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Detection of trends in days with extreme temperatures in Iran from 1961 to 2010

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Abstract

Human health and comfort, crop productivity, water resource availability, as well as other critical hydrological, climatological, and ecological parameters are heavily influenced by trends in daily temperature maxima and minima (T d max, T d min, respectively). Using Mann–Kendall and sequential Mann–Kendall tests, trends in the number of days when T d max ≥ 30 °C or T d min ≤ 0 °C, over the period of 1961 to 2010, were examined for 30 synoptic meteorological stations in Iran. For 67 % of stations, days when T d min ≤ 0 °C showed a significant negative trend, while only 40 % of stations showed a significant positive trend in days when T d max ≥ 30 °C. The upward trend in T d max became significant between 1967 and 1975, according to the station, while the downward trend in T d min became significant between 1962 and 1974 for the same stations. Changes in precipitation type across most parts of the country show a high correlation with these temperature trends, especially with the negative trend in T d min. This suggests that future climatological and hydrological alterations within the country, along with ensuing climatic issues (e.g., change in precipitation, drought, etc.) will require a great deal more attention.

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Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the editor-in-chief and anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments that helped us improve the final version of the article.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran

    Alireza Araghi & Mohammad Mousavi-Baygi

  2. Department of Bioresource Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, McGill University, Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, QC, Canada

    Jan Adamowski

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  1. Alireza Araghi
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Correspondence to Alireza Araghi.

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Araghi, A., Mousavi-Baygi, M. & Adamowski, J. Detection of trends in days with extreme temperatures in Iran from 1961 to 2010. Theor Appl Climatol 125, 213–225 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1499-6

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