Abstract
A comprehensive Landslide Susceptibility Zonation (LSZ) map is sought for adopting any landslide preventive and mitigation measures. In the present study, LSZ map of landslide prone Ganeshganga watershed (known for Patalganga Landslide) has been generated using a binary logistic regression (BLR) model. Relevant thematic layers pertaining to the causative factors for landslide occurrences, such as slope, aspect, relative relief, lithology, tectonic structures, lineaments, land use and land cover, distance to drainage, drainage density and anthropogenic factors like distance to road, have been generated using remote sensing images, field survey, ancillary data and GIS techniques. The coefficients of the causative factors retained by the BLR model along with the constant have been used to construct the landslide susceptibility map of the study area, which has further been categorized into four landslide susceptibility zones from high to very low. The resultant landslide susceptibility map was validated using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showing an accuracy of 95.2 % for an independent set of test samples. The result also showed a strong agreement between distribution of existing landslides and predicted landslide susceptibility zones.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Anbalagan, R. (1992). Landslide hazard evaluation and zonation mapping in mountainous terrain. Engineering Geology, 32, 269–277.
Ayalew, L., & Yamagishi, H. (2005). The application of GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Kakuda–Yahiko Mountains, Central Japan. Geomorphology, 65, 15–31.
Baeza, C., & Corominas, J. (2001). Assessment of hallow landslide susceptibility by means of multivariate statistical techniques. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 26, 1251–1263.
Begueria, S., & Lorente, A. (2002). Landslide hazard mapping by multivariate statistics: comparison of methods and case study in the Spanish Pyrenees (p. 19). Saragossa, Spain: Technical report. Instituto Pirenaico de Ecologia.
Champatiray, P. K., Suvarna, D., Lakhera, R. C., & Sati, S. (2007). Fuzzy based method for landslide hazard zonation in active seismic zone of Himalaya. Landslides, 5(4), 101–111.
Chauhan, S., Sharma, M., & Arora, M. K. (2010). Landslide susceptibility zonation of the Chamoli region, Garhwal Himalayas, using logistic regression model. Landslides, 7, 411–423.
Dahal, R. K., Hasegawa, S., Nonomura, A., Yamanaka, M., & Dhakal, S. (2008). DEM-based deterministic landslide hazard analysis in the Lesser Himalaya of Nepal. Georisk, 2(3), 161–178.
Das, I., Sahoo, S., Van Westen, C. J., Stein, A., & Hack, R. (2010). Landslide susceptibility assessment using logistic regression and its comparision with a rock mass classification system, along a road section in the northern Himalayas (India). Geomorphology, 114, 627–637.
GSI. (2002). Geological Map 53 N series. Geological Survey of India.
Jensen, J. R. (1996). Introductory digital image processing: A remote sensing perspective. New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
Johnson, D. E. (1998). Applied multivariate methods for data analysis. Pacific Grove: Duxbury.
Kanungo, D. P., Arora, M. K., Sarkar, S., & Gupta, R. P. (2006). A comparative study of conventional, ANN black box, fuzzy and combined neural and fuzzy weighting procedures for landslide susceptibility Zonation in Darjeeling Himalayas. Engineering Geology, 85, 347–366.
Kleianbum, D. G. (1994). Logistic regression: A self learning text (p. 282). New York: Springer.
Kumar, K. & Sati, D. (2005). Exploring the History of Alaknanda-Patalganga Tragedy of 1970 & Possibility of its Recurrence and Impacts on Patalganga Basin—A GIS and Remote Sensing Based Study. Proceedings of the 8th Annual International Conference, Map India, 2005, New Delhi.
Lee, S., Chwae, U., & Min, K. (2002). Landslide susceptibility mapping by correlation between topography and geological structure: The Janghung area, Korea. Geomorphology, 46, 149–162.
Mathew, J., Jha, V. K., & Rawat, G. S. (2007). Weights of evidence modelling for landslide hazard zonation mapping in part of Bhagirathi valley, Uttarakhand. Current Science, 92(5), 628–638.
Mathew, J., Jha, V. K., & Rawat, G. S. (2009). Landslide susceptibility zonation mapping and its validation in part of Garhwal Lesser Himalaya, India, using binary logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve method. Landslides, 6, 17–26.
Micheletti, N., Foresti, L., Kanevski, Pedrazzini, M. A. & Jaboyedoff, M. (2011). Landslide susceptibility mapping using adaptive Support Vector Machines and feature selection Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU, vol. 13, 2011.
Miner, A. S., Vamplew, P., Windle, D. J., Flentje, P., & Warner, P. (2010). A comparative study of various data mining techniques as applied to the modeling of landslide susceptibility on the Bellarine Peninsula, Victoria, Australia. In A. L. Williams, G. M. Pinches, C. Y. Chin, & T. J. McMorran (Eds.), Geologically Active (p. 352). New York: CRC Press.
NDMA. (2009). Management of landslides and snow Avalanches 2009 (p. 144). New Delhi: National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), Government of India.
Nefeslioglu, H. A., Sezer, E., Gokceoglu, C., Bozkir, A. S., & Duman, T. Y. (2010). Assessment of landslide susceptibility by decision trees in the metropolitan area of Istanbul, Turkey. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2010(901095), 15. doi:10.1155/2010/901095.
Ohlmacher, C. G., & Davis, J. C. (2003). Using multiple logistic regression and GIS technology to predict landslide hazard in northeast Kansas, USA. Engineering Geology, 69, 331–343.
