Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xvii
  2. Ross J. Salawitch, Brian F. Bennett, Austin P. Hope, Walter R. Tribett, Timothy P. Canty
    Pages 1-50 Open Access
  3. Austin P. Hope, Timothy P. Canty, Ross J. Salawitch, Walter R. Tribett, Brian F. Bennett
    Pages 51-113 Open Access
  4. Walter R. Tribett, Ross J. Salawitch, Austin P. Hope, Timothy P. Canty, Brian F. Bennett
    Pages 115-146 Open Access
  5. Brian F. Bennett, Austin P. Hope, Ross J. Salawitch, Walter R. Tribett, Timothy P. Canty
    Pages 147-181 Open Access
  6. Back Matter
    Pages 183-186

About this book

Introduction

This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license.

This volume presents an Empirical Model of Global Climate developed by the authors and uses that model to show that global warming will likely remain below 2ºC, relative to preindustrial, throughout this century provided: a) both the unconditional and conditional Paris INDC commitments are followed; b) the emission reductions needed to achieve the Paris INDCs are carried forward to 2060 and beyond.

The first section of the book provides a short overview of Earth’s climate system, describing and contrasting climatic changes throughout the planet’s history and anthropogenic changes post-Industrial Revolution. The second section describes the climate model developed by the authors (Canty et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2013) and contrasts the model with climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2013 Report. Chapter 3 examines both the unconditional (i.e., firm commitments) and conditional Paris INDCs (commitments contingent on financial flow and/or technology transfer) through the lens of their climate model and concludes that if all of the Paris INDCs are followed, then they are indeed a beacon of hope for Earth’s climate. The fourth part of the book offers a perspective of energy needs and subsequent emissions reductions required to meet the Paris temperature goals, illuminating challenges faced both in the developing world and the developed world.

Throughout the book, easy-to-understand charts and graphics illustrate concepts. The scientific basis of Chapters 2 and 3 was first presented in a keynote session of the 96th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society in January, 2016.


Keywords

United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Climate Modeling Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Modeling Obama-Xi Accords Global Warming Conditional and Unconditional INDCs

Authors and affiliations

  • Ross J. Salawitch
    • 1
  • Timothy P. Canty
    • 2
  • Austin P. Hope
    • 3
  • Walter R. Tribett
    • 4
  • Brian F. Bennett
    • 5
  1. 1.Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic ScienceUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkUSA
  2. 2.Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic ScienceUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkUSA
  3. 3.Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic ScienceUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkUSA
  4. 4.Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic ScienceUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkUSA
  5. 5.Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic ScienceUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkUSA

Bibliographic information

  • Copyright Information The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Earth and Environmental Science
  • Print ISBN 978-3-319-46938-6
  • Online ISBN 978-3-319-46939-3
  • Series Print ISSN 2352-0698
  • Series Online ISSN 2352-0701