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Market size, product differentiation and bidding for new varieties

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Abstract

We analyse a firm’s investment decision in a regional economy composed of two countries. The firm already manufactures a horizontally differentiated good in the region, and we determine the firm’s equilibrium location choice for the new good and the welfare consequences of fiscal competition between the two countries. We find that the firm’s location decision is efficient. Fiscal competition does not affect the location of production but merely redistributes rents between the firm and the taxpayers of the host country. As far as we know, the tax competition literature has not previously addressed the issue of product differentiation.

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Notes

  1. Overviews of competition for FDI can be found in, for example, UNCTAD (1996), Oman (2000), Charlton (2003) and Barba Navaretti and Venables (2004).

  2. See https://www.ft.com/content/f2c6e930-6d7f-11e8-852d-d8b934ff5ffa for further details.

  3. Also see UNCTAD (2012, 2015).

  4. Some technical discussions can be found in the Appendix.

  5. N measures the market size of country B relative to that of country A.

  6. This supposition is in line with the existing models, for example, Haufler and Wooton (1999).

  7. See the Appendix 1 for our discussion of the quasi-linear utility function from which the inverse-demand systems are derived. In the main text, this is implicitly assumed.

  8. We make this assumption since the trade versus FDI choice is well understood from the literature on trade costs and foreign direct investment. See, for example, Neary (2009) for a survey. It is not the focus of our paper.

  9. This assumption is in line with previous contributions such as Haufler and Wooton (1999) and Bjorvatn and Eckel (2006). It should be noted that we assume off economies of scope in our analysis. If this is the case, it is easy to see that all else equal, the chance for the MNE to locate production of the new variety in the larger country will be increased.

  10. The subsidy becomes a lump-sum tax if \(s^{i}\) is strictly negative.

  11. Our results on prices and quantities are in line with the results obtained in Amir et al. (2016). Given our demand structure, for monopoly firms supplying at least two goods with constant marginal cost, the price for each good is independent of demand cross-effects (the parameter b in our model), and the number and characteristics of other goods. However, equilibrium outputs do depend on these relationships.

  12. Obviously, it will be less interesting when the fixed investment costs are so high that the MNE’s net profits from manufacturing the new variety are less than its profits when it only sells the existing variety.

    It may be argued that, compared with the case where the two countries do not engage in FDI competition, the competition may provide the MNE with a sufficient incentive to make the new investment. This may be true. But it should be noted that the fixed investment cost and the scale effect associated with it are not the focus of this paper.

  13. Again, the results are in line with those obtained in Amir et al. (2016).

  14. It is easy to see that when \(\tau =0\), \(\Delta \pi =0\), and the location choice is irrelevant.

  15. We therefore omit the knife-edge cases.

  16. Appendix 1 discuss the derivation of consumer surplus from a representative consumer’s quasi-linear utility function.

  17. There may be several other reasons to attract local production (such as reducing involuntary unemployment, attracting jobs with premium wages, or generating production externalities for local industry), while there may be also disadvantages to the FDI (such as environmental degradation). For the sake of simplicity and analytical tractability, we focus on the increase in consumer surplus associated with domestic production.

  18. Since we have linear demands for differentiated products and constant marginal costs, it turns out that the difference between country B’s valuation of the FDI and that of country A, \(\Delta W^{B}-\Delta W^{A}\), is proportionate to the difference in the MNE’s profit from locating its new investment in country B rather than in country A, \(\Delta \pi \). As the former is one half of the latter, we have our result.

  19. The MNE always has an option not to introduce the new variety into the region, in which case it earns \(\pi _{\varnothing }^{*}\). Therefore, when countries have an opportunity to tax the MNE, the tax \(s^{i}<0\) should also satisfy the MNE’s participation constraint. When the firm locates in country i, this corresponds to \(\left( s^{i*}+\pi _{i}^{*}\right) -\pi _{\varnothing }^{*}\ge f\). Our results do not change qualitatively.

