Abstract
On an online shopping platform, for users on one side (buyers or sellers), the affiliation decisions depend not only on their stand-alone valuations for the platform’s services, but also on the platform’s user base on the other side. This paper investigates online shopping market structure based on platform services on the two sides and cross-group network effects. We find that the entry of inactive platforms hinges on the side where the strength gap between active platforms and inactive platforms is smaller, i.e. the side on which the average stand-alone valuation of users for platform services is relatively high. Specifically, given the sum of the average stand-alone valuations on the two sides, the market structure is more competitive when the proportion of the average stand-alone valuation on one side to the other is too high or too low. Furthermore, the market structure is more monopolistic when cross-group network effects are strong. We also find that social welfare and the total surplus of users on the two sides may both be lower when the market structure is more competitive. In a case where users on one side multi-home, we find that inactive platforms should pay attention to the average stand-alone valuation on the multi-homing side to enter the markets, whereas active platforms should pay attention to the average stand-alone valuation on the single-homing side to prevent the entry of inactive platforms.
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Notes
The data comes from Wangjingshe (www.100ec.cn) which focuses on data analysis in the e-commerce markets of China.
We study online shopping market structure based on two-sidedness and platform services. Hence, our results can extend to two-sided markets in a general perspective. However, different types of two-sided markets have different features. For example, several good games are essential for a video game platform to stand out from competition and the structure of a network affects a platform’s scale (Zhu and Iansiti, 2019). The incentive of studying platform services is according to early experience of online shopping platforms in China, such as Taobao.com’s commitment on transaction security and JD.com’s efficient logistics services.
The buyer’s stand-alone valuation here excludes the opportunity costs (shopping offline). Hence, the stand-alone valuations of some buyers who like shopping offline may be negative.
We choose concave utility functions for two reasons. Firstly, in online shopping markets, buyers usually browse the first few webpages and compare the products on it because of searching costs. For sellers, it is due to the principle of diminishing marginal returns. Secondly, we cannot ignore the start-up problem (Evans and Schmalensee, 2010) in two-sided markets when studying the market structure. To describe the difficulty of start-up and the importance of initial numbers of buyers and sellers, the utility functions are then assumed to be concave.
Since there is no difference between active platforms, users can choose any active platform to join.
In this paper, the first or second derivatives are represented through subscript.
In the stable symmetric equilibrium, note that if \(\overline{B} = \overline{S} = 0\), \(n^{bk*}\) and \(n^{sk*}\) should be positive. The reason is that if \(n^{bk*} = n^{sk*} = 0\) is the equilibrium, we obtain \(u^{\prime}(0)v^{\prime}(0) < \sigma^{b} \sigma^{s}\) from Eq. (9). The boundaries of the existence conditions, \(\overline{B} - \sigma^{b} Z^{b*} (\Lambda ) = 0\) and \(\overline{S} - \sigma^{s} Z^{s*} (\Lambda ) = 0\), in Sect. 4.3 then do not have a point of intersection in the first quadrant by Eqs. (10–11), which implies that the existence area does not exist.
Participation on the two sides may also be substitutes when the heterogeneity or demand system is changed (See more details in Weyl (2010)).
For example, assuming that \(u(n^{ib} ) = \lambda^{b} (n^{ib} )^{{\gamma^{b} }}\) and \(v(n^{is} ) = \lambda^{s} (n^{is} )^{{\gamma^{s} }}\), the numerical analysis shows that when \(k = 2\), \(\sigma^{s} = 3\), \(B = 0\), \(S = - 1\), \(\lambda^{b} = \lambda^{s} = 1\) and \(\gamma^{b} = \gamma^{s} = 0.1\), the platform’s profits first decrease and then increase with the increasing of \(\sigma^{b}\).
For the change of \(CS^{b}\) and \(CS^{s}\) with respect to \(k\), three cases may exist (see more details in the proof of Proposition 1).
