Abstract
The promotion of energy-efficient appliances is necessary to reduce the energetic and environmental burden of the household sector. However, many studies have reported that a typical consumer underestimates the benefits of energy-saving investment on the purchase of household electric appliances. To analyze this energy-efficiency-gap problem, many scholars have estimated implicit discount rates that consumers use for energy-consuming durables. Although both hedonic and choice models have been used in previous studies, a comparison between the two models has not yet been made. This study uses point-of-sale data about Japanese residential air conditioners and estimates implicit discount rates with both hedonic and choice models. Both models demonstrate that a typical consumer underinvests in energy efficiency. Although choice models generally estimate a lower implicit discount rate than hedonic models, the latter models estimate the values of other product characteristics more consistently than choice models.
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Notes
By contrast, some studies that analyzed the fuel economy of vehicles reported that consumers overinvested in energy saving (Greene 2010).
In addition, engineering and stated preference models are used for the estimation of implicit discount rates. In engineering models, the installation costs of energy-efficient technologies are compared and the value of the resulting energy-efficient investment is estimated. In stated preference models, surveys are conducted to elicit the willingness to pay (WTP) for energy-efficient investment.
For instance, the Energy Star label was introduced in the USA in 1992.
The “tatami mat” is used as a measurement unit for traditional Japanese rooms. The size of one tatami mat is 1.74 m by 0.87 m. Room sizes are standardized according to the number of tatami mats used.
Different consumers may rely on different pieces of energy information. Houde (2014) focuses on the refrigerator market and compares consumers’ responses to electricity costs with those to the Energy Star label. He finds that richer and smaller households respond to electricity costs but not so much to the label. He estimates that the value of energy information is around 12–17 US dollars per refrigerator sold.
The removal of observations with zero sales is likely to bias price coefficient estimates in a choice model analysis. However, AC models with zero sales are old models and their sales are recoded infrequently. For instance, we observe single-unit sales after observing zero sales for 3 months. It is difficult to handle observations with zero sales. The factions of AC models with zero sales are only about 12% in all AC classes, and AC models with even single-unit sales are included. We believe that the bias caused by their removal is not so serious. We thank the journal referee for pointing out this problem.
If the rebate was provided for the purchase of a specific AC model, we subtract it from the sales price and use the acquisition price that consumers actually paid in the following analysis.
We used the electricity price of Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc. (TEPCO), which uses block pricing. We used the second-stage rate, 21.04 yen/kW h, which is the most popular stage among general households.
Tasaki (2006) examines the usage period of ACs brought to electronics retail stores for recycling purposes and reported that more than 60% of the ACs were used for at least 8 years.
Households may not use an AC under this condition. We conduct sensitivity analysis to examine whether the relationship between two models is affected by the assumption of the intensity of AC use.
See Cockburn and Anis (1998) for further discussion.
Cropper et al. (1988) recommend the use of simple functional models if the omitted variable problem exists. Conversely, Kuminoff et al. (2010) recommend the use of flexible functional models such as a Box-Cox model when special and/or time fixed effects are included. The application of flexible functional models, however, makes the model comparison difficult. Thus, we use a simple functional model in this study.
These authors argue that the attributes attached to expensive models with limited numbers of sales are undervalued when the number of sales is used as a weighting variable.
Monthly fixed effects are not included in the choice model analysis as we compare the product choice between sampling periods.
Following the suggestion of the journal referee, we conducted sensitivity analyses. Although the implicit discount rates change with the assumptions about the future electricity cost, efficiency loss from depreciation, or usage period, the relationship between hedonic and choice models remains the same; that is, choice models estimate a lower implicit discount rate than hedonic models.
If consumers drive less, they can sell their used vehicles at higher prices at used car markets. In contrast, consumers are less likely to resell used ACs. Thus, heterogeneity in AC usage will have a greater effect on the price differentials of AC models, as original consumers are unlikely to consider resale value. Following the referees’ suggestion, we added the sensitivity analysis.
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Acknowledgements
Most of this paper was written during my sabbatical at the Institute for Environmental Science and Technology (ICTA) at the Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona in the academic year of 2015. I would like to thank ICTA for its great hospitality. This work is supported financially by the Asahi Glass Foundation and the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science KAKENHI (Grant Number: 26340119).
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Appendix: Control variable construction
Appendix: Control variable construction
In this study, we solve the endogeneity problem between the price and the unobserved characteristics of ACs by applying the technique proposed by Hausman (1997) and Hausman and Taylor (1981). Consumers choose one AC among the ACs in the specific cooling capacity class suitable for their room. Therefore, AC markets are differentiated by cooling capacity classes. We initially estimate the prices of ACs in class c by analyzing the data of the remaining classes (\(-c)\). The estimated prices (after elimination of class- and brand-specific effects) are driven by underlying costs, which provide instrumental variables that are correlated with the prices of ACs in class c, but uncorrelated with the error term \(\omega _{\textit{mt}} \) in Eq. 8.
When analyzing ACs in the cth cooling capacity class, we use data of the remaining class (\(-c)\) and estimate the following hedonic function:
Here, \(P_{\textit{lt}}^{-c} \) is the average price of the lth AC model at period \(t, \textit{CAP}_l^{-c} \) is the cooling capacity, \(\textit{EC}_{{\varvec{l}}}^{-{{\varvec{c}}}} \) is annual electricity consumption, and \({\varvec{Z}}_{\textit{lt}} \) is the vector of the characteristics of the lth AC model, which include manufacture- and year-specific dummies. We use sales value as a weight. The results are presented in Table 6.
Using the estimated coefficients, we calculate
Plugging this into the exponential function, we estimate the expected price of the mth AC model in class c as follows:
We estimate the following hedonic function:
Here, the estimated price \(\hat{P} _{\textit{mt}}^c \) is used as an instrumental variable. It is correlated with the price, but uncorrelated with the error term \(\omega _{\textit{mt}} \) in Eq. 7. The results are presented in Table 7. All expected price variables become positive and statistically significant at the 1% level.
Finally, we calculate the residual of this estimation as follows:
Following Kim and Petrin (2010) and Petrin and Train (2010), we use this residual as a control function in Eq. 8.
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Matsumoto, S. Consumer valuation of energy-saving features of residential air conditioners with hedonic and choice models. Empir Econ 55, 1779–1806 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1327-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1327-1