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Associations between immune-related thyroid dysfunction and efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

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Abstract

Background

There is growing evidence suggesting that the occurrence of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) may be a predictor of immune checkpoint inhibitor efficacy. Whether this association extends to all irAEs or just those within particular organs/systems is yet to be resolved. As immune-related thyroid dysfunction (thyroid irAE) is one of the most commonly reported irAEs, this study aims to summarize the available data and determine if thyroid irAE is a surrogate marker for improved cancer outcomes during ICI therapy.

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library were searched up to July 1st 2021 for studies assessing the relationship between thyroid irAE development during ICI therapy and cancer outcomes. Outcome measures of interest include overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). Sub-group analyses based on cancer type and adjustment for immortal time bias (ITB) were also performed.

Results

Forty-seven studies were included in the systematic review. Twenty-one studies were included in the OS meta-analysis whilst 15 were included in the PFS meta-analysis. Development of thyroid irAE during ICI therapy was associated with improved OS and PFS (OS: HR 0.52, CI 0.43–0.62, p < 0.001; PFS: HR 0.58, CI 0.50–0.67, p < 0.001). Sub-group analyses involving non-small cell lung cancer populations and studies where ITB was accounted for, observed similar results (HR 0.37, CI 0.24–0.57, p < 0.001) and (HR 0.51, CI 0.39–0.69, p < 0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

Despite the heterogeneity and biases identified, the evidence does suggest that the development of thyroid irAE is associated with anti-tumor effects of ICIs and therefore, can be used as a surrogate marker for clinical response.

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Funding

This work was conducted with support from Harvard Catalyst | The Harvard Clinical and Translational Science Center (National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of Health Award UL1 TR002541) and financial contributions from Harvard University and its affiliated academic healthcare centers. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the views of Harvard Catalyst, Harvard University and its affiliated academic healthcare centers, or National Institutes of Health.

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Y-MMC had substantial contribution in the conception and design of the manuscript, along with its methodology. She also conducted the statistical analyses and was primarily responsible for drafting the manuscript. She was one of two reviewers responsible for the review and selection of studies for both the systematic review and meta-analysis, as well as for the extracting of data from the selected studies. WW had substantial contribution in overseeing and supervising all statistical analyses performed for the meta-analysis. She also contributed to the revisions of the manuscript. BM had substantial contribution in the drafting and revisions of the manuscript. O-PRH had substantial contribution in the conception and design of the manuscript, along with its methodology. He also contributed to the drafting and revisions of the manuscript. He was one of two reviewers responsible for the review and selection of studies for both the systematic review and meta-analysis, as well as for the extracting of data from the selected studies. He also provided supervision and oversight of the project. All authors have given approval for this version of the manuscript to be published.

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Correspondence to Ole-Petter Riksfjord Hamnvik.

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The authors (YC, BM, WW and OH) do not have any disclosures or conflicts of interest.

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Cheung, YM.M., Wang, W., McGregor, B. et al. Associations between immune-related thyroid dysfunction and efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Cancer Immunol Immunother 71, 1795–1812 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00262-021-03128-7

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