Tan and Zhou (2021) who study the effects of competition in two-sided markets also find that the total surplus of all users may decrease with \(k\). Hence, conventional regulation policy in one-sided markets may not be suitable for two-sided markets (see more discussion in Wright, 2004; Genakos and Valletti, 2012; Nedelescu, 2022).
In our model, all platforms enter the markets at the same time and simultaneously choose the numbers of users. The market entry here represents the reentry of inactive platforms when the environment of the markets, i.e. exogenous parameters, changes.
Note that if we want to rule out the influence of Effect 2, it is not enough to keep \(B/S\) unchanged. We should consider the uncertainty for evaluating platform services as well, i.e. keeping \(\overline{B}/\overline{S} = (B + \sigma^{b} /2)/(S + \sigma^{s} /2)\) unchanged.
Similar to the discussion in Appendix 1, the stability condition in the case of competitive bottlenecks is unchanged.
Note that in the case of competitive bottleneck, multiple symmetric equilibria exist and they satisfy \(\pi_{{n^{ib} }}^{i} = 0\) and \(\sigma^{s} n^{sk*} \ge \overline{S} + u(n^{bk*} ) - \sigma^{s} n^{sk*} \ge 0\) according to Eqs. (12). In what follows, we focus on the equilibrium in Eqs. (14) since the platforms have no motive for further increasing the numbers of users.
For example, assuming that \(u(n^{ib} ) = \lambda^{b} (1 - (1 - n^{ib} )^{{\gamma^{b} }} )\) and \(v(n^{is} ) = \lambda^{s} (1 - (1 - n^{is} )^{{\gamma^{s} }} )\), the numerical analysis shows that when \(\sigma^{b} = \sigma^{s} = 1\), \(B = S = - 0.5\), \(\gamma^{b} = \gamma^{s} = 30\) and \(\lambda^{b} = \lambda^{s} = 1\), \(CS^{s}\) and \(CS\) first increase and then decrease with the increasing of \(k\).
The symmetric equilibria are unstable for \(k > \overline{k}\).
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Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant (72071040, 71671036) and Ministry of Education in China Project of Humanities and Social Sciences (20YJC630142). We are in particular indebted to two anonymous referees for their constructive comments.
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Appendices
Appendix 1
We build a dynamic model following Evans and Schmalensee (2010) to analyze the stability condition as follows:
where \(x^{i} (t)\) and \(y^{i} (t)\), respectively, denote the numbers of buyers and sellers on platform \(i\) at time \(t\), and \(h^{x}\) and \(h^{y}\) are increasing functions with \(h^{x} (0) = 0\) and \(h^{y} (0) = 0\). In addition, given \(x^{i} (t)\) and \(y^{i} (t)\), from Eqs. (3–6), the demand of buyers denoted by \(d^{ib} (t)\) and the demand of sellers denoted by \(d^{is} (t)\) on platform \(i\) at time \(t\) satisfy
and
respectively.
The linear approximation of the dynamic model then is
where \(a = - \left. {(h^{x} )^{\prime}} \right|_{{(x^{i} ,y^{i} ) = (n^{ib*} ,n^{is*} )}}\), \(b = (h^{x} )^{\prime}d_{{y^{i} }}^{ib} |_{{(x^{i} ,y^{i} ) = (n^{ib*} ,n^{is*} )}}\), \(c = (h^{y} )^{\prime}d_{{x^{i} }}^{is} |_{{(x^{i} ,y^{i} ) = (n^{ib*} ,n^{is*} )}}\) and \(d = - (h^{y} )^{\prime}|_{{(x^{i} ,y^{i} ) = (n^{ib*} ,n^{is*} )}}\).
According to the stability theory of differential equations, the stable symmetric equilibrium should satisfy
and
Since \(h^{x}\) and \(h^{y}\) are increasing functions, we have \(p > 0\). The stability condition then only requires \(u^{\prime}(n^{ib*} )v^{\prime}(n^{is*} ) < \sigma^{b} \sigma^{s}\).
