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Prediction of per capita water consumption for 31 regions in China

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Abstract

Considering the shortage of per capita water resources in China, the paper established a fractional order accumulated grey prediction model (FGM(1,1)) to predict per capita water consumption of 31 regions (provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions) in China from 2019 to 2024. The results show that per capita water consumption varies greatly across the different regions. Among them, per capita water consumption of nine regions (i.e., Beijing, Tianjin, Inner Mongolia, Jiangsu, Henan, Hubei, Guizhou, Yunnan, and Shaanxi) shows an increasing trend, whereas per capita water consumption in other 22 regions shows a downward trend. The predictive results can provide a basis for water resource management in China.

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Funding

The relevant researches are supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71871084) and the Excellent Young Scientist Foundation of Hebei Education Department (SLRC2019001).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Management Engineering and Business, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan, 056038, China

    Xiangmei Meng & Lifeng Wu

Authors
  1. Xiangmei Meng
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  2. Lifeng Wu
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Contributions

Meng Xiangmei: Data curation, investigation, methodology, project administration, formal analysis, resources, validation, visualization, editing, writing—original draft.

Wu Lifeng: Conceptualization, funding acquisition, supervision.

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Correspondence to Lifeng Wu.

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Appendix

Appendix

Table 11 Water consumption per capita in 31 regions
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Meng, X., Wu, L. Prediction of per capita water consumption for 31 regions in China. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 29253–29264 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-12368-0

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