Abstract
We analyzed the effects of management on the economic profitability of forest biomass production and carbon neutrality of bioenergy use in Norway spruce (Picea abies L. Karst) stands under the changing climate. We employed a forest ecosystem model and life cycle assessment tool. In particular, we studied the effects of thinning, nitrogen fertilization, and rotation length on: (1) the production of timber and energy biomass, and its economic profitability (net present value), (2) carbon stock in the forest ecosystem and carbon balance in forestry, and (3) carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from the use of biomass in energy production. Results showed that the current Finnish baseline management with and without nitrogen fertilization resulted in the highest mean annual timber production and net present value (NPV) for long rotations (60 to 80 years), regardless of climate scenario. Mean annual production of energy biomass was enhanced by increasing stocking by 20–30 % compared to the baseline management, and/or use of nitrogen fertilization. Such management gave lower CO2 emissions per unit of energy compared to the baseline management, as the carbon stock in the forest ecosystem and the carbon balance in forestry increased. Overall, the carbon neutrality and net present value were, on average, the highest in the baseline management or with a 20 % increase in stocking, with nitrogen fertilization and 60- to 80-year rotation lengths, regardless of the climate applied. However, it was not possible to simultaneously maximize the NPV of forest biomass production and the carbon neutrality of bioenergy use.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Jylhä K, Ruosteenoja K, Räisänen J et al (2009) The changing climate in Finland: estimates for adaptation studies. ACCLIM project report 2009 (in Finnish with extended abstract in English). Finnish Meteorological Institute, Reports, 4, 102
Garcia-Gonzalo J, Peltola H, Gerendiain AZ, Kellomäki S (2007) Impacts of forest landscape structure and management on timber production and carbon stocks in the boreal forest ecosystem under changing climate. For Ecol Manage 241:243–257
Alam A, Kilpeläinen A, Kellomäki S (2008) Impacts of thinning on growth, timber production and carbon stocks in Finland under changing climate. Scand J Forest Res 23:501–512
Kellomäki S, Peltola H, Nuutinen T, Korhonen KT, Strandman H (2008) Sensitivity of managed boreal forests in Finland to climate change, with implications for adaptive management. Phil Trans R Soc B 363:2341–2351
Poudel BC, Sathre R, Gustavsson L, Bergh J, Lundström A, Hyvönen R (2011) Effects of climate change on biomass production and substitution in North-Central Sweden. Biomass Bioenerg 35:4340–4355
Poudel BC, Sathre R, Bergh J, Gustavsson L, Lundström A, Hyvönen R (2012) Potential effects of intensive forestry on biomass production and total carbon balance in North-Central Sweden. Environ Sci Pol 15:106–124
Liski J, Pussinen A, Pingoud K, Mäkipää R, Karjalainen T (2001) Which rotation length is favourable to carbon sequestration? Can J For Res 31:2004–2013
Briceno-Elizondo E, Garcia-Gonzalo J, Peltola H, Matala J, Kellomäki S (2006) Sensitivity of growth of Scots pine, Norway spruce and silver birch to climate change and forest management in boreal conditions. For Ecol Manag 232(1–3):152–167
Garcia-Gonzalo J, Peltola H, Briceno-Elizondo E, Kellomäki S (2007) Changed thinning regimes may increase carbon stock under climate change: a case study from a Finnish boreal forest. Clim Change 81(3–4):431–454
Matala J, Ojansuu R, Peltola H, Raitio H, Kellomäki S (2006) Modelling the response of tree growth to temperature and CO2 elevation as related to the fertility and current temperature sum of a site. Ecol Model 199:39–52
Matala J, Kärkkäinen L, Härkönen K, Kellomäki S, Nuutinen T (2009) Carbon sequestration in the growing stock of trees in Finland under different cutting and climate scenarios. Eur J For Res 128:493–504
Routa J (2011c) Effects of forest management on sustainability of integrated timber and energy wood production—scenario analysis based on ecosystem model simulations. Dissertation Forestales 123
Hyvönen R, Ågren GI, Linder S et al (2007) The likely impact of elevated [CO2], nitrogen deposition, increased temperature and management on carbon sequestration in temperate and boreal forest ecosystems: a literature review. New Phytol 173:463–480
Alam A, Kilpelainen A, Kellomäki S (2012) Impacts of initial stand density and thinning regimes on energy wood production and management-related CO2 emissions in boreal ecosystems. Eur J For Res 131:655–667
Eriksson E, Gillespie AR, Gustavsson L, Langvall O, Olsson M, Sathre R, Stendahl J (2007) Integrated carbon analysis of forest management practices and wood substitution. Can J For Res 37:671–681
