Abstract
Prioritization the sub-basins available in a basin to flood vulnerability analysis can be discussed in the form of a spatial multi criteria decision making (SMCDM) problem. In this research a fuzzy planning support system based on the spatial analysis using tow multi criteria decision making methods, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and TOPSIS (Technique for order-preference by similarity to ideal solution) is used. AHP method is used to determine the structure of decision making process and to estimate criteria weights and TOPSIS model is used to rank the sub-basins of Tehran urban basin as a study area regarding the flood vulnerable areas. Also in order to perform spatial analysis for decision-making process, a developed toolbox is used within the Geographic Information System (GIS). In this research a model is presented in which some vague concepts such as weight of decision making criteria are expressed in the form of linguistic variables to be converted to triangular fuzzy numbers. Finally, the sensitivity of model was analyzed by changing the weights of decision making criteria and providing of ranking scenarios. The results show the optimum alternatives for mitigation flood vulnerability in the study area.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
Special Report on Emission Scenario
Community Climate System Model 3
References
Abrishamchi A, Ebrahimian A, Tajirishi M, Marino MA (2005) Application of multi criteria decision making to urban water supply. J Water Resour Plan Manag ASCE 131(4):326–335. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2005)131:4(326)
Ahmad S, Simonovic SP (2004) Spatial system dynamics: new approach for simulation of water resources systems. J Comput Civ Eng ASCE 18(4):331–340. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0887-3801(2004)18:4(331)
Cadier E (1996) Small watershed hydrology in semi-arid north Eastern Brazil basin topography and transposition of annual runoff data. J Hydrol 182(1–4):117–141
Chang NB, Parvathinathan G, Breeden JB (2008) Combining GIS with fuzzy multi criteria decision making for landfill siting in a fast-growing urban region. J Environ Manag 87(1):139–153. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman. 2007.01.011
Cheng S, Chan CW, Huang GH (2003) An integrated multi-criteria decision analysis and inexact mixed integer linear programming approach for solid waste management. J Eng Appl Artif Intell 16(5–6):543–554. doi:10.1016/S0952-1976(03)00069-1
Fanghua H, Guanchun C (2010) Fuzzy multi-criteria group decision-making model based on weighted borda scoring method for watershed ecological risk management: a case study of three Gorges reservoir area of China. J Water Resour Manag 24(10):2139–2165. doi:10.1007/s11269-009-9544-9
Fernandez DS, Lutz MA (2010) Urban flood hazard zoning in Tucuman province, Argentina, using GIS and multi criteria decision analysis. J Eng Geol 111(1–4):90–98. doi:10.1016/j.enggeo.2009.12.006
Gumbo B, Munayamba N, Sithol G, Savenije HG (2002) Coupling of digital elevation model and rainfall-runoff model in storm drainage network design. J Phys Chem Earth 27(11–22):755–764. doi:10.1016/S1474-7065(02)00063-3
Halfawy MR, Dridi L, Baker S (2008) Integrated decision support system for optimal renewal planning of sewer networks. J Comput Civ Eng ASCE 22(6):360–372. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0887-3801(2008)22:6(360)
Islam MS, Sadiq R, Rodriguez MJ et al (2013) Evaluating water quality failure potential in water distribution systems: a fuzzy-TOPSIS-OWA-based methodology. J Water Resour Manag 27(7):2195–2216. doi:10.1007/s11269-013-0283-6
Jun KS, Chung ES, Kim YG, Kim Y (2013) A fuzzy multi-criteria approach to flood risk vulnerability in South Korea by considering climate change impacts. J Expert Syst Appl 40(4):1003–1013. doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2012.08.013
Kao HP, Wang B, Dong J, Ku KC (2006) An event–driven approach with makespan/cost tradeoff analysis for project portfolio scheduling. J Comput Ind 57(5):379–397. doi:10.1016/j.compind.2005.11.004
Lee G, Jun KS, Chung ES (2013) Integrated multi-criteria flood vulnerability approach using fuzzy TOPSIS and Delphi technique. J Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 13:1293–1312. doi:10.5194/nhess-13-1293-2013
Lee G, Jun KS, Cung ES (2015) Group decision-making approach for flood vulnerability identification using the fuzzy VIKOR method. J Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 15:863–874. doi:10.5194/nhess-15-863-2015
Macleod CJA, Scholefield D, Haygarth PM (2007) Integration for sustainable catchment management. J Sci Total Environ 373(2–3):591–602. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2006.12.029
Malczeweski J (1999) GIS and multicriteria decision analysis. John Wiley & Sons, New York
Montanari R (2004) Environmental efficiency analysis for enel thermopower plants. J Clean Prod 12(4):403–414. doi:10.1016/S0959-6526(03)00015-5
Phua MH, Minowa M (2005) A GIS-based multi-criteria decision making approach to forest conservation planning at a landscape scale. J Landsc Urban Plan 71(2–4):207–222. doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2004.03.004
Prato T (2009) Fuzzy adaptive management of social and ecological carrying capacities for protected areas. J Environ Manag 90(8):2551–2557. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.01.015
Radmehr A, Araghinejad S (2014) Developing strategies for urban flood management of Tehran city using SMCDM and ANN. J Comput Civ Eng 28(6), 05014006-1-8. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)CP.1943-5487.0000360
Rodrigues F, Andrieu H, Creutin JD (2003) Surface runoff in urban catchments morphological identification of unit hydrograph from urban databanks. J Hydrol 283(1–4):146–168. doi:10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00246-4
Saaty TL (1980) The analytic hierarchy process: planning, priority setting, resource allocation. Mcgraw-Hill, USA
Sanders B, Pau J, Jaffe D (2006) Passive and active control of diversions to an off–line reservoir for flood storage reduction. J Adv Water Res 29(6):861–871. doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2005.07.015
Scholz M (2007) Classification methodology for sustainable flood retention basins. J Landsc Urban Plan 81(3):246–256. doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2007.01.010
Simonovic SP, Verma R (2008) A new methodology for water resources multi-criteria decision making under uncertainty. J Phys Chem Earth 33(5):322–329. doi:10.1016/j.pce.2008.02.006
Srdjevic B, Medeiros YDP, Faria AS (2004) An objective multi-criteria evaluation of water management scenarios. J Water Resour Manag 18(1):35–54. doi:10.1023/B:WARM.0000015348.88832.52
Temiz N, Tecimb V (2009) The use of GIS and multi-criteria decision-making as a decision tool in forestry. J OR Insight 22:105–123. doi:10.1057/ori.2008.8
Xuebin L (2009) Study of multi-objective optimization and multi-attribute decision-making for economic and environmental power dispatch. J Electr Power Syst Res 79(5):789–795. doi:10.1016/j.epsr.2008.10.016
Yazdandoost F, Bozorgy B (2008) Flood risk management strategies using multi-criteria analysis. J Ice Water Manag 161(5):261–266. doi:10.1680/wama.2008.161.5.261
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Radmehr, A., Araghinejad, S. Flood Vulnerability Analysis by Fuzzy Spatial Multi Criteria Decision Making. Water Resour Manage 29, 4427–4445 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-1068-x
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-1068-x