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Predictors of high-risk coronary artery disease in subjects with normal SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging

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Journal of Nuclear Cardiology Aims and scope

Abstract

Background

While uncommon, normal stress SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) can be seen in patients with high-risk coronary artery disease (CAD) by invasive coronary angiography (ICA).The predictors of high-risk CAD in patients with normal SPECT-MPI have not been described.

Methods

We studied 580 patients (age 64 ± 12 years, 49% men) without known CAD who underwent stress-gated SPECT-MPI [exercise (41%) or vasodilator (59%)] <2 months before ICA and had summed stress score (SSS) <4. High-risk CAD was defined as 3 vessels with ≥70% stenosis, 2 vessels with ≥70% stenosis including proximal left anterior descending, or left main with ≥50% stenosis. Obstructive non-high-risk CAD was defined by the presence of a ≥70% stenosis but without having other high-risk criteria. Tenfold cross-validated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) estimates were obtained to assess the predictors of high-risk CAD.

Results

Forty-two subjects (7.2%) had high-risk CAD and 168 (29.0%) had obstructive non-high-risk CAD. Variables associated with high-risk CAD were pretest probability of CAD ≥66% (Odds ratio [OR] 3.63, 95% CI 1.6-8.3, P = .002), SSS > 0 (OR 7.46, 95% CI 2.6-21.1, P < 0.001), and abnormal TID (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.0-4.5, P = 0.044). When substituted for TID, EF change was also predictive of high-risk CAD (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.9-1.0, P = 0.023). The prevalence of high-risk CAD increased as the number of these predictors increased. In a sub-analysis of patients in whom quantitative total perfusion deficit (TPD) was available, TPD > 0 was also a predictor of high-risk CAD (OR 6.01, 95% CI 1.5-22.2, P = 0.011).

Conclusion

Several clinical, stress, and SPECT-MPI findings are associated high-risk CAD among patients with normal SPECT-MPI. Consideration of these factors may improve the overall assessment of the likelihood of high-risk CAD in patients undergoing stress SPECT-MPI.

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Acknowledgment

Dr. Nakanishi was supported in part by research fellowship awards from the Society of Nuclear Medicine and Toho University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan. This research was supported in part by Grants R01HL089765 and 5K23HL92299 from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute/National Institutes of Health (NHLBI/NIH). Its contents are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the NHLBI. Cedars-Sinai Medical Center receives royalties for the quantitative assessment of function, perfusion, and viability, a portion of which is distributed to some of the authors of this manuscript (Daniel S. Berman, Guido Germano and Piotr Slomka). No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported. This work was also supported by Grants to Dr. Berman from the Jane and Michael Eisner, and the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundations.

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Correspondence to Daniel S. Berman MD, FACC.

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See related editorial, doi:10.1007/s12350-015-0167-7.

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Nakanishi, R., Gransar, H., Slomka, P. et al. Predictors of high-risk coronary artery disease in subjects with normal SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging. J. Nucl. Cardiol. 23, 530–541 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12350-015-0150-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12350-015-0150-3

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