Pradhan, B. (2010). Landslide susceptibility mapping of a catchment area using frequency ratio, fuzzy logic and multivariate logistic regression approaches. Journal of Indian Society of Remote Sensing, 38(2), 301–320.
Pradhan, B., Sezer, E., Gokceoglu, C., & Buchroithner, M. F. (2010). ANFIS modeling for the assessment of landslide susceptibility for the Cameron Highland (Malaysia). Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU, 12, 2010.
Refice, A., & Capolongo, D. (2002). Probabilistic modeling of uncertainties in earthquake induced landslide hazard assessment. Computers & Geosciences, 28, 735–749.
Saha, A. K., Gupta, R. P., & Arora, M. K. (2002). GIS based landslide susceptibility zonation in part of the Himalayas. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 23, 357–369.
Saha, A. K., Gupta, R. P., Sarkar, I., Arora, M. K., & Csaplovics, E. (2005). An approach for GIS-based statistical landslide susceptibility zonation with a case study in the Himalayas. Landslides, 2, 61–69.
Saito, H., Nakayama, D., & Matsuyama, H. (2009). Comparison of landslide susceptibility based on a decision-tree model and actual landslide occurrence: the Akaishi Mountains, Japan. Geomorphology, 109(3–4), 108–121.
Samui, P. (2008). Slope stability analysis: A support vector machine approach. Environmental Geology, 56(2), 255–267.
Sharma, M., & Kumar, R. (2008). GIS-based landslide hazard zonation: A case study from the Parwanoo area, Lesser and Outer Himalaya, H.P., India. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 67, 129–137.
Sinha, B. N., Varma, R. S., & Paul, D. K. (1975). Landslides in Darjeeling district (West Bengal) and adjacent areas. Bulletin of Geological Survey of India, Serial No B, 36, 1–45.
Soria, D., Garibaldi, J. M., Ambrogi, F., Biganzoli, E. M., & Ellis, I. O. (2011). A non-parametric version of the naive Bayes classifier. Knowledge-Based Systems, 24(6), 775–784.
Suzen, M. L., & Doyuran, V. (2004). A comparison of the GIS based landslide susceptibility assessment methods: multivariate versus bivariate. Environmental Geology, 45, 665–679.
Swets, J. A. (1988). Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science, 240, 1285–1293.
Tien Bui, D., Lofman, O., Revhaug, I., & Dick, O. (2011). Landslide susceptibility analysis in the Hoa Binh province of Vietnam using statistical index and logistic regression. Natural Hazards, 59, 1413–1444.
Tien Bui, D., Pradhan, B., Lofman, O., & Revhaug, I. (2012). Landslide susceptibility assessment in vietnam using support vector machines, decision tree, and Naive Bayes Models. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 12(974638), 26. doi:10.1155/2012/974638.
Terlien, M. T. J., Van Westen, C. J., & Van Asch, T. W. J. (1995). Deterministic modelling in GIS-based landslide hazard assessment. In A. Carrara & F. Guzzetti (Eds.), Geographical information systems in assessing natural hazards (pp. 57–77). Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Tzu-Tsung, W. (2012). A hybrid discretization method for naive Bayesian classifiers. Pattern Recognition, 45(6), 2321–2325.
Vanwalleghem, T., Van Den Eeckhaut, M., Poesen, J., Govers, G., & Deckers, J. (2008). Spatial analysis of factors controlling the presence of closed depressions and gullies under forest: Application of rare event logistic regression. Geomorphology, 95(15), 504–517.
Van Westen, C. J., Rengers, N., & Soeters, R. (2003). Use of geomorphological information in indirect landslide susceptibility assessment. Natural Hazards, 30(3), 399–419.
Wan, S., & Lei, T. C. (2009). A knowledge-based decision support system to analyze the debris-flow problems at Chen-Yu-Lan River, Taiwan. Knowledge-Based Systems, 22(8), 580–588.
Yeon, Y. K., Han, J. G., & Ryu, K. H. (2010). Landslide susceptibility mapping in Injae, Korea, using a decision tree. Engineering Geology, 116(3–4), 274–283.
Yilmaz, I. (2010). Comparison of landslide susceptibility mapping methodologies for Koyulhisar, Turkey: Conditional probability, logistic regression, artificial neural networks, and Support Vector Machine. Environmental Earth Sciences, 61(4), 821–836.
Yin, K. L. and Yan, T. Z. (1988). Statistical prediction model for slope instability of metamorphosed rocks. In: Proceedings of 5th International Symposium on Landslides, Lausanne, Switzerland, 2, 1269–1272.
Acknowledgements
Sanjit Kundu is grateful to all the personnel of DIGIT, for rendering unstinted support and encouragement. Dr K P Sharma, General Manager, RRSC-North, Dehradun, ISRO, Department of Space, for providing part of the relevant data. The authors sincerely acknowledge Director, Map and Cartography Division, Geological Survey of India, Lucknow for permission to refer Geological map. This manuscript has been greatly benefited from the suggestions of both the anonymous reviewers.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
About this article
Cite this article
Kundu, S., Saha, A.K., Sharma, D.C. et al. Remote Sensing and GIS Based Landslide Susceptibility Assessment using Binary Logistic Regression Model: A Case Study in the Ganeshganga Watershed, Himalayas. J Indian Soc Remote Sens 41, 697–709 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-012-0255-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-012-0255-y