Appendix 2
Proof of Lemma 1
From \(\pi_{{n^{ib} }}^{i} = \pi_{{n^{is} }}^{i} = 0\) and the rationality condition, we have
Taking the sum of the above equations over \(i \in \Omega\), we obtain
and
Simplifying the two equations above, we have Lemma 1. \(\square\)
Proof of Lemma 2
From Eqs. (5–6) and (10–11), in the symmetric equilibria, we can obtain \(p^{bk*} = \sigma^{b} n^{bk*}\) and \(p^{sk*} = \sigma^{s} n^{sk*}\). Hence, \(\pi^{k*} = \sigma^{b} (n^{bk*} )^{2} + \sigma^{s} (n^{sk*} )^{2}\) and we only need to verify the signs of \(n_{\zeta }^{bk*}\) and \(n_{\zeta }^{sk*}\), where \(\zeta = B\), \(S\) or \(k\).
-
(1)
\(\zeta = B\) or \(S\)
According to the concavity of \(u( \cdot )\) and \(v( \cdot )\), in the symmetric equilibrium, we obtain that the partial derivative of \(n^{bk*}\) to \(n^{sk*}\) in Eq. (10) is lower than that in Eq. (11) as follows:
Taking the first derivative of Eqs. (10–11) with respect to \(B\) and \(S\), we obtain
since \(\sigma^{b} \sigma^{s} (k + 1)^{2} - v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} )u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} ) > 0\) according to Eq. (15). Similarly, due to the symmetry of two sides, we can prove that \(n_{B}^{sk*} > 0\) and \(n_{S}^{sk*} > 0\).
-
(2)
\(\zeta = k\)
Taking the first derivative of Eqs. (10–11) with respect to \(k\), we obtain
Simplifying the equations above, we obtain
and
\(\square\)
Proof of Lemma 3
Taking the first derivative of Eqs. (10–11) with respect to \(\sigma^{b}\), we obtain
Then we obtain
and
Since \(\sigma^{b} \sigma^{s} (k + 1)^{2} - v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} )u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} ) > 0\) according to Eq. (15), we obtain that \({\text{sgn}} (n_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{bk*} ) = {\text{sgn}} (n_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{sk*} ) = {\text{sgn}} (0.5 - Z^{b*} - n^{bk*} )\), and \(n^{bk*}\) and \(n^{sk*}\) are monotonic functions on \(\sigma^{b}\).
Next, since \(p^{sk*} = \sigma^{s} n^{sk*}\), we have \({\text{sgn}} (p_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{sk*} ) = {\text{sgn}} (n_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{sk*} )\). For \(p^{bk*} = \sigma^{b} n^{bk*}\), if \(Z^{b*} + n^{bk*} < 0.5\), we have \(p_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{bk*} > 0\) and if \(Z^{b*} + n^{bk*} \ge 0.5\), by Eq. (9), we obtain
Simplify the equation above, we have \(p_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{bk*} > \frac{{0.5(k + 1) - n^{bk*} }}{{k^{2} + 2k}} > 0\), and then we can prove that \(p_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{bk*}\) is always positive.
Finally, for \(\pi^{k*} = \sigma^{b} (n^{bk*} )^{2} + \sigma^{s} (n^{sk*} )^{2}\), when \(Z^{b*} + n^{bk*} \le 0.5\), we obtain \(\pi_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{k*} > 0\) as \(n_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{bk*} \ge 0\) and \(n_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{sk*} \ge 0\). However, when \(Z^{l*} + n^{lk*} > 0.5\), \(\pi^{k*}\) may decrease with \(\sigma^{b}\) as \(n_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{bk*} < 0\) and \(n_{{\sigma^{b} }}^{sk*} < 0\) (see Footnote 9).
