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Causes of the persistent merging of the western North Pacific subtropical high and the Iran high during late July 2022

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Abstract

During late July 2022, the western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH) and the Iran high merge persistently, leading to concurrent extreme climate events over multiple regions. Such extraordinary circulation results from two extreme anticyclonic anomalies centered over the WNP–South Asia and Central Asia, respectively. The WNP–South Asia anticyclonic anomaly is related to La Niña SSTA pattern and the enhanced convection over the tropical eastern Indian Ocean (TEIO). SSTA serves as a seasonal-mean background, with abnormally cold tropical central Pacific (TCP) favoring the anticyclonic anomaly through Rossby wave response. The TEIO convection is extremely strong during late July and induces the anticyclonic anomaly via Kelvin wave response and a local Hadley circulation. The TEIO convection anomaly during late July results from different time scales, with the seasonal mean accounting for 30% and the 25–90-day intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) for 50%. The seasonal mean TEIO convection anomaly is related to La Niña, triggered by not only the local positive SSTA but also the negative TCP SSTA through the Walker circulation. The 25–90-day ISO features a northward-propagating convection dipole over the Indian Ocean. An enhanced ISO convection center develops over the TEIO during late July, which moves northward and is gradually replaced by suppressed convection. On the other hand, the Central Asia anticyclonic anomaly is associated with the Silk Road pattern propagating eastward along the westerly jet. During late July, a remarkable anticyclonic node moves across Central Asia, cooperating with the enhanced TEIO convection to facilitate the merging of the WNPSH and the Iran high.

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Data availability

All data used in the study are freely available, with the links listed below: NCEP-1: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis.derived.html. OISST: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.noaa.oisst.v2.highres.html.

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Funding

This study is supported by Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies (Grant 2020B1212060025), the Innovation Group Project of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) (No. 311020001) and the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (Grant 2020A1515011572).

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RC conceived and supervised the study. RC and XL performed the analyses and generated the figures. RC wrote the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Ruidan Chen.

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The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.

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Chen, R., Li, X. Causes of the persistent merging of the western North Pacific subtropical high and the Iran high during late July 2022. Clim Dyn 61, 2285–2297 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06678-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06678-x

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