Abstract
Air pollution mitigation strategies are either global or national. In this study, we highlight the need for regional/sector-wise mitigation strategies. We first explored the relationship between economic activity (measured using Nighttime Lights) and air quality for India (and Norway as a comparative reference) employing the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). Second, we focused on the need to shift from global/national-level air pollution mitigation policies to geoclimatic region-wise policy implementation in developing nations with significant economic and physical geography heterogeneity. We considered regional/sector-wise differences in the economic activity–air quality relationship, thereby aiding future policy action in these regions/sectors. We used a panel econometric research design on geospatial variables extracted from the Google Earth Engine. We investigated causality using an Instrument Variable strategy. Economic activity in Norway led to improved air quality, while India is still far from an inverted U-shaped EKC. An inverted U-shaped EKC existed for BIMARU (Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh) states after accounting for transboundary pollution. Transport and industrial sectors were significant contributors to air pollution in India, with Nitrogen Dioxide concentrations highest in the Central, Western, and Eastern regions. At the same time, West India was no longer a Sulfur Dioxide polluting hub. Export hubs were sources of Nitrogen Dioxide pollution, while the primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors were characterized by Carbon Monoxide and Sulfur Dioxide emissions. Given the geographical heterogeneities, global/national intervention policies may not solve the underlying problem anymore. Alternatively, shifting to a decentralized approach involving source-level interventions is the need of the hour.
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Notes
From “Air Pollution”, World Health Organization; “Ambient (Outdoor) Air Pollution”, December 2022, World Health Organization.
From “Air”, United Nations Environment Program.
From “Inhale death: Editorial on worsening air quality in India” 25 April 2023, The Telegraph, “https://www.telegraphindia.com/opinion/inhale-death-editorial-on-worsening-air-quality-in-india/cid/1923921”.
2022 Air Quality Report, by Swiss firm IQAir.
From “World Economic Outlook: A Rocky Recovery”, April 2023, International Monetary Fund.
Saurabh Sharma, "These are the 5 most industrialised states in India", October 2016, Business Today.
Press Information Bureau, “Top Export Districts in the Country”, December 2021, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, “https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?PRID=1780245”.
North India consists of Chandigarh, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Rajasthan, and Uttarakhand. Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh belong to Central India. For the region, East, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, and West Bengal are taken. Whereas, in North-eastern zone Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, and Tripura are categorized. Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Daman and Diu, and Gujarat and Maharashtra referred to West. In South division Andaman and Nicobar Island, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu are the parts of South division.
QGIS is an open-source geographical information system software for geospatial data.
Saurabh Sharma, "These are the 5 most industrialised states in India", October 2016, Business Today.
These states are Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, and Andhra Pradesh.
Press Information Bureau, “Top Export Districts in the Country”, December 2021, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, “https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?PRID=1780245”.
Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports.
SHRUG (Covid-19 Data Resources, 2020/2022).
COVID_19 data Norway, “https://www.covid19data.no/”.
Dipu Rai, “Why instances of stubble burning haunt Delhi-NCR”, India Today, September 2022, “https://www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/stubble-burning-delhi-ncr-punjab-haryana-2006315-2022-09-29”.
Abbreviations
- 2SLS:
-
Two-Stage Least Squares
- AOD:
-
Aerosol Optical Depth
- AQI:
-
Air Quality Index
- BC:
-
Black Carbon
- BIMARU:
-
Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh
- CO:
-
Carbon Monoxide
- CO2 :
-
Carbon Dioxide
- CPCB:
-
Central Pollution Control Board
- DMSP:
-
Defence Meteorological Satellite Program
- EKC:
-
Environmental Kuznets Curve
- EPZ:
-
Export Processing Zones
- FDI:
-
Foreign Direct Investment
- GADM:
-
Database of Global Administrative Areas
- GDP:
-
Gross Domestic Product
- GEE:
-
Google Earth Engine
- GHGs:
-
Greenhouse Gases
- IMD:
-
Indian Meteorological Department
- IMF:
-
International Monetary Fund
- IV:
-
Instrument Variable
- LCCP:
-
Low-Carbon City Pilot Policy
- LISA:
-
Local Indicator of Spatial Association
- LM:
-
Lagrange Multiplier
- MSIS:
-
Norwegian Surveillance System for Communicable Diseases
- NAFTA:
-
North American Free Trade Agreement
- NCAP:
-
National Clean Air Program
- NO2 :
-
Nitrogen Dioxide
- OECD:
-
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
- PM:
-
Particulate Matter
- PM1 :
-
Particulate Matter (1 µm diameter)
- PM2.5 :
-
Particulate Matter (2.5 µm diameter)
- PM10 :
-
Particulate Matter (10 µm diameter)
- QML:
-
Quasi Maximum Likelihood
- SAR:
-
Spatial Autoregressive Model
- SHRUG:
-
Socioeconomic High-resolution Rural–Urban Geographic Data Platform for India
- SO2 :
-
Sulfur Dioxide
- VIIRS:
-
Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite
- WHO:
-
World Health Organization
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Jaison, M., Shajahan, A. Lights and the Invisibles: towards a regional/sector-wise policy approach exploring India’s economy–environment trade-offs. Asia-Pac J Reg Sci 8, 291–332 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41685-023-00326-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41685-023-00326-2
Keywords
- Air quality
- Decentralized policy
- Economic activity
- Environmental Kuznets curve
- Geospatial analysis
- Nighttime lights