Similarly, due to the symmetry of two sides, we can prove others. \(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 1
From Eqs. (10–11), since \(Z^{b*} { = }kn^{bk*}\) and \(Z^{s*} { = }kn^{sk*}\), we have
Taking the first derivative of the above equations with respect to \(k\), we have
Solving the equations above, we obtain
and
where \(\Delta = \sigma^{b} \sigma^{s} - u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} )v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} ) > 0\) by Eq. (9).
Since \({\text{sgn}} (Z_{k}^{l*} ) = {\text{sgn}} (CS_{k}^{l*} )\), we only need to verify the signs of \(Z_{k}^{l*}\), \(l = b,s\). Note that the sign of \(Z_{k}^{l*}\), \(l = b,s\) is uncertain (see Fig. 1a). However, if \(Z_{k}^{b*} < 0\), we can obtain \(Z_{k}^{s*} > 0\) since \(\sigma^{s} n^{sk*} v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} ) > \sigma^{s} \sigma^{b} n^{bk*} > u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} )v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} )n^{bk*}\) (by \(\Delta > 0\)). We then obtain the first results. The second results can be proved by Fig. 1b directly.
Next, we discuss the change of \(CS^{b}\) and \(CS^{s}\) with respect to \(k\). Firstly, note that if \(Z_{k}^{b*} < 0\), the numerator of \(Z_{k}^{b*}\), i.e. \(\sigma^{s} \sigma^{b} Z^{b*} - \sigma^{s} Z^{s*} v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} ) + n^{bk*} \Delta\), decreases with \(k\) as \(Z_{k}^{s*} > 0\), \(n_{k}^{bk*} < 0\) and \(n_{k}^{sk*} < 0\). Hence, when \(\left. {Z_{k}^{b*} } \right|_{{k = \tilde{k}}} < 0\) for some \(\tilde{k} \le \overline{k}\), we have \(Z_{k}^{b*} < 0\) and \(Z_{k}^{s*} > 0\) for \(k \in [\tilde{k},\overline{k}]\), where \(\Delta = 0\) if \(k = \overline{k}\).Footnote 17 Secondly, we can prove that \({\text{sgn}} (\left. {Z_{k}^{b*} } \right|_{{k = \overline{k}}} ) = {\text{sgn}} ( - \left. {Z_{k}^{s*} } \right|_{{k = \overline{k}}} )\) since
and
Therefore, for the change of \(CS^{b}\) and \(CS^{s}\) with respect to \(k\), three cases might exist. Case 1: The surplus of users on one side first increases with \(k\) and then decreases with \(k\), and the surplus of users on the other side increases with \(k\). One example of Case 1 is shown in Fig. 1. Case 2: The surplus of users on one side decreases with \(k\), and the surplus of users on the other side increases with \(k\). One example of Case 2 is that \(\sigma^{b} = \sigma^{s} = 4\), \(B = S = - 2\), \(\gamma^{b} = 0.9\), \(\gamma^{s} = 0.1\) and \(\lambda^{b} = \lambda^{s} = 1\). Case 3: The surplus of users on either side increases with \(k\). One example of Case 3 is shown in Fig. 2. In this example, we also have \(\left. {Z_{k}^{b*} } \right|_{{k = \overline{k}}} = \left. {Z_{k}^{s*} } \right|_{{k = \overline{k}}} = 0\). \(\square\)
Proof of Corollary 1
According to the proof of Proposition 1, when \(B = S\), \(\sigma^{b} = \sigma^{s}\) and \(u( \cdot ) = v( \cdot )\), we obtain
Since \(\Delta = \sigma^{b} \sigma^{s} - u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} )v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} ) > 0\), we have \(\sigma^{b} - u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} ) > 0\) and then \(Z_{k}^{b*} > 0\). The result for social welfare can be proved by Fig. 2b directly. \(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 2
For \((S,B)\) on curve \(\overline{B} = \sigma^{b} Z^{b*}\), from Eqs. (10–11), we obtain
Simplifying the equations above, we have
Since \(Z_{S}^{b*} > 0\), we obtain that \(\overline{B} - \sigma^{b} Z^{b*} \le 0\) is equivalent to
Similarly, due to the symmetry of two sides, we can prove that \(\overline{S} - \sigma^{s} Z^{s*} \le 0\) is equivalent to \(\overline{B} \ge \sigma^{b} (k + 1)u^{ - 1} (\frac{{\overline{S}}}{k}) - v(\frac{{\overline{S}}}{{\sigma^{s} k}})\). \(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 3
According to the proof of Proposition 1, we have
where \(\Delta = \sigma^{b} \sigma^{s} - u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} )v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} ) > 0\).
