Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Environmental regulation, foreign direct investment and China’s economic development under the new normal: restrain or promote?

  • Published:
Environment, Development and Sustainability Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Environmental resources play an extremely important role in economic development. In the context of China’s economic development entering a new normal, attaching importance to environmental protection and strengthening environmental regulations will have an important impact on the original foreign direct investment (FDI) and China’s economic development. Therefore, this paper combines the characteristics of the “new normal” of China’s economic development, takes 30 provinces in China from 2008 to 2017 as the research object, and uses the PVAR model and impulse response function to re-verify the interaction mechanism and path among environmental regulation, FDI and high-quality economic development. The study found that: (1) There is an obvious mutual promotion relationship between environmental regulations and the quality of China’s economic development and economic development environment. Strengthening environmental regulation is conducive to the realization of China’s economic "new normal" development goal. (2) Although the strengthening of environmental regulation will have a significant constraint effect on FDI and China’s economic growth rate, but the effect is relatively small. (3) FDI and economic growth rate variables are mutually motivated and promote each other, but both of them have a significant inhibitory effect on regional environmental regulation. In general, under the background of the “new normal” of China’s economic development, appropriately increasing the intensity of environmental regulation is not only conducive to environmental protection and promoting high-quality and sustainable economic development, but also can serve the purpose of guiding the structure of foreign investment and transforming the mode of economic growth.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abdi, H., & Williams, L. J. (2010). Principal component analysis. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Computational Statistics, 2(4), 433–459.

    Google Scholar 

  • Alfaro, L., Chanda, A., Kalemli-Ozcan, S., & Sayek, S. (2004). FDI and economic growth: The role of local financial markets. Journal of International Economics, 64(1), 89–112.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brana, S., Djigbenou, M. L., & Prat, S. (2012). Global excess liquidity and asset prices in emerging countries: A PVAR approach. Emerging Markets Review, 13(3), 256–267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2012.02.002

  • Brunnermeier, S. B., & Cohen, M. A. (2003). Determinants of environmental innovation in US manufacturing industries. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 45(2), 278–293.

    Google Scholar 

  • Büthe, T., & Milner, H. V. (2008). The politics of foreign direct investment into developing countries: Increasing FDI through international trade agreements? American Journal of Political Science, 52(4), 741–762.

    Google Scholar 

  • Canova, F., & Ciccarelli, M. (2004). Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model. Journal of Econometrics, 120(2), 327–359.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chao, X. J., & Ren, B. P. (2011). The fluctuation and regional difference of quality of economic growth in China. Economic Research Journal, 46(04), 26–40.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cao, X., & Wang, Y. Y. (2021). Do rising environmental costs Lead to the Withdrawal of Foreign investment? Journal of Finance and Economics. https://doi.org/10.16538/j.cnki.jfe.20201211.302

  • Chintrakarn, P. (2008). Environmental regulation and U.S. states’ technical inefficiency. Economics Letters, 100(3), 363–365.

    Google Scholar 

  • Copeland, B. R., & Taylor, M. S. (1994). North-south trade and the environment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(3), 755–787.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Vries, F. P., & Withagen, C. (2005). Innovation and environmental stringency: The case of sulfur dioxide abatement. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.670158

  • Dong, K., & Bai, S. (2015). Pollution heaven effect of regional industry transfer in China. China Population, Resources and Environment, 25(S2), 46–50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fan, Q. Q., Chu, C. J., & Gao, J. N. (2020). Effect of environmental regulation and industrial structure upgrading on high-quality economic development. China Population, Resources and Environment, 30(06), 84–94.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gan, C. H., Zheng, R. G., & Yu, D. F. (2011). An empirical study on the effects of industrial structure on economic growth and fluctuations in China. Economic Research Journal, 46(05), 4-16+31.

