Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Risk factors for mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures: a meta-analysis of 18 studies

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Aging Clinical and Experimental Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Background

Hip fracture is common and associated with poor outcomes in elderly patients. This meta-analysis aims to investigate the risk factors that might increase the mortality rate in elderly patients with hip fracture.

Methods

PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were systematically searched for observational studies regarding the prognostic factors of mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture. A fixed-effects or random-effects model was used to calculate pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).

Results

Eighteen cohort studies, involving 223,875 patients, were included in this meta-analysis. The most prominent factors associated with mortality were higher age (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.37, 1.67; P < 0.001), male gender (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.67, 2.19; P < 0.001), cognitive impairment (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.25, 3.40; P = 0.005), delirium (HR 2.14, 95% CI 1.50, 3.05; P < 0.001), dementia (HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.41, 5.26; P = 0.003), depression (HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.43, 2.05; P < 0.001), living with caregiver (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.43, 1.82; P < 0.001), cardiovascular disease (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.14, 3.86; P = 0.018), renal disease (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.52, 1.82; P < 0.001), and malignancy (HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.30, 2.37; P = 0.031), whereas respiratory disease (HR 1.49, 95% CI 0.99, 2.24; P = 0.056), diabetes (HR 1.15, 95% CI 0.96, 1.37; P = 0.121), and smoking (HR 1.54, 95% CI 0.64, 3.71; P = 0.337) did not increase the risk of mortality.

Conclusion

The current study investigated several factors that might increase the risk of mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture. Further studies are needed to evaluate the effectiveness of specific interventions to reduce the risk of mortality.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Guccione AA, Felson DT, Anderson JJ, Anthony JM, Zhang Y, Wilson PW, Kelly-Hayes M, Wolf PA, Kreger BE, Kannel WB (1994) The effects of specific medical conditions on the functional limitations of elders in the Framingham Study. Am J Public Health 84:351–358

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  2. Hopkins RB, Pullenayegum E, Goeree R, Adachi JD, Papaioannou A, Leslie WD, Tarride JE, Thabane L (2012) Estimation of the lifetime risk of hip fracture for women and men in Canada. Osteoporos Int 23:921–927

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  3. Johnell O, Kanis JA, Oden A, Sernbo I, Redlund-Johnell I, Petterson C, De Laet C, Jonsson B (2004) Mortality after osteoporotic fractures. Osteoporos Int 15:38–42

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  4. Keene GS, Parker MJ, Pryor GA (1993) Mortality and morbidity after hip fractures. Bmj 307:1248–1250

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  5. Pires RE, Prata EF, Gibram AV, Santos LE, Lourenco PR, Belloti JC (2012) Radiographic anatomy of the proximal femur: correlation with the occurrence of fractures. Acta Ortop Bras 20:79–83

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  6. Diamantopoulos AP, Rohde G, Johnsrud I, Skoie IM, Johnsen V, Hochberg M, Haugeberg G (2012) Incidence rates of fragility hip fracture in middle-aged and elderly men and women in southern Norway. Age Ageing 41:86–92

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  7. Marcantonio ER, Flacker JM, Wright RJ, Resnick NM (2001) Reducing delirium after hip fracture: a randomized trial. J Am Geriatr Soc 49:516–522

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  8. Resnick B, Daly MP (1997) The effect of cognitive status on outcomes following rehabilitation. Fam Med 29:400–405

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  9. Khan MA, Hossain FS, Ahmed I, Muthukumar N, Mohsen A (2013) Predictors of early mortality after hip fracture surgery. Int Orthop 37:2119–2124

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  10. Nettleman MD, Alsip J, Schrader M, Schulte M (1996) Predictors of mortality after acute hip fracture. J Gen Intern Med 11:765–767

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  11. Stroup DF, Berlin JA, Morton SC, Olkin I, Williamson GD, Rennie D, Moher D, Becker BJ, Sipe TA, Thacker SB (2000) Meta-analysis of observational studies in epidemiology: a proposal for reporting. Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) group. JAMA 283:2008–2012

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  12. Wells G, Shea B, O’connell D, Peterson J, Welch V (2000) The Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) for assessing the quality of nonrandomized studies in meta-analyses. In: Proceedings of the 3rd symposium on systematic reviews: beyond the basics, Jul 3–5. Centre for Statistics in Medicine, St Catherine's College, Oxford, UK

  13. Higgins JP, Thompson SG, Deeks JJ, Altman DG (2003) Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses. BMJ 327:557–560

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  14. Mantel N, Haenszel W (1959) Statistical aspects of the analysis of data from retrospective studies of disease. J Natl Cancer Inst 22:719–748

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  15. DerSimonian R, Laird N (1986) Meta-analysis in clinical trials. Control Clin Trials 7:177–188

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. Begg CB, Mazumdar M (1994) Operating characteristics of a rank correlation test for publication bias. Biometrics 50:1088–1101

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  17. Egger M, Davey Smith G, Schneider M, Minder C (1997) Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test. Bmj 315:629–634