For the points on curve \(B = f(S,k)\), we can obtain \(\sigma^{b} n^{bk*} = v(n^{sk*} )\) by Eq. (10) as \(\overline{B} = \sigma^{b} Z^{b*} = k\sigma^{b} n^{bk*}\). Then we have
since \(v( \cdot )\) is a concave function.
With the analysis above, we finally obtain
Hence, curve \(B = f(S,k + 1)\) is on the left of curve \(B = f(S,k)\). Similarly, we can prove that curve \(S = g(B,k + 1)\) is below curve \(S = g(B,k)\) (see Fig. 4). \(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 6
From Eq. (14), since \(Z^{b*} { = }kn^{bk*}\) and \(Z^{s*} { = }n^{sk*}\), we have
Taking the first derivative of the above equations with respect to \(k\), we have
Solving the equations above, we obtain
and
since \(\Delta = \sigma^{b} \sigma^{s} - u^{\prime}(n^{bk*} )v^{\prime}(n^{sk*} ) > 0\).
We then can prove that \(CS_{k}^{b} > 0\) since \(CS^{b} = \frac{1}{2}\sigma^{b} (Z^{b*} )^{2}\). However, the sign of \(CS_{k}^{s} = \frac{1}{2}\sigma^{s} Z^{s*} (Z^{s*} + 2kZ_{k}^{s*} )\) is uncertain although the surplus of sellers from one active platform, i.e. \(\frac{1}{2}\sigma^{s} (Z^{s*} )^{2}\), decreases with \(k\) (see Fig. 6a). In addition, the results for the total surplus and social welfare can be proved by Fig. 6b directly. \(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 7
For \((S,B)\) on curve \(\overline{B} = \sigma^{b} Z^{b*}\), from Eq. (14), we obtain
Simplifying the equations above, we have
Since \(Z_{S}^{b*} > 0\), we obtain that \(\overline{B} - \sigma^{b} Z^{b*} \le 0\) is equivalent to
Similarly, due to the symmetry of two sides, we can prove that \(\overline{S} - \sigma^{s} Z^{s*} (\Lambda ) \le 0\) is equivalent to \(\overline{B} \ge \sigma^{b} (k + 1)u^{ - 1} (\overline{S}) - v\left( {\frac{{\overline{S}}}{{\sigma^{s} }}} \right)\). \(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 8
By comparing Proposition 2 with Proposition 7, we obtain
and
for \(k > 1\), since \(B\) increases with \(S\) on curve \(S = g^{m} (B,k)\), i.e. \(\sigma^{b} (k + 1)u^{ - 1} (\overline{S}) - v\left( {\frac{{\overline{S}}}{{\sigma^{s} }}} \right)\) increases with \(S\).
Therefore, curve \(B = f^{m} (S,k)\) is on the left of curve \(B = f(S,k)\) and curve \(S = g^{m} (B,k)\) is above curve \(S = g(B,k)\). \(\square\)
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Geng, Y., Zhang, Y. & Li, J. Two-sided competition, platform services and online shopping market structure. J Econ 138, 95–127 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00712-022-00803-w
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00712-022-00803-w