Skip to main content
Log in

Abstract

As part of a long-term project aimed at a better understanding of the geological and geomorphological factors that control slope instability phenomena in Southern Italy, multivariate models for assessing landslide incidence hazard were developed and tested in two Calabrian sample areas characterized by different geological-geomorphological conditions. Discriminant analysis, based on a large set of mappable geological and geomorphical variables, is able to discriminate rather successfully between stable and unstable areas or slope units. Multiple regression analysis has also proved to be a useful tool in predicting actual and potential landslide hazard. Consequently, geomathematical models may provide a feasible approach to environmental hazard assessment, particularly when applied within the framework of a wider multidisciplinary project for land evaluation and planning.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Agterberg, F. P., 1974, Geomathematics: Elsevier Scientific Publishing Co., Amsterdam.

    Google Scholar 

  • Agterberg, F. P., Chung, C. F., Fabbri, A. G., Kelly, A. M., and Springer, J. S., 1972, Geomathematical evaluation of copper and zinc potential of the Abitibi area, Ontario and Quebec: Geol. Surv. Can. Pap. 71-41, 55 p.

  • Apolloni, B., Carrara, A., and Murino, P., 1981, Use of elevation models for landform analysis by SEASAT-SAR imagery: Act. Astronaut., v. 8 (in press).

  • Bjerrum, L., 1967, Progressive failure in slopes of overconsolidated plastic clay and clay shales: Amer. Soc. Civil Eng. Proceed., v. 93, paper 5456.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carrara, A., Catalano, E., Reali, C., and Sorriso-Valvo, M., 1979b, Computer-assisted techniques for regional landslide evaluation: Proceedings of the Szimbark Polish-Italian Seminar, Warszawa, p. 1–17.

  • Carrara, A., Catalano, E., Sorriso-Valvo, M., Reali, C., Merenda, L., and Rizzo, V., 1977b, Landslide morphometry and typology in two zones, Calabria, Italy: Int. Ass. Eng. Geol. Bull., v. 16, p. 8–13.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carrara, A., Catalano, E., Sorriso-Valvo, M., Reali, C., and Osso, I., 1978, Digital terrain analysis for land evaluation: Geol. Appl. Idrogeol., v. 13, p. 69–127.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carrara, A., Merenda, L., Nicoletti, P. G., and Sorriso-Valvo, M., 1979a, Slope instability in Calabria, Italy: Proceedings of the Szimbark Polish-Italian Seminar, Warszawa, p. 47–62.

  • Carrara, A., Pugliese-Carratelli, E., and Merenda, L., 1977a, Computer-based data bank and statistical analysis of slope instability phenomena: Z. Geomorph. N. F., v. 21, p. 187–222.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carrara, A., Reali, C., and Sorriso-Valvo, M., 1980, Tecniche per una cartografia tematica applicata alla valutazione dell'instabilità dei versanti: Pixel, v. 1, n. 3, p. 39–44.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carrara, A., Sorriso-Valvo, M., and Reali, C., 1982, Analysis of landslide form and incidence by statistical techniques, Southern Italy: Catena, v. 9, (in press).

  • Cotecchia, V., 1978, Systematic reconnaissance mapping and registration of slope movements: Int. Ass. Eng. Geol. Bull., v. 17, p. 5–37.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis, J. C., 1973, Statistics and data analysis in geology: John Wiley & Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dixon, W. J. (Ed.), 1973, Biomedical computer programs: Berkeley, University California Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Doornkamp, J. C. and King, C. A. M., 1971, Numerical analysis in geomorphology: Arnold, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ergenzinger, P., Gorler, K., Ibbeken, H. Obenauf, P., Scheides, S., and Sorriso-Valvo, M., 1981, The Buonamico watershed (Calabria, South Italy): Berliner Geowissenschafttliche Abhandlungen.

  • Guerricchio, A. and Melidoro, G., 1973, Segni premonitori delle grandi franne nelle metamorfiti della valle della Fiumara Buonamico (Aspromonte-Calabria): Geol. Appl. Idrogeol., v. 8, n. 2, p. 315–346.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harbaugh, J. W., Doveton, J. H., and Davis, J. C., 1977, Probability methods in oil exploration: John Wiley & Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Konecny, G., 1981, The European space remote sensing program: Nachrichten aus dem Kartem und Vermessung., Reihe II, Ubersetzungen-Haft, n. 39.

  • Krumbein, W. C. and Graybill, F. A., 1965, An introduction to statistical models in geology: McGraw-Hill, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Matula, M., 1979, Regional engineering geological evaluation for planning purposes: Int. Ass. Eng. Geol. Bull., v. 19, p. 5–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Neuland, H., 1976, A prediction model of landslips: Catena, v. 3, p. 215–230.

    Google Scholar 

  • Neuland, H., 1980, Diskriminanzanalytische untersuchungen zur identifikation der auslosefaktoren fur rutschungen in verschiedenen hohenstufen der Kolumbianischen Anden: Catena, v. 7, p. 205–221.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nie, N. H., Hull, C. H., Jenkins, J. G., Steinbrenner, K., and Bent, D. H., 1975, Statistical package for the social sciences: McGraw-Hill, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nossin, J. J., 1975, Multidisciplinary surveys and integration necessary to their fulfilment in development planning: I.T.C.-Jour., n. 4, p. 429–443.

    Google Scholar 

  • Radbruch-Hall, D. H. and Varnes, D. J., 1976, Landslides—cause and effect: Int. Ass. Eng. Geol. Bull. v. 14, p. 205–216.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sorriso-Valvo, M., 1979, Trench features on steep-sided ridges, Aspromonte, Calabria, Italy: Proceedings of the Szimbark Polish-Italian Seminar, Warszawa, p. 98–109.

  • UNESCO, 1976, Computer handling of geographical data—an examination of selected geographic information systems: The UNESCO Press, Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Varnes, D. J., 1978, Slope movement types and processes,in R. L. Schuster and R. J. Krizek (Eds.) Landslides analysis and control: Trans. Research Board-Natl. Acad. Sci. Spec. Rep. 176, p. 11–33.

    Google Scholar 

  • Varnes, D. J. and Commission on Landslides and Other Mass Movements—IAEG, 1982, The principles and practice of landslide hazard zonation: The Unesco Press, Paris.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Carrara, A. Multivariate models for landslide hazard evaluation. Mathematical Geology 15, 403–426 (1983). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01031290

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01031290

Key words

Navigation