Abstract
Sedimentary records provide important information for understanding changes in the history of eutrophication in Lake Taihu. In addition, the catchment nutrient model SWAT provides a powerful tool to examine eutrophic changes in a long-term context. Since it is difficult to evaluate impacts of natural eutrophic development and anthropogenic changes in catchment discharge and land use, simulation of past changes provides a mirror on processes and dynamics. Boundaries in the simulations are set to a pre-industrial time to evaluate natural-agricultural nutrient changes in Taihu Basin a 100 years ago. Total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) in the main channel flowing into the lake are simulated in four sub-basins for 200 model years. Results show that modeling can capture basic features of basin nutrient development, where mean TN concentration (0.12 mg l−1) can be compared in broad scale to mean TN concentration (0.17 mg kg−1) from Lake Taihu sedimentary cores dating back about 100 years. Spatial nutrient simulations suggest that the two major nutrient sources are from the southwestern sub-basin (48% TN and 68% TP of the basin total) and the northwestern sub-basin (18% TN and 17% TP). There are differences of +7.3 × 104 kg TN and +2.0 × 105 kg TP between total input and output values, simulating mean annual amounts of nutrient deposited into the lake. TN and TP concentration differences between input and output sub-basins become smaller in the second 100 years than the first 100 years, suggesting a 100 year period to reach a balance of net nutrients. Catchment nutrient modeling provides a basis to evaluate how nutrient production and balance responded to environmental changes over 200 years in Taihu Basin.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Arnold, J. G., R. Srinivasan, R. S. Muttiah & J. R. Williams, 1998. Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment part I: model development. Journal of American Water Resources Association 34:73–89.
Bi, Y. Y., 1995. Farmland in China. Agricultural Science and Technology Press, Beijing, 231 (in Chinese).
Bradbury, J. P., S. M. Colman & R. L. Reynolds, 2004. The history of recent limnologic changes and human impact on Upper Klamath Lake, Oregon. Journal of Paleolimnology 31:151–165.
Chinese Academy of Sciences, 1988. Physical Geography of China. Biogeography Science Press, Beijing, 318 (in Chinese).
Di Luzio, M., R. Srinivasan, J. G. Arnold & S. L. Neitsch, 2002a. Soil and Water Assessment Tool. ArcView GIS Interface Manual: Version 2000. GSWRL Report 02–03, BRC Report 02–07, Published by Texas Water Resources Institute TR-193, College Station, TX, 346.
DiLuzio, M., R. Srinivasan & J. G. Arnold, 2002b. Integration of watershed tools and SWAT model into basins. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 38: 1127–1141.
Hou, X. Y., S. Z. Sun, J. W. Zhang, M. G. He, Y. F. Wang, D. Z. Kong & S. Q. Wang, 1982. Vegetation Map of the People’s Republic of China. China Cartography, Beijing (in Chinese).
Huang, Y. P., C. F. Fan, W. M. Pu, J. H. Jiang & D. Y. Dai, 2001. Water Environments of Lake Taihu and Controlling the Pollution. Science Press, Beijing, 298 (in Chinese).
Institute of Soil Science of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 1986. The Soil Atlas of China (1:14,000,000). Cartographic Publishing House, Beijing (in Chinese).
Jin, X. C., H. L. Liu, Q. Y. Tu, Z. S. Zhang & X. Zhu, 1990. Lake Eutrophications of China. Chinese Environment Press, Beijing, 614 (in Chinese).
Last, W. M. & J. P. Smol, 2001. Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 1, Basin Analysis, Coring, and Chronological Techniques. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 548 .
Liu, E. F., J. Shen, S. C. Yao & B. Xue, 2004a. Analysis of heavy metal element sources in surface sediment of Lake Taihu. Journal of Lake Sciences 16: 113–119 (in Chinese).
Liu, E. F., J. Shen, Y. X. Zhu, W. L. Xia, H. X. Pan & Z. D. Jin, 2004b. Heavy metals and nutrients pollution in sediments of Taihu Lake. Acta Sedimentologica Sinica 22: 507–512 (in Chinese).
Lu, Y. R. & G. D. Gao, 1984. Atlas of Atmosphere-Hydrology Climate of China. Meteorology Press, Beijing, 183 (in Chinese).
National GIS Center of China, 1999. Data Base of 1:2,500,000 topography of China, Beijing.
National Meteorology Center of China, 2001. Annual Meteorological Observation Report in land surface of China, Beijing (in Chinese).
National Soil Survey Office of China, 1993–1997. Soils in China. Agricultural Publishing House: Beijing, 1–6 (in Chinese).
Qin, B. Q, 2002. Eutrophication of shallow water lakes in the mid-lower reaches of Changjiang and their controlling strategy. Journal of Lake Sciences 14: 193–202 (in Chinese).
