Abstract
Objective
To compare the ability of different frailty indexes based on a standardized comprehensive geriatric assessment (FI-CGAs) for predicting adverse outcomes.
Design and Setting
Prospective cohort study. Geriatric wards of a general hospital.
Participants
307 hospitalized patients ≥ 65 years.
Measurements
The FI-CGA-10D (potential health deficits in ten functional domains), the FI-CGA-10D+CM (aforementioned potential health deficits and co-morbidity burden) and the FI-CGA-MIHD (multiple, individual potential health deficits, including functional deficits, co-morbid diseases, amongst others) were assessed at baseline during the patients` hospital stay. The FI-CGAs were analyzed as categorical (according to a FI-CGA score < and ≥ 0.25) and continuous variables. Patients were followed up over 6 months.
Results
The FI-CGA-10D, FI-CGA-10+CM and the FI-CGA-MIHD predicted 6-month mortality when expressed as categorical (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): AUC = 0.611, AUC = 0.637, AUC = 0.616, all p < 0.050, respectively) or continuous variables (AUC = 0.769, AUC = 0.837, AUC = 0.834, all p < 0.001, respectively). AUC comparisons showed that all three FI-CGAs exhibited a comparable ability to predict 6-month mortality when the FI-CGAs were expressed as categorical variables (all p > 0.200) and the FI-CGA-10D+CM and the FI-CGA-MIHD showed a better ability to predict 6-month mortality than the FI-CGA-10D, when the FI-CGAs were expressed as continuous variables (p < 0.001 and p = 0.007, respectively). None of the FI-CGAs predicted any of the other outcomes, i.e., unplanned re-admission to hospital and a fall during follow-up, irrespective of whether the FI-CGAs were expressed as categorical or continuous variables (all p ≥ 0.050).
Conclusions
The more complex FI-CGAs, i.e., the FI-CGA-10D+CM and the FI-CGA-MIHD, revealed better ability to predict 6 month mortality than the more simple FI-CGA, i.e., the FI-CGA-10D.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Clegg A, Young J, Iliffe S, Rikkert MO, Rockwood K. Frailty in elderly people. Lancet. 2013;381(9868):752–62.
Dorner TE, Luger E, Tschinderle J, Stein KV, Haider S, Kapan A, et al. Association between nutritional status (MNA@-SF) and frailty (SHARE-FI) in acute hospitalised elderly patients. J Nutr Health Aging., 2014;18(3):264–9.
Kobayashi S, Asakura K, Suga H, Sasaki S, Three-Generation Study of Women on Diets and Health Study Groups. Inverse association between dietary habits with high total antioxidant capacity and prevalence of frailty among elderly Japanese women: a multicenter cross-sectional study. J Nutr Health Aging. 2014;18(9):827–39.
Halil M, Cemal Kizilarslanoglu M, Emin Kuyumcu M, Yesil Y, Cruz-Jentoft AJ. Cognitive aspects of frailty: mechanisms behind the link between frailty and cognitive impairment. J Nutr Health Aging. 2015;19(3):276–83.
Fried LP, Tangen CM, Walston J, Newman AB, Hirsch C, Gottdiener J, et al. Frailty in older adults: Evidence for a phenotype. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2001;56A:M146–M56.
Mitnitski A, Mogilner AJ, Rockwood K. Accumulation of deficits as a proxy measure of ageing. ScientificWorldJournal. 2001;1:323–36.
Rockwood K, Mitnitski A. How might deficit accumulation give rise to frailty. J Frailty Aging. 2012;1(1):8–12.
Rockwood K, Silvius JL, Fox RA. Comprehensive geriatric assessment. Helping your elderly patients maintain functional well-being. Postgrad Med. 1998;103(3):247–64.
Jones DM, Song X, Rockwood K. Operationalizing a frailty index from a stadardized comprehensive geriatric assessment. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2004;52:1929–33.
Jones D, Song X, Mitnitski A, Rockwood K. Evaluation of a frailty index based on a comprehensive geriatric assessment in a population based study of elderly Canadians. Aging Clin Exp Res. 2005;17:465–71.
Rockwood K, Rockwood MRH, Mitnitski A. Physiological redundancy in older adults in relation to the change with age in the slope of a frailty index. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2010;58:318–23.
Pilotto A, Rengo F, Marchionni N, Sancarlo D, Fontana A, Panza F, et al. Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients. PLoS ONE. 2011;7(1):e29090.
Evans SJ, Sayers M, Mitnitski A, Rockwood K. The risk of adverse outcomes in hospitalized older patients in relation to a frailty index based on a comprehensive geriatric assessment. Age Ageing. 2014;43(1):127–32.
Theou O, Brothers TD, Mitnitski A, Rockwood K. Operationalization of frailty using eight commonly used scales and comparison of their ability to predict all-cause mortality. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2013;61(9):1537–51.
