Abstract
A significant contributor to water pollution is increased nutrient concentration that results in eutrophication. Modeling approaches are crucial to understanding the dynamics of nutrients in river basins. This study integrates empirical models into Geographic Information Systems to quantify total nitrogen and phosphorus (TN and TP) load and concentration in watercourses of Brazil’s Lobo Stream Hydrographic Basin (LSHB). Land use, topographic, demographic, and hydrological data were used to simulate the load and concentration of nutrients generated by point and nonpoint pollution sources. The results indicate that the simulated TN and TP load is primarily generated by nonpoint sources, 81% and 76%, respectively. The Itaqueri River subbasin is the most critical, yielding more than half of the basin’s TN and TP load. About 90% of annual LSHB point pollution load is generated in the Itaqueri River subbasin, principally from the Água Branca Stream. The linear regression between simulated and observed concentration indicates significant relationships (TN, r2 = 0.73 (p < 0.05), TP, r2 = 0.78 (p < 0.05)). The method used was able to simulate TN and TP concentration in watercourses, but was inconsistent for point pollution, indicating it represents the dynamics of nutrients in rural basins more effectively than in urban ones. The study shows that its methodology, despite limitations, enables scientists and managers to understand and predict spatial distribution of nutrient concentration in LSHB watercourses.
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Data availability
The hydrological data used in this study are available in the National Water Agency (ANA) database (http://www.snirh.gov.br/hidroweb/apresentacao). Topographic maps are available in the Brazilian Institute of Statistical Geography (IBGE) database (https://www.ibge.gov.br/). SRTM-DEM images are available in the geomorphometric database of the National Institute for Space Research (INPE) (http://www.dsr.inpe.br/topodata/). The Sentinel-2 satellite images are available in the U.S Geological Survey (USGS) database (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/). The water quality data generated in this research are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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We would like to thank the National Council of Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) and Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personne (CAPES) for granting scholarships to the authors, and the Center of Water Resources and Environmental Studies (CRHEA), University of São Paulo, for the structure offered.
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Phelipe da Silva Anjinho: conceptualization, methodology, formal analysis, investigation, writing - original draft, writing - review and editing, funding acquisition. Mariana Abibi Guimarães Araujo Barbosa: conceptualization, methodology, formal analysis, investigation, writing - review and editing, funding acquisition. Gabriela Leite Neves: investigation, writing - review and editing, funding acquisition. Allita Rezende dos Santos: investigation, writing - review and editing, funding acquisition. Frederico Fábio Mauad: resources, project administration, supervision. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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da Silva Anjinho, P., Barbosa, M.A.G.A., Neves, G.L. et al. Integrated empirical models to assess nutrient concentration in water resources: case study of a small basin in southeastern Brazil. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 23349–23367 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-12125-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-12125-9