Abstract
Choices made by human Ss in two experiments showed that their beliefs as to which of two alternative outcomes of a probabilistic event had occurred in the past were affected by the preference values that these outcomes possessed prior to the occurrence of the event.
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IRWIN, F. W., & SNODGRASS, J. G. Effects of independent and dependent outcome values upon bets. J. exp. Psychol., 1966, 71, 282–285.
IRWIN, F. W., & METZGER, M. J. Effects of probabilistic independent outcomes upon predictions. Psychon. Sci., 1966, 5, 79–80.
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This investigation was supported by Research Grant MH-06580 from the National Institute of Mental Health to the University of Pennsylvania. We thank Allen H. Harris, Jr. for assistance in obtaining data and Thomas S. Wallsten for helpful comments.
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Irwin, F.W., Metzger, M.J. Effects of independent outcome-values of past events upon subsequent choices. Psychon Sci 9, 613–614 (1967). https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03327915
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03327915