Qin, B. Q., W. P. Hu & G. Gao, 2004. Dynamics of sediment resuspension and the conceptual schema of nutrient release in the large shallow Lake Taihu, China. Chinese Science Bulletin 49: 54–64.
Ramstack, J. M., S. C. Fritz, D. R. Engstrom & S. A. Heiskary, 2003. The application of a diatom -based transfer function to evaluate regional water-quality trends in Minnesota since 1970. Journal of Paleolimnology 29: 79–94.
Rose, N. L., J. F. Boyle, Y. Du, C. Yi, X. Dai, P. G. Appleby, H. Bennion, S. Cai & L. Yu, 2004. Sedimentary evidence for changes in the pollution status of Taihu in the Jiangsu region of eastern China. Journal of Paleolimnology 32: 41–51.
Rosenberg, N. J., D. L. Epstein, D. Wang, L. Vail, R. Srinivasan & J. G. Arnold, 1999. Possible impacts of global warming on the hydrology of the Ogallala aquifer region. Journal of Climate 42: 677–692.
Schulze, R. E., 2000. Modelling hydrological responses to land use and climate change: a southern african perspective. AMBIO 29: 12–22.
Shi, X. Z. & D. S. Yu, 2002. A framework for the 1:1,000,000 soil database of China. In Warner, E. D. & G. W. Peterson (eds), Proceedings of the 17th World Congress of Soil Science, Bangkok, 1757(1–5).
Shi, X. Z., D. S. Yu, X. Z. Pan, W. X. Sun, H. J. Wang & Z. T. Gong, 2003. The 1:1,000,000 China Soil Database and the Application. The Proceedings of China Soil Science Congress (in Chinese).
Smol, J. P., 2002. Pollution of Lakes and Rivers: A Paleoenvironmental Perspective. London, Arnold Publishers, New York, 280.
Sun, S. C. & Y. P. Huang, 1993. Lake Taihu. Ocean Press, Beijing, 273 (in Chinese).
Wang, J., Y. J. Wang & J. L. Liu, 1996. Evolution of sedimentary environment in Lake Taihu during the last 16,000 years. Acta Palaeontologica Sinica 35: 213–223 (in Chinese).
Wang, Z. G., C. M Liu & X. F. Wu, 2003. A perspective for the DEM-based hydrological catchment model. Journal of Natural Resources 18: 168–173 (in Chinese).
Xia, L. Z. & L. Z. Yang, 2003. Studying and controlling for catchment – sourced pollutions in Lake Taihu. Resources and Environments in the Changjiang Catchment 12: 45–49 (in Chinese).
Xue, B., W. C. Qu, Y. H. Wu, S. M. Wang & R. J. Wu, 1998. Sedimentological record of paleoenvironment of Lake Taihu in Late-Glacial to Holocene. Journal of Lake Sciences 10: 30–36 (in Chinese).
Yu, G., X. Chen, J. Ni, R. Cheddadi, J. Guiot, H. Han, S.P. Harrison, C. Huang, M. Ke, Z. Kong, S. Li, W. Li, P. Liew, G. Liu, J. Liu, Q. Liu, K. B. Liu, I. C. Prentice, W. Qui, G. Ren, C. Song, S. Sugita, X. Sun, L. Tang, E. Van Campo, Y. Xia, Q. Xu, S. Yan, X. Yang, J. Zhao & Z. Zheng, 2000. Palaeovegetation of China: a pollen data-based synthesis for the mid-Holocene and last glacial maximum. Journal of Biogeography 27: 635–664.
Zhang, W. R., 1998. Soil Conditions of the Dominant Plants in the Forest of China. China Science and Technique Press, Beijing, 432 (in Chinese).
Zhang, Y. L., B. Q. Qin & F. Q. Huang, 2002. Evolution and zonal analysis on lake eutrophication in East Plain Region. Shanghai Environmental Sciences 21: 549–553 (in Chinese).
Zheng, Y. Q., G. Yu & S. M. Wang, 2003. Numerical climate modeling since the last 140 years by RegMC2 for East Asia. Progresses of Natural Sciences 13: 951–956 (in Chinese).
Zui, D. C., H. S. Liu, J. R. Min & J. M. He, 1984. Atlas of Climatic Resources for Major Crops in China (1:17,000,000). Meteorological Press, Beijing (in Chinese).
Acknowledgements
Financial support was provided by Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. KZCX1-SW-12-1) and National Basic Research Program of China (No. 2002CB412301). We thank Jinfang Dai (Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology, CAS) for providing land use data, Haiyu Li (Department of Geography, Nanjing University) for assistance in DEM transforming, and Xuesheng Shi (Institute of Soil Sciences, CAS) for providing soil data. We thank Sumin Wang for constructive suggestions on the manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Yu, G., Xue, B., Lai, G. et al. A 200-year historical modeling of catchment nutrient changes in Taihu basin, China. Hydrobiologia 581, 79–87 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-006-0514-4
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-006-0514-4