and related adverse experiences in childhood. European Archives of Psychiatry and Clinical Neuroscience, 256(3), 174–186.
Asparouhov, T., & Muthén, B. (2013). Auxiliary variables in mixture modeling: 3-step approaches using Mplus. Web Notes: No. 15. www.statmodel.com.
Bosworth, K., & Espelage, D. (1995). Teen conflict survey. Bloomington, IN: Center for Adolescent Studies, Indiana University.
Brody, G. H., Murry, V. M., Gerrard, M., Gibbons, F. X., Molgaard, V., McNair, L., & Chen, Y. F. (2004). The strong African American families program: translating research into prevention programming. Child Development, 75(3), 900–917.
Bronfenbrenner, U., & Morris, P. (1998). The ecology of developmental processes. In W. Damon, R. M. Lerner (eds), Vol. 1 Handbook of child psychology, 5th edn. (pp. 993–1028). New York: Wiley.
Brown, W. T., & Jones, J. M. (2004). The substance of things hoped for: a study of the future orientation, minority status perceptions, academic engagement, and academic performance of black high school students. Journal of Black Psychology, 30(2), 248–273. https://doi.org/10.1177/0095798403260727.
Brumley, L. D., Jaffee, S. R., & Brumley, B. P. (2017). Pathways from childhood adversity to problem behaviors in young adulthood: the mediating role of adolescents’ future expectations. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 46(1), 1–14.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). 1991–2019 Youth Risk Behavior Survey Questionnaire. www.cdc.gov/yrbs.
Chen, P., Voisin, D. R., & Jacobson, K. C. (2016). Community violence exposure and adolescent delinquency: Examining a spectrum of promotive factors. Youth and Society, 48(1), 33–57. https://doi.org/10.1177/0044118X13475827.
Davis-Kean, P. E. (2005). The influence of parent education and family income on child achievement: the indirect role of parental expectations and the home environment. Journal of Family Psychology, 19(2), 294–304.
Dixson, D. D., Worrell, F. C., & Mello, Z. (2017). Profiles of hope: How clusters of hope relate to school variables. Learning and Individual Differences, 59, 55–64.
Eccles, J., & Barber, B. (1993) Unpublished measure. Wave 5 of the Michigan Study of Life Transitions, University of Michigan.
Finkelhor, D., Turner, H. A., Shattuck, A., & Hamby, S. L. (2015). Prevalence of childhood exposure to violence, crime, and abuse: Results from the national survey of children’s exposure to violence. JAMA Pediatrics, 169(8), 746–754.
Harris, K.M., Halpern, C.T., Whitsel, E., Hussey, J., Tabor, J., Entzel, P., et al. (2009). The National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health: Research Design. http://www.cpc.unc.edu/projects/addhealth/design.
Hart, H., & Rubia, K. (2012). Neuroimaging of child abuse: a critical review. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 6, 52. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnhum.2012.00052.
Kerpelman, J. L., Eryigit, S., & Stephens, C. J. (2008). African American adolescents’ future education orientation: Associations with self-efficacy, ethnic identity, and perceived parental support. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 37(8), 997–1008.
Kruger, D. J., Carrothers, J., Franzen, S. P., Miller, A. L., Reischl, T. M., Stoddard, S. A., & Zimmerman, M. A. (2018). The role of present time perspective in predicting early adolescent violence. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 33(12), 1893–1908. https://doi.org/10.1177/0886260515619752.
Lamborn, S. D., Mounts, N. S., Steinberg, L., & Dornbusch, S. M. (1991). Patterns of competence and adjustment among adolescents from authoritative, authoritarian, indulgent, and neglectful families. Child Development, 62(5), 1049–1065. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8624.1991.tb01588.x.
Lindstrom Johnson, S. R., Blum, R. W., & Cheng, T. L. (2014). Future orientation: a construct with implications for adolescent health and wellbeing. International Journal of Adolescent Medicine and Health, 26(4), 459–468. https://doi.org/10.1515/ijamh-2013-0333.
Lindstrom Johnson, S., Jones, V., & Cheng, T. L. (2015). Promoting “Healthy Futures” to reduce risk behaviors in urban youth: a randomized controlled trial. American Journal of Community Psychology, 56(1-2), 36–45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10464-015-9734-y.
Lippman, L. H., Moore, K. A., Guzman, L., Ryberg, R., McIntosh, H., Ramos, M. F., & Kuhfeld, M. (2014). Flourishing children: defining and testing indicators of positive development. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Springer.
Lo, Y., Mendell, N. R., & Rubin, D. B. (2001). Testing the number of components in a normal mixture. Biometrika, 88, 767–778. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/88.3.767.
Lowe, K., & Dotterer, A. M. (2013). Parental monitoring, parental warmth, and minority youths’ academic outcomes: Exploring the integrative model of parenting. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 42(9), 1413–1425. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10964-013-9934-4.
Maheu, F. S., Dozier, M., Guyer, A. E., Mandell, D., Peloso, E., Poeth, K., & Ernst, M. (2010). A preliminary study of medial temporal lobe function in youths with a history of caregiver deprivation and emotional neglect. Cognitive,Affective and Behavioral Neuroscience, 10(1), 34–49. https://doi.org/10.3758/CABN.10.1.34.
McCabe, K. M., & Barnett, D. (2000). The relation between familial factors and the future orientation of urban, African American sixth graders. Journal of Child and Family Studies, 9(4), 491–508. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009474926880.
