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The System for Numerical Prediction of Weather Events (Including Severe Ones) for Moscow Megacity: The Prototype Development

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Abstract

The COSMO-Ru1Mp prototype of the numerical weather prediction system for the Moscow region with a grid spacing of 1 km and with the included and adapted TERRA_URB parameterization module for the urban areas is implemented. The module is provided with necessary information on the urban development and on the sources of anthropogenic heat based on the adaptation of open data. The module is interfaced with the COSMO-Ru operational system for the regional numerical weather prediction developed in the Hydrometcenter of Russia. The primary testing of the COSMO-Ru1Mp is performed, including daily forecasts based on operational data. The advantage of this forecast system and the prospects of its further development are revealed.

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Acknowledgments

The authors thank the experts of the Hydrometcenter of Russia, Roshydromet Main Computing Center, and Department of Meteorology and Climatology of Lomonosov Moscow State University, especially A.V. Kislov, S.V. Lubov, and M.V. Shatunova for assistance and useful discussions.

Funding

The research was supported by the grant for the implementation of activities on the development of the system for monitoring and forecasting of, as well as warning against severe and adverse weather events in Moscow city (the Resolution of the Government of Moscow No. 257-PP, April 3, 2018).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation, Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11-13, Moscow, 123242, Russia

    G. S. Rivin, R. M. Vil’fand, D. B. Kiktev, I. A. Rozinkina, K. O. Tudriy, D. V. Blinov, M. I. Varentsov, T. E. Samsonov, A. Yu. Bundel’, A. A. Kirsanov & D. I. Zakharchenko

  2. Lomonosov Moscow State University, GSP-1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991, Russia

    G. S. Rivin, R. M. Vil’fand, I. A. Rozinkina, M. I. Varentsov, T. E. Samsonov & D. I. Zakharchenko

Authors
  1. G. S. Rivin
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  2. R. M. Vil’fand
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  3. D. B. Kiktev
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  4. I. A. Rozinkina
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  5. K. O. Tudriy
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  6. D. V. Blinov
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  7. M. I. Varentsov
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  8. T. E. Samsonov
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  9. A. Yu. Bundel’
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  10. A. A. Kirsanov
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  11. D. I. Zakharchenko
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to G. S. Rivin.

Additional information

Russian Text © The Author(s), 2019, published in Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2019, No. 11, pp. 33–45.

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Rivin, G.S., Vil’fand, R.M., Kiktev, D.B. et al. The System for Numerical Prediction of Weather Events (Including Severe Ones) for Moscow Megacity: The Prototype Development. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 44, 729–738 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373919110025

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373919110025

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