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Identification of the affected areas by mass movement through a physically based model of landslide hazard combined with an empirical model of debris flow

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Abstract

In tropical areas, mass movements are common phenomena, especially during periods of heavy rainfall, which frequently take place in the summer season. These phenomena have caused loss of life and serious damage to infrastructure and properties. The most prominent of these phenomena are landslides that can produce debris flows. Thus, this article aims at determining affected areas using a model to predict landslide prone areas (SHALSTAB) combined with an empirical model designed to define the debris flow travel distance and area of deposition. The methodology of this work consists of the following steps: (a) elaboration of a digital elevation model (DEM), (b) application of the deterministic SHALSTAB model to locate the landslide prone areas, (c) identification of the debris flow travel distance and area of deposition, and (d) mapping of the affected areas (landslides and debris flows). This work was developed in an area in which many mass movements occurred after intense rainfall during the summer season (February 1996) in the state of Rio de Janeiro, southeast Brazil. All of the scars produced by that event were mapped, allowing for validation of the applied models. The model results show that the mapped landslide locations can adequately be simulated by the model.

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Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful for financial support from the Fundação de Empreendimentos Científicos e Tecnológicos (FINATEC), Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (FAPERJ), Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq); and to Arthur M. C. Souza for his support in the writing of the English version of this article.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Departamento de Geografia, Instituto de Geociências, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Roberto A. T. Gomes & Nelson F. Fernandes

  2. Departamento de Geografia, Instituto de Humanas, Universidade de Brasília, Campus Darcy Ribeiro, Asa Norte, Brasilia, CEP 70910-900, Brazil

    Renato F. Guimarães & Osmar A. Carvalho Jr.

  3. Departamento de Engenharia Civil, Pontifícia Universidade Católica, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Eurípedes A. Vargas Jr.

  4. Pedologia, EMBRAPA Cerrados, Planaltina, Distrito Federal, Brazil

    Éder S. Martins

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  1. Roberto A. T. Gomes
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  2. Renato F. Guimarães
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  3. Osmar A. Carvalho Jr.
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Correspondence to Renato F. Guimarães.

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Gomes, R.A.T., Guimarães, R.F., Carvalho, O.A. et al. Identification of the affected areas by mass movement through a physically based model of landslide hazard combined with an empirical model of debris flow. Nat Hazards 45, 197–209 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-007-9160-z

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