Routa J, Kellomäki S, Kilpeläinen A, Peltola H, Strandman H (2011) Effects of forest management on the carbon dioxide emissions of wood energy in integrated production of timber and energy biomass. Glob Change Biol Bioenerg 3:483–497
Routa J, Kellomäki S, Peltola H (2012) Impacts of intensive management and landscape structure on timber and energy wood production and net CO2 emissions from energy wood use of Norway Spruce. Bioenerg Res 5:106–123
Sathre R, Gustavsson L (2011) Time-dependent climate benefits of using forest residues to substitute fossil fuels. Biomass Bioenerg 35:2506–2516
Metinfo- forest information services, Finnish Forest Research Institute. 2011. (Internet site) Available at: http://www.metla.fi/metinfo/tilasto/index.htm (In Finnish)
Ylitalo E (2012) Puun energiakäyttö 2011 (The use of wood in energy production 2011). Metsätilastotiedote (Official Statistics of Finland, Finnish Forest Research Institute). Volume 16, 7 p. (In Finnish)
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2000) Land use, land-use change, and forestry. A special report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press, UK
Schlamadinger B, Spitzer J, Kohlmaier GH, Lüdeke M (1995) Carbon balance of bioenergy from logging residues. Biomass Bioenerg 8:221–234
Melillo JM, Reilly JM, Kicklighter DW (2009) Indirect emissions from biofuels: how important? Science 326:1397–1399
Melin Y, Petersson H, Egnell G (2010) Assessing carbon balance trade-offs between bioenergy and carbon sequestration of stumps at varying time scales and harvest intensities. Fort Ecol Manag 260:536–542
Repo A, Tuomi M, Liski J (2011) Indirect carbon dioxide emissions from producing bioenergy from forest harvest residues. Glob Chang Biol Bioenerg 3:107–115
Searchinger T, Heimlich R, Houghton RA (2008) Use of U.S. croplands for biofuels increases greenhouse gases through emissions from land-use change. Science 319:1238–1240
Ter-Mikaelian M, McKechnie J, Colombo S, Chen J, MacLean H (2011) The carbon neutrality assumption for forest bioenergy: a case study for Northwestern Ontario. For Chron 87:644–652
Helin T, Sokka L, Soimakallio S, Pingoud K, Pajula T (2012) Approaches for inclusion of forest carbon cycle in life cycle assessment—a review. Glob Chang Biol Bioenerg. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12016
Mitchell SR, Harmon ME, O’Connell KEB (2012) Carbon debt and carbon sequestration parity in forest bioenergy production. Glob Chang Biol Bioenerg. doi:10.1111/j.1757-1707.2012.01173.x
Canadell JG, Raupach MR (2008) Managing forests for climate change mitigation. Science 320:1456–1457
Kilpeläinen A, Alam A, Strandman H, Kellomäki S (2011) Life cycle assessment tool for estimating net CO2 exchange of forest production. Glob Chang Biol Bioenerg 3:461–471
Kellomäki S, Strandman H, Nuutinen T, Peltola H, Korhonen KT, Väisänen H (2005) Adaptation of forest ecosystems, forest and forestry to climate change. FINADAPT. Working Paper 4. Finnish Environment Institute Mimeographs 334, Helsinki
Routa J, Kellomäki S, Peltola H, Asikainen A (2011) Impacts of thinning and fertilization on timber and energy wood production in Norway spruce and Scots pine: scenario analyses based on ecosystem model simulations. For 84:159–175
Hynynen J, Ojansuu R, Hökkä H, Siipilehto J, Salminen H, Haapala P (2002) Models for predicting stand development in MELA System. Finnish Forest Research Institute, Research Papers 835,116 pp
Mäkipää R, Karjalainen T, Pussinen A, Kukkola M, Kellomäki S, Mälkönen E (1998) Applicability of a forest simulation model for estimating effects of nitrogen deposition on a forest ecosystem: test of the validity of a gap-type model. For Ecol Manage 108:239–250
Järvinen O, Vänni T (1994) Ministry of the water and environment mimeograph 579: 66 (In Finnish)
Recommendations for Forest Management in Finland (2006) Forestry Development Centre Tapio, Metsäkustannus Oy, pp. 100 (in Finnish)
Venäläinen A, Tuomenvirta H, Pirinen P, Drebs A (2005) A Basic Finnish climate data set 1961–2000—description and illustrations. Reports of the Finnish Meteorological Institute, 5, 27 p
Aalto J, Pirinen P, Heikkinen J, Venäläinen A (2012) Spatial interpolation of monthly climate data for Finland: comparing the performance of kriging and generalized additive models. Theor Appl Clim. doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0716-9
Meehl GA, Covey C, Delworth T et al (2007) The WCRP CMIP3 multimodel dataset: a new era in climate change research. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 88:1383–1394. doi:10.1175/BAMS-88-9-1383
Nakićenović N, Alcamo J, Davis G et al (2000) Special report on emissions scenarios: a special report of working group III of the intergovernmental panel on climate change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 599 pp. Available online at: http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/index.htm