    Google Scholar 

  • Geng, Q., Sun, C. H., & Fu, T. (2010). The empirical analysis of the FDI’s choice of disctrict under different environment supervision. South China Journal of Economics, 06, 39–50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gerlach, S., & Smets, F. (1995). The monetary transmission mechanism: Evidence from the g-7 countries. CEPR Discussion Papers, 26(1219). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.868427

  • Gray, W. B., & Shadbegian, R. J. (1998). Environmental regulation, investment timing, and technology choice. Journal of Industrial Economics, 46(2), 235–256.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1995). Economic growth and the environment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353–377. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118443.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • He, Q. (2014). Endowments of production factors, internal constraints, and quality of China’s economic growth. Statistical Research, 31(01), 70–77. https://doi.org/10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2014.01.011

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holtz-Eakin, D. (1988). Testing for individual effects in autoregressive models. Journal of Econometrics, 39(3), 297–307.

    Google Scholar 

  • Holtz-Eakin, D., Newey, W., & Rosen, H. S. (1988). Estimating vector autoregressions with panel data. Econometrica, 56(6), 1371–1395.

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang, N., & Guo, P. (2015). The impact of economic policy uncertainty on macroeconomy and its regional difference—evidence from China with the panel VAR model. Finance & Economics, 06, 61–70.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Jaffe, A. B., & Palmer, K. (1997). Environmental regulation and innovation: A panel data study. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(4), 610–619.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jiang, F. X., Wang, Z. J., & Bai, J. H. (2013). The dual effect of environmental regulations’ impact on innovation—an empirical study based on dynamic panel data of Jiangsu manufacturing. China Industrial Economics, 07, 44–55. https://doi.org/10.19581/j.cnki.ciejournal.2013.07.004

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jiang, W. (2015). Does environmental regulation affect R&D innovation of manufacturing firms in China? Empirical study based on micro data. Journal of Finance and Economics, 41(02), 76–87. https://doi.org/10.16538/j.cnki.jfe.2015.02.003

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Jin, C. Y., Han, Z., & Zhang, H. B. (2013). An empirical analysis on the relevance of financial development and economic growth in China based on panel-VAR model. Management Review, 25(01), 16–23. https://doi.org/10.14120/j.cnki.cn11-5057/f.2013.01.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jin, C. Y., & Wang, W. Q. (2016). Does pollution haven hypothesis exist in China—an empirical test based on spatial victor autoregressive model. Journal of International Trade, 08, 108–118. https://doi.org/10.13510/j.cnki.jit.2016.08.010

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jin, P. (2015). Research on the new normal of China’s economic development. China Industrial Economics, 01, 5–18. https://doi.org/10.19581/j.cnki.ciejournal.2015.01.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jorgenson, D. W., & Wilcoxen, P. J. (1990). Environmental regulation and U.S. economic growth. The RAND Journal of Economics, 21(2), 225–252.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. The American Economic Review, 45(1), 1–28.

    Google Scholar 

  • Li, L. N., & Li, L. H. (2019). Impact of environmental regulation on economic development—based on the analysis of provincial panel data. Journal of Sichuan Normal University (Social Sciences Edition), 46(03), 43–52. https://doi.org/10.13734/j.cnki.1000-5315.2019.03.005

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li, X. P., Lu, X. X., & Tao, X. Q. (2012). Does the intensity of environmental regulation affect the trade comparative advantage of Chinese industry. The Journal of World Economy, 35(04), 62–78.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Lin, J. H., & Liu, Y. (2013). Endogenous environmental regulations: retesting of pollution haven hypothesis in China. China Population, Resources and Environment, 23(01), 13–18.