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  18. Ruggiero C, Bonamassa L, Pelini L, Prioletta I, Cianferotti L, Metozzi A, Benvenuti E, Brandi G, Guazzini A, Santoro GC et al (2017) Early post-surgical cognitive dysfunction is a risk factor for mortality among hip fracture hospitalized older persons. Osteoporos Int 28:667–675

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  19. Soderqvist A, Miedel R, Ponzer S, Tidermark J (2006) The influence of cognitive function on outcome after a hip fracture. J Bone Jt Surg Am 88:2115–2123

    Google Scholar 

  20. Soderqvist A, Ekstrom W, Ponzer S, Pettersson H, Cederholm T, Dalen N, Hedstrom M, Tidermark J (2009) Prediction of mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures: a two-year prospective study of 1,944 patients. Gerontology 55:496–504

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  21. Guo Y, Sun T, Wang X, Li S, Liu Z (2014) Cognitive impairment and 1-year outcome in elderly patients with hip fracture. Med Sci Monit 20:1963–1968

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  22. Bellelli G, Mazzola P, Morandi A, Bruni A, Carnevali L, Corsi M, Zatti G, Zambon A, Corrao G, Olofsson B et al (2014) Duration of postoperative delirium is an independent predictor of 6-month mortality in older adults after hip fracture. J Am Geriatr Soc 62:1335–1340

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  23. Dubljanin Raspopovic E, Markovic Denic L, Marinkovic J, Radinovic K, Ilic N, Tomanovic Vujadinovic S, Kadija M (2014) Early mortality after hip fracture: what matters? Psychogeriatrics 15:95–101

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Nightingale S, Holmes J, Mason J, House A (2001) Psychiatric illness and mortality after hip fracture. Lancet 357:1264–1265

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  25. Kat MG, de Jonghe JF, Vreeswijk R, van der Ploeg T, van Gool WA, Eikelenboom P, Kalisvaart KJ (2011) Mortality associated with delirium after hip-surgery: a 2-year follow-up study. Age Ageing 40:312–318

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  26. Juliebo V, Krogseth M, Skovlund E, Engedal K, Ranhoff AH, Wyller TB (2010) Delirium is not associated with mortality in elderly hip fracture patients. Dement Geriatr Cogn Disord 30:112–120

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  27. Tolppanen AM, Taipale H, Tanskanen A, Tiihonen J, Hartikainen S (2016) Comparison of predictors of hip fracture and mortality after hip fracture in community-dwellers with and without Alzheimer’s disease—exposure-matched cohort study. BMC Geriatr 16:204

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  28. Porter CJ, Moppett IK, Juurlink I, Nightingale J, Moran CG, Devonald MA (2017) Acute and chronic kidney disease in elderly patients with hip fracture: prevalence, risk factors and outcome with development and validation of a risk prediction model for acute kidney injury. BMC Nephrol 18:20

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  29. Kristensen PK, Thillemann TM, Pedersen AB, Soballe K, Johnsen SP (2016) Socioeconomic inequality in clinical outcome among hip fracture patients: a nationwide cohort study. Osteoporos Int 28:1233–1243

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  30. Padron-Monedero A, Lopez-Cuadrado T, Galan I, Martinez-Sanchez EV, Martin P, Fernandez-Cuenca R (2017) Effect of comorbidities on the association between age and hospital mortality after fall-related hip fracture in elderly patients. Osteoporos Int 28:1559–1568

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  31. Katsanos S, Mavrogenis AF, Kafkas N, Sardu C, Kamperidis V, Katsanou P, Farmakis D, Parissis J (2017) Cardiac biomarkers predict 1-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery. Orthopedics 40:e417–e424

  32. Guerra MT, Viana RD, Feil L, Feron ET, Maboni J, Vargas AS (2017) One-year mortality of elderly patients with hip fracture surgically treated at a hospital in Southern Brazil. Rev Bras Ortop 52:17–23

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  33. Kilci O, Un C, Sacan O, Gamli M, Baskan S, Baydar M, Ozkurt B (2016) Postoperative mortality after hip fracture surgery: a 3 years follow up. PLoS One 11:e0162097

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  34. Choi JY, Cho KJ, Kim SW, Yoon SJ, Kang MG, Kim KI, Lee YK, Koo KH, Kim CH (2017) Prediction of mortality and postoperative complications using the hip-multidimensional frailty score in elderly patients with hip fracture. Sci Rep 7:42966

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  35. Solbakken SM, Meyer HE, Stigum H, Sogaard AJ, Holvik K, Magnus JH, Omsland TK (2017) Excess mortality following hip fracture: impact of self-perceived health, smoking, and body mass index. A NOREPOS study. Osteoporos Int 28:881–887

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  36. Compston J (2010) Osteoporosis: social and economic impact. Radiol Clin North Am 48:477–482

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  37. Cree M, Soskolne CL, Belseck E, Hornig J, McElhaney JE, Brant R, Suarez-Almazor M (2000) Mortality and institutionalization following hip fracture. J Am Geriatr Soc 48:283–288

