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Research on Risk Assessment of Natural Gas Supply in China Based on PSR

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Proceedings of the Tenth International Forum of Decision Sciences (ITLBD&DS 2022)

Abstract

Natural gas is the cleanest kind of fossil energy that human beings have at present, and plays a very important role in human life. However, China’s natural gas reserves are relatively insufficient. At this stage, the biggest challenge facing China is that the growth of natural gas production can not catch up with the growth of natural gas consumption. This forced China to import a large amount of natural gas to ease the domestic demand tension, but it also led to a new high of China’s dependence on foreign natural gas. However, natural gas is one of the important strategic energy. It is closely related to people’s lives and even enough to affect national security. The risk of natural gas supply is very important. In this paper, the risk of natural gas supply from 2017 to 2021 is analyzed by constructing the PSR model and using the fuzzy comprehensive analysis method. Find out the problems in the current natural gas supply and put forward reasonable solutions.

Fund Project: general project of Shandong Provincial Natural Science Fund “Research on improving the ecological compensation mechanism for the development of offshore oil and gas resources” (approval No.: zr201911050449); Qingdao social science planning project “Research on the coordinated mechanism of promoting ecological compensation in the Yellow River Basin in Qingdao” (approval No.: qdskl2101040).

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Correspondence to Wang Zhao Qi .

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Hui, L., Qi, W.Z. (2023). Research on Risk Assessment of Natural Gas Supply in China Based on PSR. In: Li, X., Xu, X. (eds) Proceedings of the Tenth International Forum of Decision Sciences. ITLBD&DS 2022. Uncertainty and Operations Research. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-9741-9_4

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