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Models for Prediction Under Conditions of Interaction

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Environmental Assessment of Socioeconomic Systems

Part of the book series: NATO Conference Series ((SYSC,volume 3))

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Abstract

History is replete with examples of legislation enacted to achieve specific changes but which resulted in small or negative change in the desired direction while generating unanticipated secondary effects. The attempt to introduce prohibition of alcohol consumption in the US was such a case. Analogous cases have begun to be noticed in the field of ecology. The following example is given by Holling and Goldberg.

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References

  1. Holling C.S. and Goldberg M.A. (1973) Managing the Environment pages 31–32, EPY-600/5–73–010 US Government Printing Office

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  2. Adam Smith Wealth of Nations, Everyman, Dutton

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  3. Forrester J.W. (1971) World Dynamics, Wright-Allen, London

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  4. Meadows D. (1972) The Limits to Growth, M.I.T. Press, Cambridge, Mass.

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  5. Mesarovic M. and Pestel E. (1974) Mankind at the Turning Point E.P.Dutton & Co. New York 1974

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  6. Roberts P. et al., Paper to IIASA 4th symposium on Global Modelling, September 1976.

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© 1978 Plenum Press, New York

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Roberts, P.C. (1978). Models for Prediction Under Conditions of Interaction. In: Burkhardt, D.F., Ittelson, W.H. (eds) Environmental Assessment of Socioeconomic Systems. NATO Conference Series, vol 3. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2520-8_8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2520-8_8

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4684-2522-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4684-2520-8

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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