NOAA/ESRL, (2012). Trends in atmospheric carbon dioxide. Thomas Conway and Pieter Tans, NOAA/ESRL (www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/) (Accessed: 27th Nov 2012)
Metinfo—Forest information services, Finnish Forest Research Institute (2012) Available at: http://www.metla.fi/metinfo/tilasto/ (In Finnish) Accessed 19 Jan 2012
Routa J, Kellomäki S, Strandman H, Bergh J, Pulkkinen P, Peltola H (2013) The timber and energy biomass potential on intensively managed cloned Norway spruce stands. GCB Bioenergy 5:43–52
Nurmi J (1993) Small-sized trees above ground biomass heating value. Pienikokoisten puiden maanpäällisen biomassan lämpöarvo. Helsinki. Acta For Fenn 236:30, In Finnish
Nurmi J (1997) Heating values of mature trees. Acta For Fenn 256:28
Statistics Finland (2005) Polttoaineluokitus. Available at: http://www.stat.fi/tup/khkinv/polttoaineluokitus.html. (In Finnish). (Accessed 1 June 2011)
Kukkola M, Saramäki J (1983) Growth response in repeatedly fertilized pine and spruce stands on mineral soils. Commun Inst For Fenn 114:1–55
Routa J, Kellomäki S, Strandman H, Bergh J, Pulkkinen P, Peltola H (2012b) The timber and energy biomass potential of intensively managed cloned Norway spruce stands. Glob Chang Biol Bioenerg 5(1):43–52
Kuusinen M, Ilvesniemi H (eds) (2008) Environmental effects on energywood harvesting, study report. Forestry Development Centre Tapio and Finnish Forest Research Institute publications, pp. 74 (in Finnish)
Jacobson S, Kukkola M, Mälkönen E, Tveite B (2000) Impact of whole-tree harvesting and compensatory fertilization on growth of coniferous thinning stands. For Ecol Manage 129:41–51
Äijälä O, Kuusinen M, Koistinen A. (edit) (2010) Recommendations for Management and Harvesting of Energy Wood. (in Finnish: Hyvän metsänhoidon suositukset energiapuun korjuuseen ja kasvatukseen), Forestry Development Centre Tapio publications, pp. 32. (in Finnish)
Seely B, Welham C, Kimmins H (2002) Carbon sequestration in a boreal forest ecosystem: results from the ecosystem simulation model, FORECAST. For Ecol Manage 169:123–135
Pohjola J, Valsta L (2007) Carbon credits and management of Scots pine and Norway spruce stands in Finland. For Policy Econ 9:789–798
Marland G, Schlamadinger B (1997) Forests for carbon sequestration or fossil fuel substitution? A sensitivity analysis. Biomass Bioenerg 13:389–397
Sathre R, Gustavsson L, Bergh J (2010) Primary energy and greenhouse gas implications of increasing biomass production through forest fertilization. Biomass Bioenerg 34:572–581
Seppälä R, Buck A, Katila P (eds) (2009) Adaptation of forests and people to climate change—a global assessment report. IUFRO World Series Volume 22. Helsinki. 224 p
Peltola H, Ikonen V-P, Gregow H, Strandman H, Kilpeläinen A, Venäläinen A, Kellomäki S (2010) Impacts of climate change on timber production and regional risks of wind-induced damage to forests in Finland. For Ecol Manage 260:833–845
Jönsson AM, Appelberg G, Harding S, Bärring L (2009) Spatio-temporal impact of climate change on the activity and voltinism of the spruce bark beetle, Ips typographus. Glob Chang Biol Bioenerg 15:486–499
Jönsson A-M, Bärring L (2011) Future climate impact on spruce bark beetle life-cycle in relation to uncertainties in regional climate model data ensembles. Tellus A 63(1):158–173
Acknowledgments
This work was mainly financed through the Graduate School in Forest Sciences (GSForest), University of Eastern Finland (UEF), School of Forest Sciences. The work is also related to the ongoing consortium projects: (1) adaptation of forest management to climate change: uncertainties, impacts, and risks to forests and forestry in Finland (ADAPT) (UEF and Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), core funding by Academy of Finland); (2) sustainable bioenergy, climate change, and health (SUBI) (UEF strategic funding); and (3) wood-based energy systems from Nordic forests (ENERWOODS) (Nordic Energy Research, UEF and Finnish Environmental Institute participants). The FMI is also acknowledged for providing the current climate and A2 climate change scenarios for this work (especially Kimmo Ruosteenoja). Furthermore, Ari Venäläinen (FMI) is thanked for helpful comments for the manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Pyörälä, P., Peltola, H., Strandman, H. et al. Effects of Management on Economic Profitability of Forest Biomass Production and Carbon Neutrality of Bioenergy Use in Norway Spruce Stands Under the Changing Climate. Bioenerg. Res. 7, 279–294 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12155-013-9372-x
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12155-013-9372-x