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The Impact of Emigration on Source Countries

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The Economic Geography of Cross-Border Migration

Part of the book series: Footprints of Regional Science ((VRS))

Abstract

Much of the literature on cross-border migration has focused on the impact of immigration on receiving countries with less attention paid to the impact of emigration on sending countries. Ghosh and Weinstein provide an overview of the push and pull factors that play a role in the decision to emigrate. The chapter draws attention to the linkages between the underlying factors that cause emigration and the impact of emigration on sending countries. Though the global impact of international migration may be positive, the efficiency gains from labor mobility are not shared equally across countries or across regions within sending countries. By specifically examining provinces across China, Ghosh and Weinstein find that, while there are short-term effects from the loss of labor and brain drain, the long-term effects accrue via emigrant networks that can promote trade, foreign direct investment and entrepreneurial activities, remittances and possibly brain gain, if emigrants return to their native country. Still, emigration in China likely exacerbates inequality between wealthier coastal provinces and inland areas. The chapter concludes with a brief discussion of the policy implications of emigration.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    A later study by Mayda (2010) also incorporates destination countries’ immigration policies into the theoretical model and finds empirical results that are consistent with the theoretical predictions. Specifically, positive pull factors for migrants are bigger than average for a destination country when its migration policy becomes less restrictive while push factors turn negative and significant once migration restrictions are relaxed.

  2. 2.

    Docquier and Marfouk (2006) define a skilled emigrant as a foreign-born individual, aged 25 or more, holding an academic or professional degree beyond high school.

  3. 3.

    Figure 19.5 follows Bhagwati (1984), Clemens (2011), and others.

  4. 4.

    In 2016, remittance inflows to India amounted to $62.7 billion, the largest in the world. In fact, South Asia is one of the largest recipients of remittances in the world with countries such as Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh having remittances exceeded 5% of GDP in 2016 (World Bank 2017).

  5. 5.

    Additionally, Guy Abel has developed a methodology to estimate international migration flows based on migrant population stock data and provides data on his website: https://guyabel.com/.

  6. 6.

    While the catching up in income narrows the income gap between the sending country and destination country, which can lower emigration, the positive impact on emigration rates due to poverty alleviation may dominate the negative effect associated with the narrowing of the income gap between home and abroad.

  7. 7.

    The hukou system is a family registration program, established in 1958, where each individual is categorized by the state as either rural or urban and are required to stay and work within their designated geographic areas. Access to education, healthcare, public services, housing, and food is also determined by this designated geographical area. Since its initial launch, the hukou system has gone through several reforms but has yet to be abolished.

  8. 8.

    Calculated using IPUMS ACS 2016 5 year average for migrants between the age of 28 and 65.

  9. 9.

    Calculated using IPUMS ACS 2016 5 year average for migrants of any age.

  10. 10.

    Ibid.

  11. 11.

    Tingvall and Ljungwall (2012) conduct a meta-analysis of 67 studies on the linkages between FDI and economic growth in order to understand whether China differs from other countries in FDI’s impact on productivity. They find that the impact of FDI on growth has been significantly higher for China than for other countries. Furthermore, in studies that use aggregate data, China is even stronger suggesting that policies that promote linkages between foreign and domestic firms have been successful.

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Ghosh, S., Weinstein, A. (2021). The Impact of Emigration on Source Countries. In: Kourtit, K., Newbold, B., Nijkamp, P., Partridge, M. (eds) The Economic Geography of Cross-Border Migration. Footprints of Regional Science(). Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48291-6_19

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