Skip to main content
Log in

Marginal-sum and maximum-likelihood estimation in a multiplicative tariff

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

It is well known that, for a multiplicative tariff with independent Poisson distributed claim numbers in the different tariff cells, the maximum-likelihood estimators of the parameters satisfy the marginal-sum equations. In the present paper we show that this is also true under the more general assumption that the claim numbers of the different cells arise from the decomposition of a collective model for the whole portfolio of risks. In this general setting, the claim numbers of the different cells need not be independent and need not be Poisson distributed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bailey, R.A.: Insurance rates with minimum bias. Proc. Casualty Actuar. Soc. L, 4–11 (1963)

    Google Scholar 

  • Dietze, S., Riedrich, Th., Schmidt, K.D.: On the solution of marginal sum equations. Dresdner Schriften zur Versicherungsmathematik 1/2006 (2006)

  • Franke, T., Macht, W.: Decomposition of risk processes. Dresdner Schriften zur Versicherungsmathematik 2/1995 (1995)

  • Hess, K.Th.: Random partitions of samples. Dresdner Schriften zur Versicherungsmathematik 1/2000 (2000)

  • Hess, K.Th., Schmidt, K.D.: A comparison of models for the chain–ladder method. Insur. Math. Econ. 31, 351–364 (2002)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hess, K.Th., Macht, W., Schmidt, K.D.: Thinning of risk processes. Dresdner Schriften zur Versicherungsmathematik 1/1995 (1995)

  • Jung, J.: On automobile insurance ratemaking. ASTIN Bull. 5, 41–48 (1968)

    Google Scholar 

  • Mack, Th.: A simple parametric model for rating automobile insurance of estimating and IBNER claims reserves. ASTIN Bull. 21, 93–109 (1991)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schmidt, K.D.: Lectures on Risk Theory. B.G. Teubner, Stuttgart (1996)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Schmidt, K.D., Wünsche, A.: Chain ladder. marginal sum and maximum likelihood estimation. Blätter DGVM 23, 267–277 (1998)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Schmidt, K.D., Zocher, M.: Loss reserving and Hofmann distributions. Mitteilungen SAV, pp. 127–162 (2005)

  • van Eeghen, J., Greup, E.K., Nijssen, J.A., Rate making. Surveys of actuarial studies, no. 2. Nationale-Nederlanden, Rotterdam (1983)

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Klaus T. Hess.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Hess, K.T. Marginal-sum and maximum-likelihood estimation in a multiplicative tariff. AStA Adv Stat Anal 93, 221–233 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10182-008-0079-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10182-008-0079-9

Keywords

Navigation