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu, C. M., Liu, Y. D., & Ma, Q. S. (2021). Two-way feedback effect between environmental regulation and high quality economic development. Review of Economy and Management, 03, 111–122. https://doi.org/10.13962/j.cnki.37-1486/f.2021.03.009

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu, W. (2015). Discussions on issues related to the characteristics and trends of the growth of Chinese economy. The Journal of Shanghai Administration Institute, 16(05), 4–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu, Y. (2012). Determinants of technology spillovers of service FDI—an empirical research based on 16 provinces in china. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University (Philosophy and Social Sciences), 20(03), 77–85. https://doi.org/10.13806/j.cnki.issn1008-7095.2012.03.010

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Love, I., & Zicchino, L. (2006). Financial development and dynamic investment behavior: Evidence from panel VAR. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 46(2), 190–210.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mazzanti, M., & Zoboli, R. (2009). Environmental efficiency and labour productivity: Trade-off or joint dynamics? A theoretical investigation and empirical evidence from Italy using NAMEA. Ecological Economics, 68(4), 1182–1194.

    Google Scholar 

  • Niu, W. J., Chen, J. B., & Guo, J. (2019). Research on the influence of FDI on China’s economic growth and employment- based on VAR model. Economic Research Guide, 33, 1–3.

    Google Scholar 

  • Panayotou, T. (1994). Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development. Research Papers in Economics, 4, 23–42.

    Google Scholar 

  • Peng, S. J., & Bao, Q. (2006). Economic growth and environmental pollution: A Chinese test of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. Research on Financial and Economic Issues, 08, 3–17.

    Google Scholar 

  • Porter, M. E., & van der Linde, C. (1995). Toward a new conception of the environment-competitiveness relationship. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 97–118.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shangguan, X. M., & Ge, B. H. (2020). Scientific and technological innovation, environmental regulation and high-quality economic development: Empirical evidence from 278 Chinese cities at prefecture level and above. China Population, Resources and Environment, 30(6), 95–104. https://kns.cnki.net/kcms/detail/37.1196.N.20200722.0848.020.html

  • Shen, K. R. (1999). Foreign direct investment and the economic growth of China. Management World, 05, 22–34. https://doi.org/10.19744/j.cnki.11-1235/f.1999.05.005

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Shen, N., & Liu, F. Z. (2012). Can intensive environmental regulation promote technological innovation?—porter hypothesis reexamined. China Soft Science, 04, 49–59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shi, Q. (2013). Foreign direct investment, environmental regulation and environmental pollution—from the perspective of government integrity. Finance & Trade Economics, 01, 93–103. https://doi.org/10.19795/j.cnki.cn11-1166/f.2013.01.010

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Song, M. L., & Wang, S. H. (2013). Analysis of environmental regulation, technological progression and economic growth from the perspective of statistical tests. Economic Research Journal, 48(03), 122–134.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sun, J. W. (2018). From high-speed economic growth to high-quality and balanced regional development. Regional Economic Review, 01, 1–4. https://doi.org/10.14017/j.cnki.2095-5766.2018.0001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sun, S. Q., & He, Q. Q. (2018). Foreign direct investment in different manufacturing industry and its effect on environmental quality: Pollution heaven or pollution halo? Journal of Shandong University (Philosophy and Social Sciences), 02, 90–100.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sun, Y. J., & Lin, C. (2018). Environmental regulation and quality improvement of China’s economic growth: Based on the inverted U-shaped curve of environmental Kuznets. Shanghai Journal of Economics, 03, 84–94. https://doi.org/10.19626/j.cnki.cn31-1163/f.2018.03.009

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tao, J., & Hu, X. (2019). Research on the effects of environmental regulation on the quality of China’s economic growth. China Population, Resources and Environment, 29(06), 85–96.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tian, Q., Zhao, T., & Yuan, R. (2021). An overview of the inequality in China’s carbon intensity 1997–2016: A Theil index decomposition analysis. Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, 23(5), 1581–1601. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10098-021-02050-x

