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Prediction of greenhouse gas emissions from municipal solid waste incinerators with consideration of utilization of heat and captured CO2 in the Tokyo waterfront area

  • SPECIAL FEATURE: ORIGINAL ARTICLE
  • Material Cycles toward Carbon Neutral Society
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Abstract

We focused on incineration of solid waste and resource recycling, when clarifying how to achieve carbon neutrality (CN) by 2050; we describe how future municipal solid waste incinerators (MSWIs) should operate. Specifically, eight low-carbon measures were set for four MSWIs located in the Tokyo waterfront area (Chuo, Minato, Shinkoto, and Ariake), and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions were estimated for each scenario by combining these measures. We concluded that, in addition to MSW reduction and the introduction of biomass plastics, the improvement of power generation efficiency via plant renewal and wide area management of the MSWIs are useful when seeking to achieve CN. If the emission factor of electricity is to achieve CN in the future, the introduction of methanation is desirable in combination with wide area management, but if the emission factor of city-gas is also expected to achieve CN, an expansion of district heat utilization should rather be considered.

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Correspondence to Kazuyuki Oshita.

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Appendix

Appendix

See Figs. 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19 and Tables 9, 10, 11.

Fig. 13
figure 13

The predicted collection populations of the four MSWIs

Fig. 14
figure 14

Approximations derived using the modified exponential curves for the amounts of the four incinerated MSW categories of Chuo MSWI. a Paper; b kitchen waste; c plastics; d glass

Fig. 15
figure 15

Approximate relationship between power consumption per incinerated MSW amount (kWh/metirc ton) and incinerated MSW per day (kg/day)

Fig. 16
figure 16

The amount of incinerated MSW per person per day and the amount of each incinerated MSW category in the BaU measure. a Chuo; b Minato; c Shinkoto; d Ariake

Fig. 17
figure 17

The amount of incinerated MSW per person per day and the amount of each incinerated MSW category in the MSW reduction measure. a Chuo; b Minato; c Shinkoto; d Ariake

Fig. 18
figure 18

Approximate relationship between the higher heating value (J/g) and percentage of solid carbon by MSW category

Fig. 19
figure 19

Decrease in the emission factor for electricity (exponential approximation)

Table 9 The values of the incinerated MSW per person per day adopted for each MSW category (g/person/day) in the BaU measure
Table 10 The parameter values for each MSW category of all MSWIs approximated by the modified exponential curves
Table 11 Power source shares (%) and emission factors by source type in FY 2030

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Matsuoka, T., Oshita, K. & Takaoka, M. Prediction of greenhouse gas emissions from municipal solid waste incinerators with consideration of utilization of heat and captured CO2 in the Tokyo waterfront area. J Mater Cycles Waste Manag 25, 1853–1875 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10163-023-01686-9

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