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Impacts of Climate Change and Varietal Replacement on Winter Wheat Phenology in the North China Plain

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Abstract

Investigating the impacts of climate change and varietal replacement on winter wheat phenology is important for understanding the processes and mechanisms underlying crop responses and adaptations to ongoing climate change. Information on the impact of cultivar shifts on phenological trends based on field experiments is limited. In this study, we analyzed the impacts of climate change and varietal replacement on winter wheat phenology using historical meteorological and phenological data from the North China Plain and field experiments on wheat varieties at different times. The results showed that the sowing date of winter wheat was delayed in northern areas and advanced in southern areas, whereas the greening-up, heading, and maturity dates all advanced in the North China Plain. The lengths of the vegetative and whole growth phases were shortened at 70.00% and 83.33%, respectively, of the stations in the North China Plain; by contrast, the length of the reproductive growth phase was prolonged at 86.67% of the stations. The precipitation and mean temperature were correlated with the length of the growth phases. Varietal replacement prolonged the growth phase, especially the reproductive growth phase of winter wheat. Therefore, the winter wheat cultivars with longer full growing periods should be adopted in the North China Plain in response to phenological changes caused by climate warming, and the strategy adapted for winter wheat production should consider the crop phenology response to climate change. This study provides theoretical support and scientific evidence for the formulation of scientific management measures for the adaptation of winter wheat to climate change in the North China Plain.

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Acknowledgements

This study was supported by the National Key Research and Development Project (2018YFD0300507), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (31701389), the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Public Welfare Research Institutes of the Institute of Cotton Research of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (161012018018), and the postdoctoral research project in Hebei Province (B2016003032).

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Author notes

  1. Zhan-biao Wang and Jing Chen contributed to this work equally.

Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University Key Laboratory of Farming System, Ministry of Agriculture, China, Beijing, China

    Zhan-biao Wang & Fu Chen

  2. Zhengzhou Research Base, State Key Laboratory of Cotton Biology, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China

    Zhan-biao Wang & Jing Chen

  3. Institute of Cotton Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Anyang, Henan, China

    Zhan-biao Wang & Jing Chen

  4. Yunnan Academy of Tobacco Agricultural Sciences, Kunming, China

    Wen-jie Tong

  5. Science and Technology Development Center, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing, China

    Chang-chun Xu

Authors
  1. Zhan-biao Wang
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  2. Jing Chen
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  3. Wen-jie Tong
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  4. Chang-chun Xu
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  5. Fu Chen
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Correspondence to Fu Chen.

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Wang, Zb., Chen, J., Tong, Wj. et al. Impacts of Climate Change and Varietal Replacement on Winter Wheat Phenology in the North China Plain. Int. J. Plant Prod. 12, 251–263 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0024-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0024-0

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