  20. That fiscal competition for FDI may Pareto weakly improve national welfare of the competing countries seems to be interesting, and this result is in line with Ma (2013). Bjorvatn and Eckel (2006) obtain a similar result. That happens when one of the competing countries does not benefit from the entry of the MNE; and hence, its valuation of FDI is strictly negative. This increases the bargaining power of the other country and may lead to taxation of FDI rather than subsidies. In contrast, we derive the result in the situation where both countries have an economic incentive to attract FDI.

  21. Further details can be found in our discussion paper, Ma and Wooton (2019).

  22. Ma and Wooton (2019) provides further details.

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Acknowledgements

We wish to thank two anonymous referees, Giuseppe De Feo, Ben Ferrett, Armando Pires, Pascalis Raimondos, Martin Richardson and Maurizio Zanardi for their helpful comments and suggestions. Jie Ma thanks Wei Du and Chao Liu for their excellent research assistance. The usual disclaimer applies.

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Appendices

Appendix 1: Inverse demand systems and consumer surplus

We discuss here the quasi-linear utility function from which inverse demand systems are derived, and we show how we calculate countries’ consumer surplus when the MNE introduces the new variety into the region. We implicitly assume that the representative agent in each country i has a quasi-linear preference of the form:

$$\begin{aligned} U^{i}=\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} q_{1}^{i}-\frac{1}{2}q_{1}^{i2}+m &{} \text {(only good 1 available)} \\ \left( q_{1}^{i}+q_{2}^{i}\right) -\frac{1}{2}\left( q_{1}^{i2}+2bq_{1}^{i}q_{2}^{i}+q_{2}^{i2}\right) +m &{} \text {(both goods 1 and 2 available)} \end{array} \right. \text {,} \end{aligned}$$

where m is a homogenous numéraire good; \( 0\le b\le 1\).

It is easy to confirm that the inverse-demand systems when the MNE produces and sells both varieties in the region (expression 1) are derived from maximizing \(U^{i}=\left( q_{1}^{i}+q_{2}^{i}\right) -\frac{1 }{2}\left( q_{1}^{i2}+2bq_{1}^{i}q_{2}^{i}+q_{2}^{i2}\right) +m\) subject to the budget constraint. Each country’s representative agent receives consumer surplus equal to:

$$\begin{aligned} cs^{i}=\left( q_{1}^{i}+q_{2}^{i}\right) -\frac{1}{2}\left( q_{1}^{i2}+2bq_{1}^{i}q_{2}^{i}+q_{2}^{i2}\right) -p_{1}^{i}q_{1}^{i}-p_{2}^{i}q_{2}^{i}. \end{aligned}$$

The smaller country A has a single consumer, while the larger country B has N consumers. Consequently, country B’s total consumption surplus is equal to N times its representative agent’s consumer surplus.

Appendix 2: Alternative views on product differentiation

Suppose that the representative consumers in each country have different perception of the substitutability of the two products produced by the firm. We argue that, as in the basic model, FDI competition does not change the MNE’s location choice. Without loss of generality, we examine the case where the representative consumer in the smaller country considers the two goods to be distinct, with a product-differentiation parameter \(b_{S}=0\), while the representative consumer in the larger country still treats them as being substitutes, with a product-differentiation parameter \(b_{L}>0\).