  • Wang, G. Y., & Wang, D. (2011). Porter hypothesis, environmental regulation and enterprises’ technological innovation—the comparative analysis between Central China and Eastern China. China Soft Science, 01, 100–112.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, H., & Gao, S. J. (2016). Germination, starting and policy evolution of green development in China: Observation of some stage characteristics. Reform, 03, 6–26.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, S. P., & Ouyang, Z. G. (2007). The rural-urban income disparity and its effects to economic growth in the case of China. Economic Research Journal, 42(10), 44–55.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, W. P. (2011). The effects of environmental regulation competition on the efficiency of economic growth: Based on the analysis of provincial panel data. Contemporary Finance & Economics, 09, 22–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, W., & Ren, B. P. (2015). The stage characteristics of the quantity and quality of economic growth in China: From 1978 to 2014. Reform, 08, 48–58.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, W. P., & He, Q. (2017). “Forcing back” or “regressing”? Threshold characteristics and spatial spillover of environmental regulation emission reduction effect. Economic Management, 02, 20–34. https://doi.org/10.19616/j.cnki.bmj.2017.02.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yu, X. F., & Fu, D. (2004). Review of Multi Index comprehensive evaluation methods. Statistics & Decision, 11, 119–121.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zeng, X. G. (2010). Environmental regulation, foreign direct investment and “pollution shelter” hypothesis—an empirical study based on panel data of 30 provinces in China. Economic Theory and Business Management, 11, 65–71.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, D., & Chen, L. Y. (2019). Environmental regulation, upgrading of industrial structure and economic fluctuation: An empirical study of dynamic panel threshold. Journal of Environmental Economics, 4(02), 92–109. https://doi.org/10.19511/j.cnki.jee.2019.02.007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, H. (2018). Environmental expenditure, regional competition and environmental pollution—an explanation of environmental competition. Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, 12, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.13781/j.cnki.1007-9556.2018.12.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, J. X., Cai, N., & Yang, C. (2015). Impact of environmental regulation on green growth index of industry in China. China Population, Resources and Environment, 25(01), 24–31.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Z. X., Xing, H. Z., & Yu, L. Y. (2020). Urbanization, industrial structure upgrade and urban-rural income gap: An empirical based on PVAR model. East China Economic Management, 34(06), 93–102. https://doi.org/10.19629/j.cnki.34-1014/f.200115006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Z. Y., & Zhao, G. Q. (2012). FDI, environmental regulation and technological progress. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 29(04), 19–32. https://doi.org/10.13653/j.cnki.jqte.2012.04.006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zheng, X. Z., & Gao, Y. (2019). FDI and China’s energy using efficiency: The role of government. World Economy Studies. https://doi.org/10.13516/j.cnki.wes.2019.07.006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhou, B., Mao, D. Y., & Zhu, G. B. (2017). “Internet+”, inclusive finance and economic growth—empirical test of PVAR model based on panel data. The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics, 38(02), 9–16. https://doi.org/10.16339/j.cnki.hdxbcjb.2017.02.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhu, J. H., & Wang, Y. L. (2018). “Innovation compensation” or “following costs”? “Pollution paradise” or “pollution halo”?—the threshold effect of double hypothesis and the test of spatial spillover effect from the perspective of green total factor productivity. Science & Technology Progress and Policy, 35(20), 46–54.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The research work was supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Universities in Hebei Province in 2022, No. QN202228. The title is “Mineral Resources Balance Sheet Preparation and Application Research in Hebei Province”. The research work was supported by National Social Science Foundation in China, No.18BGL185. The title is “Coupling Mechanism of Environmental Regulation and Corporate Environmental Responsibility and Regional Heterogeneity”.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Conceptualization and methodology, LC, NW, and QL; formal analysis, WZ and QL; writing—original draft preparation, LC, and NW; writing—review and editing, LC, NW, and WZ; supervision, LC, QL, and WZ All authors read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nan Wang.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chen, L., Wang, N., Li, Q. et al. Environmental regulation, foreign direct investment and China’s economic development under the new normal: restrain or promote?. Environ Dev Sustain 25, 4195–4216 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02239-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02239-0

Keywords

Navigation