Skip to main content
Log in

Observing Cascade Behavior Depending on the Network Topology and Transaction Costs

  • Published:
Computational Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The Internet, smartphones, Social Networking Service, and other IT goods have improved the overall quality of life, but created an over-connectedness with extremely low transaction costs in our society, amplifying latent social problems. In light of this, we demonstrate the main mechanism of information cascades in various network topologies using computational model that can consider autonomous agents, the adoption of others’ decisions, and network topologies. Our findings reveal that: (1) lower transaction costs may amplify the occurrence of information cascades; (2) the network structure significantly affects the behavior of traders in terms of the individual and the whole market; and (3) highly spread trend-shift cascades can be observed in scale-free networks when the influence of a dominant agent’s decision significantly affects the connected agents. Such findings highlight how a highly over-connected network has its critical shortcomings.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Avery, C., & Zemsky, P. (1998). Multidimensional uncertainty and herd behavior in financial markets. American Economic Review, 88, 724–748.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barabasi, A. L., & Albert, R. (1999). Emergence of scaling in random networks. Science, 286, 509–512.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Battaglini, M. (2005). Sequential voting with abstention. Games and Economic Behavior, 51, 445–463.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bikhchandani, S., Hirshleifer, D., & Welch, I. (1992). A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural changes as informational cascades. Journal of Political Economy, 100, 992–1026.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boccara, N., & Cheong, K. (1992). Automata network SIR models for the spread of infectious diseases in populations of moving individuals. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General, 25, 2447–2461.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bollobas, B. (2001). Random graphs. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

  • Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. (1979). A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica, 47, 239–254.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cipriani, M., & Guarino, A. (2005). Herd behavior in a laboratory financial market. American Economic Review, 95, 1427–1443.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cipriani, M., & Guarino, A. (2008). Transaction costs and informational cascades in financial markets. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 68, 581–592.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cipriani, M., & Guarino, A. (2009). Herd behavior in financial markets: An experiment with financial market professionals. Journal of the European Economic Association, 7, 206–233.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cont, R., & Bouchaud, J. P. (2000). Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 4, 170–196.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dekel, E., & Piccione, M. (2000). Sequential voting procedures in symmetric binary elections. Journal of Political Economy, 108, 34–55.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Domowitz, I., Glen, J., & Madhavan, A. (2001). Liquidity, volatility and equity trading costs across countries and over time. International Finance, 4, 221–255.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drehmann, M., Oechssler, J., & Roider, A. (2005). Herding and contrarian behavior in financial markets: An Internet experiment. American Economic Review, 95, 1403–1426.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duan, W., Gu, B., & Whinston, A. B. (2009). Informational cascades and software adoption on the Internet: An empirical investigation. MIS Quarterly, 33, 23–48.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Easley, D., & Kleinberg, J. (2010). Networks, crowds, and markets: Reasoning about a highly connected world. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

  • Erdos, P., & Rényi, A. (1959). On random graphs I. Publicationes Mathematicae Debrecen, 6, 290–297.

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman, L. C. (1979). Centrality in social networks: Conceptual clarification. Social Networks, 1, 215–239.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Garcia, R. (2005). Uses of agent-based modeling in innovation/new product development research. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 22, 380–398.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gibbons, D. E. (2007). Interorganizational network structures and diffusion of information through a health system. American Journal of Public Health, 97, 1684–1692.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Glosten, L. R., & Milgrom, P. R. (1985). Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders. Journal of Financial Economics, 14, 71–100.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Habermeier, K., & Kirilenko, A. (2001). Securities transaction taxes and financial markets (Working Paper No. 01/51). Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

  • Hein, O., Schwind, M., & Konig, W. (2006). Scale-free networks: The impact of fat tailed degree distribution on diffusion and communication processes. Wirtschaftsinformatik, 48, 267–275.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hein, O., Schwind, M., & Spiwoks, M. (2008). Frankfurt artificial stock market: A microscopic stock market model with heterogeneous interacting agents in small-world communication networks. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 3, 59–71.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hein, O., Schwind, M., & Spiwoks, M. (2012). Network centrality and stock market volatility: The impact of communication topologies on prices. Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, 1, 199–232.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hinz, O., & Spann, M. (2008). The impact of information diffusion on bidding behavior in secret reserve price auctions. Information Systems Research, 19, 351–368.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huang, J. H., & Chen, Y. F. (2006). Herding in online product choice. Psychology & Marketing, 23, 413–428.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kameda, T., Ohtsubo, Y., & Takezawa, M. (1997). Centrality in sociocognitive networks and social influence: An illustration in a group decision-making context. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 73, 296–309.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kiss, I. Z., Green, D. M., & Kao, R. R. (2005). Disease contact tracing in random and clustered networks. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 272, 1407–1414.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lee, I. H. (1998). Market crashes and informational avalanches. Review of Economic Studies, 65, 741–759.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Park, A., & Sgroi, D. (2009). Herding and contrarian behavior in financial markets: An experimental analysis. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.

  • Rand, W., & Rust, R. T. (2011). Agent-based modeling in marketing: Guidelines for rigor. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 28, 181–193.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romano, M. G. (2007). Learning, cascades, and transaction costs. Review of Finance, 11, 527–560.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stasser, G., Taylor, L. A., & Hanna, C. (1989). Information sampling in structured and unstructured discussions of three-and six-person groups. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 57, 67–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stephen, A. T., Dover, Y., & Goldenberg, J. (2010). A comparison of the effects of transmitter activity and connectivity on the diffusion of information over online social networks (Working Paper No. 2010/35/MKT). Fontainebleau, France: INSEAD.

  • Stewart, D. D., & Stasser, G. (1995). Expert role assignment and information sampling during collective recall and decision making. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 69, 619–628.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stiglitz, J. E. (1989). Using tax policy to curb speculative short-term trading. Journal of Financial Services Research, 3, 101–115.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Summers, L. H., & Summers, V. P. (1989). When financial markets work too well: A cautious case for a securities transactions tax. Journal of Financial Services Research, 3, 261–286.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tobin, J. (1978). A proposal for international monetary reform. Eastern Economic Journal, 4, 153–159.

    Google Scholar 

  • Walden, E. A., & Browne, G. J. (2002). Information cascades in the adoption of new technology. In Proceedings of the 23rd international conference on information systems.

  • Watts, D. J. (2002). A simple model of global cascades on random networks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 99, 5766–5771.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Watts, D. J. (2004). The “new” science of networks. Annual Review of Sociology, 30, 243–270.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Watts, D. J., & Dodds, P. S. (2007). Influentials, networks, and public opinion formation. Journal of Consumer Research, 34, 441–458.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Watts, D. J., & Strogatz, S. H. (1998). Collective dynamics of ’small-world’ networks. Nature, 393, 440–442.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White, H. (1980). A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica, 48, 817–839.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoganarasimhan, H. (2012). Impact of social network structure on content propagation: A study using YouTube data. Quantitative Marketing and Economics, 10, 111–150.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Duk Hee Lee.

Additional information

This work was supported by grants from the National Science Foundation (DMS-1612880) and by the National Research Foundation of Korea Grant funded by Korean Government (2014S1A3A2044459).

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Kim, J., Kwon, O. & Lee, D.H. Observing Cascade Behavior Depending on the Network Topology and Transaction Costs. Comput Econ 53, 207–225 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-017-9738-9

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-017-9738-9

Keywords

Navigation