The larger country’s market remains the same as in the basic model. However, the MNE gets more profits per capita in the smaller country’s market irrespective of its location choice, while the smaller country’s net benefit under FDI is greater than in the basic model. That is because the representative consumer is now prepared to pay more for the two goods. As a result, the MNE’s equilibrium profits depend upon its location choice as follows:

$$\begin{aligned} \begin{array}{c} \pi _{B}^{**}=\frac{N}{2\left( 1+b\right) }+\frac{\left( 1-\tau \right) ^{2}}{2} \\ \pi _{A}^{**}=\frac{1+\left( 1-\tau \right) ^{2}}{4}+\frac{N}{ 4\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }\left[ 1+\left( 1-\tau \right) ^{2}-2b\left( 1-\tau \right) \right] \end{array} ; \end{aligned}$$

and each country’s net benefits under FDI become:

$$\begin{aligned} \Delta W^{B}= & {} \frac{N\tau }{8\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }\left[ 2-\tau -2b\right] \\ \Delta W^{A}= & {} \frac{\tau \left( 2-\tau \right) }{8}. \end{aligned}$$

It turns out that:

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{A}^{**}>\pi _{B}^{**}\Leftrightarrow N^{**}< \frac{\left( 2-\tau \right) \left( 1-b^{2}\right) }{2-\tau -2b}; \end{aligned}$$

and

$$\begin{aligned} \Delta W^{A}>\Delta W^{B}+\left( \pi _{B}^{**}-\pi _{A}^{**}\right) \Leftrightarrow N^{**}<\frac{\left( 2-\tau \right) \left( 1-b^{2}\right) }{2-\tau -2b}. \end{aligned}$$

Hence, we obtain the same result as in the basic model, in that competition for FDI does not change the MNE’s location choice. That is because our model has a linear demand system and constant marginal costs. As a result, in equilibrium, the difference between two countries’ net benefits under FDI and the difference between two location-specific profit levels are proportional. We doubt whether this result would change in the more general case where \(b_{S}\ne b_{L}\ne 0\).

In order to overturn the result in the basic model, we may need to introduce asymmetry between the competing countries from the supply side, such as only one country having a problem of unemployment (Barros and Cabral 2000) or where one country has a local firm competing with the FDI (Bjorvatn and Eckel 2006).

Appendix 3: The effects of a local production tax/subsidy

Consider the case where countries compete for the investment of the MNE’s new variety by subsidizing/taxing the MNE’s local production of the variety. An export subsidy would never be used by a government because it may be only justified in an environment of international oligopolistic competition.

When the MNE chooses to make investments in the larger country B, the operating profits it receives are:

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{B}= & {} N\left[ \left( 1-q_{1}^{B}-bq_{2}^{B}-c\right) q_{1}^{B}+\left( 1-bq_{1}^{B}-q_{2}^{B}-c\right) q_{2}^{B}+s_{B}q_{2}^{B}\right] \\&+\left( 1-q_{1}^{A}-bq_{2}^{A}-c-\tau \right) q_{1}^{A}+\left( 1-bq_{1}^{A}-q_{2}^{A}-c-\tau \right) q_{2}^{A}, \end{aligned}$$

where \(s_{B}\) is country B’s local production tax/subsidy and c is the marginal cost of producing each variety. It can be shown that:

$$\begin{aligned} q_{1}^{A}= & {} q_{2}^{A}=\dfrac{1-c-\tau }{2\left( 1+b\right) }, \\ p_{1}^{A}= & {} p_{2}^{A}=\dfrac{1+c+\tau }{2}; \\ q_{1}^{B}= & {} \dfrac{\left( 1-c\right) -b\left( 1-c+s_{B}\right) }{2\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }, q_{2}^{B}=\dfrac{\left( 1-c+s_{B}\right) -b\left( 1-c\right) }{2\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }, \\ p_{1}^{B}= & {} \dfrac{1+c}{2}, p_{1}^{B}=\dfrac{1+c-s_{B}}{2}. \end{aligned}$$

Consequently, when the MNE chooses to locate the production of the new variety in country B, its equilibrium operating profits are:

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{B}^{*}= & {} \dfrac{1}{4\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }\left[ N\left( 1-c\right) ^{2}+N\left( 1-c+s_{B}\right) ^{2}-2bN\left( 1-c\right) \left( 1-c+s_{B}\right) \right] . \\&+\frac{\left( 1-c-\tau \right) ^{2}}{2\left( 1+b\right) }. \end{aligned}$$