Cornwell Y, Forbes NT, Cox C, Caine ED. Validation of a measure of physical illness burden at autopsy: The cumulative illness rating scale. J Am Geriatr Soc. 1993;41:38–41.
Rockwood K, Andrew M, Mitnitski A. A comparison of two apporaches to measuring frailty in elderly people. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2007;62A:738–43.
Swets K. Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science. 1988;240:1285–93.
Hanley JA, McNeil BJ. A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases. Radiology. 1983;148:839–43.
St John PD, Tyas SL, Menec V, Tate R. Multimorbidity, disability, and mortality in community-dwelling older adults. Can Fam Physician. 2014;60:e272–80.
Menotti A, Mulder I, Nissinen A, Giampaoli S, Feskens EJ, Kromhout D. Prevalence of morbidity and multimorbidity in elderly male populations and their impact on 10-year all-cause mortality: The FINE study (Finland, Italy, Netherlands, Elderly). J Clin Epidemiol. 2001;54(7):680–6.
Bien B, Bien-Barkowska K, Wojskowicz A, Kasiukiewicz A, Woyszel ZB. Prognostic factors of long-term survival in geriatric inpatients. Should we change the recommendations for the oldest people? J Nutr Health Aging. 2015;19(4):481–8.
Chen C, Sia I, Ma H-M, Tai BC, Fong NP, Tan SYJ, et al. The synergistic effect of functinoal status and comorbidity burden on mortality: a 16-year survivial analysis. PLoS ONE. 2014;9(8):e106248.
Malmstrom TK, Miller DK, Morley JE. A comparison of four frailty models. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2014;62(4):721–6.
Perna L, Wahl HW, Mons U, Saum KU, Holleczek B, Brenner H. Cognitiv impairment, all-cause and cause-specific mortality among non-demented older adults. Age Ageing. 2014.
Sachs GA, Carter R, Holtz LR, Smith F, Stump TE, Tu W, et al. Cognitiv impairment: an independent predictor of ecxess mortality: a cohort study. Arch Intern Med. 2011;155(5):300–8.
Fisher DF, Li CM, Chiu MS, Themann CL, Petersen H, Jonasson F, et al. Impairments in hearing and vision impact on mortality in older people: the AGESReykjavik Study. Age Ageing. 2014;43:69–76.
Genther DJ, Betz J, Pratt S, Kritchevsky SB, Martin KR, Harris TB, et al. Association of hearing impairment and mortality in older adults. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2015;70(1):85–90.
Idland G, Engedal K, Bergland A. Physical performance and 13.5-year mortality in elderly women. Scand J Public Health. 2013;41(1):102–8.
De Buyser SL, Petrovic M, Taes YE, Toye KR, Kaufman JM, Goemaere S. Physical function measurement predict mortality in ambulatory older men. Eur J Clin Invest. 2013;43(4):379–86.
Abizanda P, Romero L, Sanchez-Jurado PM, Martinez-Reig M, Alfonso-Silguero SA, Rodriguez-Manas L. Age, frailty, disability, institutionalization, multimorbidity or comorbidity. Which are the main targets in older adults? J Nutr Health Aging. 2014;18(6):622–7.
Holroyd-Leduc JM, Mehta KM, Covinsky KE. Urinary incontinence and its association with death, nursing home admission, and functional decline. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2004;52(5):712–8.
Bootsma AM, Buurman BM, Geerlings SE, de Rooij SE. Urinary incontinence and indwelling urinary catheters in acutely admitted elderly patients: relationship with mortality, institutionalization, and functional decline. J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2013;14(2):147.e7–12.
Giltay EJ, Vollaard AM, Kromhout D. Self-rated health and physician-rated health as independent predictors of mortality in elderly men. Age Ageing. 2012;41(2):165–71.
Wou F, Gladman JRF, Bradshaw L, Franklin M, Edmans J, Conroy SP. The predictive properties of frailty-rating scales in the acute medical unit. Age Ageing. 2013;42:776–81.
Wallis SJ, Wall J, Biram RW, Romero-Ortuno R. Association of the clinical frailty scale with hospital outcomes. QJM. 2015. doi:10.1093/qjmed/hcv066
Cummings SR, Nevitt MC, Kidd S. Forgetting falls. The limited accuracy of recall of falls in the elderly. J Am Geriatr Soc. 1988;36(7):613–6.
Searle S, Mitnitski A, Gahbauer EA, Gill TM, Rockwood K. A standard procedure for creating a frailty index. BMC Geriatrics. 2008;8(24).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Ritt, M., Rádi, K.H., Schwarz, C. et al. A comparison of frailty indexes based on a comprehensive geriatric assessment for the prediction of adverse outcomes. J Nutr Health Aging 20, 760–767 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12603-015-0644-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12603-015-0644-3