Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Landslide susceptibility zonation of the Chamoli region, Garhwal Himalayas, using logistic regression model

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Landslides Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A remote sensing and Geographic Information System-based study has been carried out for landslide susceptibility zonation in the Chamoli region, part of Garhwal Himalayas. Logistic regression has been applied to correlate the presence of landslides with independent physical factors including slope, aspect, relative relief, land use/cover, lithology, lineament, and drainage density. Coefficients of the categories of each factor have been obtained and used to assess the landslide probability value to ultimately categorize the area into various landslide susceptibility zones; very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The results show that 71.13% of observed landslides fall in 21.96% of predicted very high and high susceptibility zone, which in fact should be the case. Furthermore, lineament first buffer category (0–500 m) and the east and south aspects are the most influential in causing landslides in the region.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aleotti P, Chowdhury R (1999) Landslide hazard assessment: summary review and new perspectives. Bull Eng Geol Environ 58(1):21–44

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anbalagan R (1992) Landslide susceptibility evaluation and zonation mapping in mountainous terrain. Eng Geol 32:269–277

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ayalew L, Yamagishi H (2005) The application of GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Kakuda–Yahiko Mountains, Central Japan. Geomorphology 65:15–31

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Begueria S, Lorente A (2002) Landslide susceptibility mapping by multivariate statistics: comparison of methods and case study in the Spanish Pyrenees. Technical report, Instituto Pirenaico de Ecologia, Zaragoza, Spain

  • Chen Z, Wang J (2007) Landslide hazard mapping using logistic regression model in Mackenzie Valley Canada. Nat Hazards 42:75–89

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clerici A, Dall’Olio N (1995) La realizzazione di una carta della stabilità potenziale dei versanti mediante tecniche di analisi statistica multivariata e un Sistema d’Informazione Geografica. Journ Tech Environ Geol 4:49–57

    Google Scholar 

  • Dai FC, Lee CF (2002) Landslide characteristics and slope instability modelling using GIS. Lantau Island, Hong Kong. Geomorphology 42:213–238

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dai FC, Lee CF, Li J, Xu ZW (2001) Assessment of landslide hazard on the natural terrain of Lantau Island, Hong Kong. Environ Geol 40:381–391

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gobin A, Campling P, Feyen J (2001) Logistic modelling to identify and monitor local land management systems. Agric Syst 67:1–20

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gorsevski PV, Gessler P, Foltz RB (2000) Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility using logistic regression and GIS. In Proceedings of 4th International Conference on integrating GIS and environmental modelling: problems, prospects and research needs, Banff, Alberta, 2–8

  • Hosmer D, Lemeshow S (1989) Applied logistic regression. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee S (2005) Application of logistic regression model and its validation for landslide susceptibility mapping using GIS and remote sensing data. Int J Remote Sens 26:1477–1491

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lin ML, Tung CC (2003) A GIS-based potential analysis of the landslides induced by the Chi-Chi earthquake. Eng Geol 71:63–77

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mathew J, Jha VK, Rawat GS (2005) Application of binary logistic regression analysis and its validation for landslide hazard mapping in part of Garhwal Himalaya, India. Int J Remote Sens 28:2257–2275

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mathew J, Jha VK, Rawat GS (2009) Landslide susceptibility zonation mapping and its validation in part of Garhwal Lesser Himalaya, India, using binary logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve method. Landslides 6:17–26

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ohlmacher CG, Davis JC (2003) Using multiple logistic regression and GIS technology to predict landslide susceptibility in northeast Kansas, USA. Eng Geol 69:331–343

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • O’ Leary DW, Friedman JD, Pohn HA (1976) Lineament, linear and lineation: some proposed new standards for old terms. Bull Geol Soc Am 87:1463–1469

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Saha AK, Gupta RP, Arora MK (2002) GIS based landslide susceptibility zonation in part of the Himalayas. Int J Remote Sens 23:357–369

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Saha AK, Gupta RP, Sarkar I, Arora MK, Csaplovics E (2005) An approach for GIS based statistical landslide susceptibility zonation—with a case study in Himalayas. Landslides 2:61–69

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sarkar S, Kanungo DP (2004) An integrated approach for landslide susceptibility mapping using remote sensing and GIS. Photogramm Eng Remote Sens 70(5):617–625

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharma M, Kumar R (2008) GIS-based landslide hazard zonation: a case study from the Parwanoo area, Lesser and Outer Himalaya, H.P., India. Bull Eng Geol Environ 67:129–137

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Soeters R, van Westen CJ (1996) Slope instability recognition analysis and zonation. In: Turner KT, Schuster RL (eds) Landslides: investigation and mitigation. Special Report No. 247, pp 129–177, Transportation Research Board National Research Council, Washington, DC

  • Suzen ML (2002) Data driven landslide hazard assessment using geographical information system and remote sensing. Ph.D. Thesis, Middle East Technical Univesity, Turkey, p 196

  • Süzen ML, Doyuran V (2003) A comparison of the GIS based landslide susceptibility assessment methods: multivariate versus bivariate. Environ Geol 45:665–679

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Swets JA (1988) Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 240:1285–1293

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Valdiya KS (1980) Geology of Kumaon lesser Himalayas. Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, India, p 291

    Google Scholar 

  • Van Den Eeckhaut M, Vanwalleghem T, Poesen J, Govers G, Verstraeten G, Vandekerckhove L (2006) Prediction of landslide susceptibility using rare events logistic regression—a case-study in the Flemish Ardennes (Belgium). Geomorphology 76:392–410

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vanwalleghem T, Van Den Eeckhaut M, Poesen J, Govers G, Deckers J (2008) Spatial analysis of factors controlling the presence of closed depressions and gullies under forest: application of rare event logistic regression. Geomorphology 95 15:504–517

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van Westen CJ, Rengers N, Terlien MTJ, Soeters R (1997) Prediction of the occurrence of slope instability phenomena through GIS based hazard zonation. Geol Rundsch 86:404–414

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Williams CJ, Lee SS, Fisher RA, Dickerman LH (1999) A comparison of statistical methods for prenatal screening for down syndrome. Appl Stoch Models Data Anal 15:89–101

    Google Scholar 

  • Yesilnacar E, Topal T (2005) Landslide susceptibility mapping: a comparison of logistic regression and neural networks methods in a medium scale study, Hendek region (Turkey). Eng Geol 79:251–266

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yin KL, Yan TZ (1988) Statistical prediction model for slope instability of metamorphosed rocks. In: Bonnard C (ed) Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Landslides, Lausanne. Balkema, Rotterdam, Vol. 2, pp 1269–1272

Download references

Acknowledgments

This paper is an outcome of a landslide-based study under a Department of Science and Technology (DST)-sponsored research project, Government of India.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Manoj K. Arora.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Chauhan, S., Sharma, M. & Arora, M.K. Landslide susceptibility zonation of the Chamoli region, Garhwal Himalayas, using logistic regression model. Landslides 7, 411–423 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-010-0202-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-010-0202-3

Keywords

Navigation