Monahan, K. C., King, K. M., Shulman, E. P., Cauffman, E., & Chassin, L. (2015). The effects of violence exposure on the development of impulse control and future orientation across adolescence and early adulthood: Time-specific and generalized effects in a sample of juvenile offenders. Development and Psychopathology, 27(4pt1), 1267–1283. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954579414001394.
Muthén, L. K., & Muthén, B. O. (1998–2019). Mplus User’s Guide. 8th Edn. Los Angeles, CA: Muthén & Muthén.
Nylund, K. L., Asparouhov, T., & Muthén, B. O. (2007). Deciding on the number of classes in latent class analysis and growth mixture modeling: a Monte Carlo simulation study. Structural Equation Modeling, 14(4), 535–569. https://doi.org/10.1080/10705510701575396.
Oyserman, D., Bybee, D., Terry, K., & Hart-Johnson, T. (2004). Possible selves as roadmaps. Journal of Research in Personality, 38(2), 130–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0092-6566(03)00057-6.
Perry, J. C., & Raeburn, R. (2017). Possible selves among urban youth: a study of developmental differences and the aspirations–expectations gap. Journal of Career Development, 44(6), 544–556. https://doi.org/10.1177/0894845316670032.
Prochaska, J. O., & Velicer, W. F. (1997). The transtheoretical model of health behavior change. American Journal of Health Promotion, 12(1), 38–48. https://doi.org/10.4278/0890-1171-12.1.38.
Salzinger, S., Feldman, R., Stockhammer, T., & Hood, J. (2002). An ecological framework for understanding risk for exposure to community violence and the effects of exposure on children and adolescents. Aggression and Violent Behavior, 7(5), 423–451.
Scales, P. C., & Leffert, N. (1999). Developmental assets: a synthesis of the scientific research on adolescent development. Search Institute.
Schacter, D. L., Benoit, R. G., & Szpunar, K. K. (2017). Episodic future thinking: mechanisms and functions. Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences, 17, 41–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cobeha.2017.06.002.
Schwarz, G. (1978). Estimating the dimension of a model. The Annals of Statistics, 6(2), 461–464. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344136.
Sclove, S. L. (1987). Application of model-selection criteria to some problems in multivariate analysis. Psychometrika, 52(3), 333–343.
Seginer, R. (2008). Future orientation in times of threat and challenge: how resilient adolescents construct their future. International Journal of Behavioral Development, 32(4), 272–282. https://doi.org/10.1177/0165025408090970.
Seginer, R. (2009). Future orientation: Developmental and ecological perspectives. New York: Springer.
Seginer, R., Vermulst, A., & Shoyer, S. (2004). The indirect link between perceived parenting and adolescent future orientation: a multiple-step model. International Journal of Behavioral Development, 28(4), 365–378. https://doi.org/10.1080/01650250444000081.
Snyder, C. R. (2002). Hope theory: rainbows in the mind. Psychological Inquiry, 13(4), 249–275. https://doi.org/10.1207/S15327965PLI1304_01.
So, S., Gaylord-Harden, N. K., Voisin, D. R., & Scott, D. (2018). Future orientation as a protective factor for African American adolescents exposed to community violence. Youth and Society, 50(6), 734–757. https://doi.org/10.1177/0044118X15605108.
Steinberg, L., Graham, S., O’Brien, L., Woolard, J., Cauffman, E., & Banich, M. (2009). Age differences in future orientation and delay discounting. Child Development, 80(1), 28–44. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8624.2008.01244.x.
Stoddard, S. A., McMorris, B. J., & Sieving, R. E. (2011). Do social connections and hope matter in predicting early adolescent violence? American Journal of Community Psychology, 48(3-4), 247–256. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10464-010-9387-9.
Stoddard, S. A., Zimmerman, M. A., & Bauermeister, J. A. (2011). Thinking about the future as a way to succeed in the present: A longitudinal study of future orientation and violent behaviors among African American youth. American Journal of Community Psychology, 48(3-4), 238–246. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10464-010-9383-0.
Trommsdorff, G. (1983). Future orientation and socialization. International Journal of Psychology, 18(1-4), 381–406. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207598308247489.
Vermunt, J. K. (2010). Latent class modeling with covariates: two improved three-step approaches. Political Analysis, 18(4), 450–469. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpq025.
Wilson, M., & Daly, M. (1997). Life expectancy, economic inequality, homicide, and reproductive timing in Chicago neighbourhoods. British Medical Journal, 314(7089), 1271. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.314.7089.1271.
Authors’ Contributions
C.D.H. conceived of the study, conducted analyses and drafted the manuscript; S.L.J. jointly conceived of the study, assisted with interpretation of results and writing of the manuscript and participated in design and implementation of the larger study from which data were drawn; T.L.C. oversaw design and implementation of the larger study and assisted with drafting the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Funding
This research was supported by a grant from the National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities (P20MD000198). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
Data Sharing and Declaration
This manuscript’s data will not be deposited.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of Interest
The author declares that he has no conflict of interest.
Ethical Approval
All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.
Informed Consent
Parent informed consent and adolescent assent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.
Additional information
Publisher’s note: Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Hilley, C.D., Lindstrom Johnson, S. & Cheng, T.L. Profiles of Future Orientation among Assault-injured Adolescents: Correlates and Concurrent Outcomes. J Youth Adolescence 48, 1555–1566 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10964-019-01032-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10964-019-01032-z