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  38. Center JR, Nguyen TV, Schneider D, Sambrook PN, Eisman JA (1999) Mortality after all major types of osteoporotic fracture in men and women: an observational study. Lancet 353:878–882

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  39. Wehren LE, Hawkes WG, Orwig DL, Hebel JR, Zimmerman SI, Magaziner J (2003) Gender differences in mortality after hip fracture: the role of infection. J Bone Miner Res 18:2231–2237

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. Khan MA, Hossain FS, Dashti Z, Muthukumar N (2012) Causes and predictors of early re-admission after surgery for a fracture of the hip. J Bone Jt Surg Br 94:690–697

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  41. Edwards C, Counsell A, Boulton C, Moran CG (2008) Early infection after hip fracture surgery: risk factors, costs and outcome. J Bone Jt Surg Br 90:770–777

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  42. Schaller F, Sidelnikov E, Theiler R, Egli A, Staehelin HB, Dick W, Dawson-Hughes B, Grob D, Platz A, Can U, Bischoff-Ferrari HA (2012) Mild to moderate cognitive impairment is a major risk factor for mortality and nursing home admission in the first year after hip fracture. Bone 51:347–352

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  43. Moller JT, Cluitmans P, Rasmussen LS, Houx P, Rasmussen H, Canet J, Rabbitt P, Jolles J, Larsen K, Hanning CD et al (1998) Long-term postoperative cognitive dysfunction in the elderly ISPOCD1 study. ISPOCD investigators. International Study of Post-Operative Cognitive Dysfunction. Lancet 351:857–861

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  44. Tucker AM, Stern Y (2011) Cognitive reserve in aging. Curr Alzheimer Res 8:354–360

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  45. Edelstein DM, Aharonoff GB, Karp A, Capla EL, Zuckerman JD, Koval KJ (2004) Effect of postoperative delirium on outcome after hip fracture. Clin Orthop Relat Res 422:195–200

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. Lundstrom M, Edlund A, Bucht G, Karlsson S, Gustafson Y (2003) Dementia after delirium in patients with femoral neck fractures. J Am Geriatr Soc 51:1002–1006

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  47. Feldt KS, Ryden MB, Miles S (1998) Treatment of pain in cognitively impaired compared with cognitively intact older patients with hip-fracture. J Am Geriatr Soc 46:1079–1085

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  48. Sun T, Wang X, Liu Z, Chen X, Zhang J (2011) Plasma concentrations of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines and outcome prediction in elderly hip fracture patients. Injury 42:707–713

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  49. Yang S, Hu S, Hsieh YC, Choudhry MA, Rue LW 3rd, Bland KI, Chaudry IH (2006) Mechanism of IL-6-mediated cardiac dysfunction following trauma-hemorrhage. J Mol Cell Cardiol 40:570–579

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  50. Neto JS, Dias CR, de Almeida JD (2011) Epidemiological characteristics and causes of proximal femoral fractures among the elderly. Rev Bras Ortop 46:660–667

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  51. Wang CB, Lin CF, Liang WM, Cheng CF, Chang YJ, Wu HC, Wu TN, Leu TH (2013) Excess mortality after hip fracture among the elderly in Taiwan: a nationwide population-based cohort study. Bone 56:147–153

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  52. Belmont PJ Jr, Garcia EJ, Romano D, Bader JO, Nelson KJ, Schoenfeld AJ (2014) Risk factors for complications and in-hospital mortality following hip fractures: a study using the National Trauma Data Bank. Arch Orthop Trauma Surg 134:597–604

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  53. Pugely AJ, Martin CT, Gao Y, Klocke NF, Callaghan JJ, Marsh JL (2014) A risk calculator for short-term morbidity and mortality after hip fracture surgery. J Orthop Trauma 28:63–69

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zhiqian Wang.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

All the authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Funding

None.

Ethical statement

The study complies with ethical standards.

Informed consent

For this type of study formal consent is not required.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Eligibility of studies for inclusion in meta-analysis (TIF 751 KB)

Forest plot showing the relationship between age and mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture (TIF 1260 KB)

Forest plot showing the relationship between gender and mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture (TIF 1309 KB)

40520_2017_789_MOESM4_ESM.tif

Forest plot showing the relationship between cognitive impairment and mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture (TIF 1474 KB)

40520_2017_789_MOESM5_ESM.tif

Forest plot showing the relationship between psychiatric illness and mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture (TIF 1163 KB)

40520_2017_789_MOESM6_ESM.tif

Forest plot showing the relationship between living with caregiver and mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture (TIF 1459 KB)

40520_2017_789_MOESM7_ESM.tif

Forest plot showing the relationship between comorbidities and mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture (TIF 1190 KB)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Liu, Y., Wang, Z. & Xiao, W. Risk factors for mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures: a meta-analysis of 18 studies. Aging Clin Exp Res 30, 323–330 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40520-017-0789-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40520-017-0789-5

Keywords

Navigation