If country B chooses not to provide a local production subsidy, we have:

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{B}^{**}=\dfrac{1}{2\left( 1+b\right) }\left[ N\left( 1-c\right) ^{2}+\left( 1-c-\tau \right) ^{2}\right] . \end{aligned}$$

Similarly, when the MNE chooses to produce the new variety in the smaller country A, the operating profits it receives are:

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{A}= & {} N\left[ \left( 1-q_{1}^{B}-bq_{2}^{B}-c\right) q_{1}^{B}+\left( 1-bq_{1}^{B}-q_{2}^{B}-c-\tau \right) q_{2}^{B}\right] \\&+\left( 1-q_{1}^{A}-bq_{2}^{A}-c-\tau \right) q_{1}^{A}+\left( 1-bq_{1}^{A}-q_{2}^{A}-c\right) q_{2}^{A}+s_{A}q_{2}^{A}, \end{aligned}$$

where \(s_{A}\) is country A’s local production tax/subsidy and c is the marginal cost of producing each variety. It can be shown that:

$$\begin{aligned} q_{1}^{A}= & {} \dfrac{\left( 1-c-\tau \right) -b\left( 1-c+s_{A}\right) }{2\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }, q_{2}^{A}=\dfrac{\left( 1-c+s_{A}\right) -b\left( 1-c-\tau \right) }{2\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }, \\ p_{1}^{A}= & {} \dfrac{1+c+\tau }{2}, p_{2}^{A}=\dfrac{1+c-s_{A}}{2}; \\ q_{1}^{B}= & {} \dfrac{\left( 1-c\right) -b\left( 1-c-\tau \right) }{2\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }, q_{2}^{B}=\dfrac{\left( 1-c-\tau \right) -b\left( 1-c\right) }{2\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }, \\ p_{1}^{B}= & {} \dfrac{1+c}{2}, p_{1}^{B}=\dfrac{1+c+\tau }{2}. \end{aligned}$$

Consequently, when the MNE chooses to locate the production of the new variety in country A, its equilibrium operating profits are:

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{A}^{*}= & {} \dfrac{1}{4\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }\left[ N\left( 1-c\right) ^{2}+N\left( 1-c-\tau \right) ^{2}-2bN\left( 1-c\right) \left( 1-c-\tau \right) \right] \\&+\dfrac{1}{4\left( 1-b^{2}\right) }\left[ \left( 1-c-\tau \right) ^{2}+\left( 1-c+s_{A}\right) ^{2}-2b\left( 1-c-\tau \right) \left( 1-c+s_{A}\right) \right] . \end{aligned}$$

If country A chooses not to offer a local production subsidy, we have:

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{A}^{**}=\dfrac{\left( N+1\right) }{4\left( 1-b^{2}\right) } \left[ \left( 1-c\right) ^{2}+\left( 1-c-\tau \right) ^{2}-2b\left( 1-c\right) \left( 1-c-\tau \right) \right] . \end{aligned}$$

It is clear from the above that when both countries do not engage in FDI competition, the MNE will choose to invest in the smaller country if and only if

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _{A}^{**}>\pi _{B}^{**}\Longleftrightarrow b^{**}>\frac{\left( N-1\right) \left( 2-2c-\tau \right) }{2\left[ N\left( 1-c\right) -\left( 1-c-\tau \right) \right] }; \end{aligned}$$
(A3.1)

and vice versa.

It is not obvious that the necessary and sufficient condition under which \( \pi _{A}^{*}>\pi _{B}^{*}\) coincides with condition (A3.1) above. As a result, policy competition may change the FDI location choice when the policy instrument used affects the MNE’s marginal decisions.

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Ma, J., Wooton, I. Market size, product differentiation and bidding for new varieties. Int Tax Public Finance 27, 257–279 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-019-09559-4

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