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How Do Transfers Survive after “Transfer Shock”? A Longitudinal Study of Transfer Student Departure at a Four-Year Institution

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Abstract

Prompted by the notion of “Transfer Shock”, numerous studies examined academic performance of transfer students at senior institutions. However, few studies are found that examine how the varying nature of semester GPAs impact subsequent persistence behavior of transfer students after the initial drop in their college GPAs. Using an institutional data set, this study longitudinally investigated departure behavior of transfer students at a senior institution. Particular attention was given to how entry at different times and semester GPAs affected transfer student departure. Results indicate that during their first semester, sophomore and junior transfer students were 73% less likely to depart than freshman transfer students. After controlling for explanatory variables, higher semester GPAs were positively associated with higher persistence rates throughout the observation period.

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Notes

  1. Native students are referred to as those who initially began their postsecondary education at a four-year institution and continued their enrollment at the same institution.

  2. These tests are nonparametric rank tests to compare two or more distributions. The parameter of these tests was computed as a weighted standardized sum of the difference between the observed and expected number of departure in each of the four student types. The expected number of departure was estimated under the null hypothesis of no difference existing in the number of students who departed.

  3. Some may question how sophomore completed the program in a rather shorter period. Class classification was defined in a range of earned transferable credit hours. Thus, some of the sophomore transfer students matriculated with transfer credit hours that were a few credit hours short of being classified as a junior.

  4. This study offered to examine whether the effects of explanatory variables on persistence would vary over time. Thus, explanation on why these effects varying over time is beyond the scope of the present study.

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Correspondence to Terry T. Ishitani.

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Ishitani, T.T. How Do Transfers Survive after “Transfer Shock”? A Longitudinal Study of Transfer Student Departure at a Four-Year Institution. Res High Educ 49, 403–419 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-008-9091-x

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