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Analysis of the robustness of the French flood warning system: a study based on the 2009 flood of the Garonne River

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Abstract

The reorganisation of the French flood warning system initiated in 2002 expresses the State’s motivation to improve the anticipation and reactivity of crisis management services. However, the example of the 2009 flood in the Garonne Marmandaise territory highlights vulnerabilities in institutional warnings, resulting partly from the reorganisation of the flood warning system. Although this flood was perceived as ordinary by the mayors, several communities were flooded and became isolated. The present study focuses on adjustments carried out by stakeholders during the flood warning process. The concept of robustness is applied to the French flood warning system through the analysis of (1) the resources mobilised by stakeholders to process the warning, (2) the constraints that hinder their actions, (3) the interactions and the efforts of coordination that link stakeholders within the system. Our results indicate that the robustness of the flood warning system partially rests upon the coping capacities present at a local level. Indeed, these coping capacities allowed institutional vulnerabilities to be overcome during the 2009 event. In addition, feedback engaged after the 2009 flood favoured interactions and sharing of lay and scientific knowledge among the French flood warning system stakeholders. These interactions reinforced both the French flood warning system’s robustness and coping capacities at a local level.

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Notes

  1. Service de Prévision des Crues.

  2. Service Central d’Hydrométéorologie et d’Appui à la Prévision des Inondations.

  3. Service d’Annonce des Crues.

  4. France is made up of 101 départements that are divided into 36,700 municipalities. Each municipality is governed by a mayor and a municipal council.

  5. Loi n°2004-811 de modernisation de la sécurité civile de 2004—Law n°2004-811 about the Civil Defence Modernisation.

  6. ≃21 % of the hydrographical network is monitored by the SCHAPI-SPCs in 2011.

  7. The flood warning dissemination system is ensured by automatic warning systems.

  8. Départemental Directorate of Territories in charge of the land-use planning measures, natural hazards prevention (…) at the départemental level.

  9. Emergency Preparedness & Response Organisation/Organisation de la Réponse de SÉcurité Civile.

  10. The centralisation of the emergency services process committed to by the law of 3rd May 1996 regrouped in a same départemental public structure (SDIS) the firefighter services which previously depended on municipalities or inter communal structures.

  11. “Réserve communale de sécurité civile" defined in the law of 2004.

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Acknowledgments

The authors wish to acknowledge the funding support provided by the French National Research Agency (ANR ANR 09-RISK_001 AMAC) and all the interviewees. The authors also gratefully acknowledge researchers Laurence Créton-Cazanave and Brice Barret for their fruitful comments. Finally, we wish to thank the reviewers, whose constructive comments helped us to significantly improve this paper.

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Correspondence to F. Daupras.

Appendix

Appendix

Indicator components for each index

Weight

Risk Evaluation Index (REI)

REI1

Historical flood data archives

0.2

REI2

Hazard evaluation

0.3

REI3

Hazard mapping

0.2

REI3

Vulnerability and risk assessment

0.3

Risk Prevention Index (RPI)

RPI1

Public awareness

0.4

 

RPI1a

Institutional informative document about risks

 

RPI1b

Municipal newspapers

 

RPI1c

Regular information meetings

 

RPI1d

Meetings with new inhabitants

 

RPI1e

Museum or cultural events dealing with water culture

 

RPI2

Evolution of the built environment between 1971 and 2009 in the floodplain

0.2

 

RPI2a

% > 30%

 

RPI2b

21 < % < 29

 

RPI2c

6 < % < 20

 

RPI2d

1 < % < 5

 

RPI2e

0 < % < 1

 

RPI2f

% < 0

 

RPI3

Implementation of hazard event control & protection techniques

0.4

 

RPI3a

Very high

 
 

RPI3b

High

 
 

RPI3c

Low

 
 

RPI3d

Very low

 

Crisis Preparedness Index (CPI)

CPI1

External communication resources

0.2

CPI2

Local preventive organisation involving riverside residents

0.2

 

CPI2a

High level of organisation with citizen participation

 

CPI2b

Medium level of organisation with citizen participation

 

CPI2c

No organisation and no citizen participation

 

CPI3

Emergency management plan and implementation of warning systems

0.3

 

CPI3a

Action plan mapping

 

CPI3b

Businesses and critical infrastructure referenced as exposed to floods

 

CPI3c

Riverside residents relocation identified

 

CPI3d

Vigicrues mentioned in the existing emergency action plan

 

CPI3e

Telephone directory of vulnerable inhabitants

 

CPI4

Material resources

0.3

 

CPI4a

Presence of boats in the community

 

CPI4b

Fire station existing in the municipality

 

CPI4c

Generators in case of power cuts

 

CPI4d

The crisis unit protected from major floods

 

Flood Management Index (FMI)

FMI1

Anticipatory protection actions to infrastructure and riverside residents

0.3

 

FMI1a

High anticipation before floods (with or without official alert)

 

FMI1b

Medium anticipation before floods (after receiving the official alert)/Real-time action during the flood without official alert

 

FMI1c

Monitoring of the event without action after the flood starts without official alert/Actions undertaken after the flood starts and the official alert reception

 

FMI1d

No reactivity after the official alert coming before the flood starts

 
 

FMI1e

No reactivity after the flood starts occurring before the official alert and no reactivity after the alert

 

FMI2

Mayors’ Flood analysis

0.4

 

FMI2a

Use of information resulting from Vigicrues

 

FMI2b

Using text message and/or email coming from the départemental crisis management service

 

FMI2c

Using collective assessment with riverside residents

 

FMI2d

Empirical assessment by outdoor watchfulness of the Garonne river

 

FMI3

Riverside residents alert

0.3

 

FMI3a

Outdoor sirens

 

FMI3b

Display point at the council

 

FMI3c

Telephone call

 

FMI3d

Door to door

 

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Daupras, F., Antoine, J.M., Becerra, S. et al. Analysis of the robustness of the French flood warning system: a study based on the 2009 flood of the Garonne River. Nat Hazards 75, 215–241 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1318-x

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