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Post-progression survival following second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer previously treated with gemcitabine: a meta-analysis

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Background Post-progression survival (PPS) could be a confounding element in interpreting data from clinical trials of second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (PC) previously treated with gemcitabine (GEM) because a recent meta-analysis of oxaliplatin combination therapy showed statistical heterogeneity for overall survival (OS) but not for progression-free survival (PFS). This study aimed to improve the understanding of the impact of PPS on OS in this setting. Methods Databases were searched to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in the salvage setting. We evaluated relationships between OS and PFS, PPS, and other variables. Results Totally, 17 RCTs with 3253 patients were identified. Median OS was strongly and moderately associated with median PPS and PFS, respectively (r = 0.913; p < 0.001 and 0.780; p < 0.001, respectively). The proportion of patients with good performance status was significantly associated with both PPS and PFS (r = 0.574, p < 0.001 and 0.492, p < 0.001, respectively). The induction rate of subsequent chemotherapy was related to the duration of PPS and OS (r = 0.640, p < 0.001 and 0.647, p < 0.001, respectively). Median PPS and OS were significantly longer in recent trials than those in older trials (3.55 versus 2.78 months, p < 0.001 and 6.29 versus 5.02 months, p < 0.001). Conclusions Median PPS was strongly correlated with median OS. Given the recently increased opportunity for subsequent chemotherapy and supportive care, PPS may serve as an important element to clarify problems in this setting.

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Correspondence to Akiyoshi Kasuga.

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All authors declare no Conflicts of Interests for this article.

Takanori Kanai received research grants from Astellas Pharm Inc., Astra-Zeneca K.K., Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Eisai Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Zeria Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Tanabe Mitsubishi Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., JIMRO Co. Ltd., Kyorin Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., and received service honoraria from Astellas Pharm Inc., Eisai Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., JIMRO Co. Ltd., Tanabe Mitsubishi Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Miyarisan Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., and Zeria Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. Hiromasa Takaishi received research grants from Taiho Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., and Yakult Honsha Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., outside the submitted work.

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We did not use individual data but published data. These data have been widely utilized in research and are generally available. Therefore, we confirm that any aspect of the work covered in this manuscript has been conducted with ethical approval. And this study is registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42017071274) and was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systemic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement.

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Kasuga, A., Hamamoto, Y., Takeuchi, A. et al. Post-progression survival following second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer previously treated with gemcitabine: a meta-analysis. Invest New Drugs 36, 939–948 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10637-018-0589-6

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