Abstract
Background and Objective: In chronic disease, treatment effects and costs accumulate over time; hence, the choice of time horizon in cost-effectiveness analysis can be particularly important. In this article we analyse the dynamic changes in cumulative costs, effects and incremental cost effectiveness of two competing drug strategies in patients with early Parkinson’s disease (PD).
Methods: Three hundred and one subjects with PD were randomised to initial pramipexole or levodopa and followed every 3 months over a 4-year period. Healthcare resource use was recorded in patient diaries and valued using a variety of sources at year 2002 $US values. Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was measured using the EuroQoL EQ-5D. The study was conducted from a US societal perspective. Missing data were imputed using a multivariate fixed-effects model. Additional quality adjusted life years (QALY) gained by using pramipexole compared with levodopa were estimated as the area between the normalised treatment HRQoL profiles. The QALYs and costs for each treatment arm were calculated for various study horizons.
The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and the net monetary benefit (NB) [using $US50 000, $US100 000 and $US150 000 as the value of a QALY] were estimated, and were bootstrapped to calculate the standard errors. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEAC) were built to estimate the probability that pramipexole was cost effective given different societal values of QALY, for various study horizons.
We conducted sensitivity analyses on the ICER and the NB to test their robustness to various assumptions about missing data, for various subpopulations and under changes in the drug prices.
Results: Under the base-case assumptions, the ICER for pramipexole was $US42 989 per QALY. Using the CEAC approach, the probability that pramipexole was cost effective relative to levodopa over the first 4 years was 0.57, 0.77 and 0.82 when a QALY was valued at $US50 000, $US100 000, and $US150 000, respectively. Over time, the ICER for pramipexole improved and uncertainty around the ICER decreased. If, after treatment withdrawal, HRQoL improved in pramipexole subjects and declined in levodopa subjects (best-case scenario for pramipexole), the probability of pramipexole being cost effective increased to 0.88, 0.96 and 0.98, respectively. Factors that improved the ICER of pramipexole were a decrease in the relative price of pramipexole and having low HRQoL or depression at baseline.
Conclusions: The cost effectiveness of pramipexole compared with levodopa in the treatment of early PD increased as the time horizon of the clinical trial extended from 2 to 4 years. Our results suggest that pramipexole is more cost effective for patients with depression and low baseline HRQoL than in other patient subgroups.
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Notes
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Using the multivariate imputation model described above, we estimated a one-time deterioration of 0.078 QALYs in the pramipexole arm and 0.065 QALYs in the levodopa arm at the last visit before the subject dropped out of the study.
EQ-5D is expressed in units of utility, and is assessed using preference-based methods (time trade-off). It uses external weights (obtained on the sample of adult population in the UK) to provide a single score based on its five health domains that is bound by −0.594 and 1. The EQ-VAS assesses preference using internal (patient’s own) ‘health domains’ and weights and provides a HRQoL score on the scale 0 to 1. Changes in the EQ-5D and -VAS over time represent QALYs[52]
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Acknowledgements
The randomized clinical trial (but not the presented analyses) was supported by Pharmacia, Corp. (Peacock, NJ, USA) and Boehringer Ingelheim Pharma (Ingelheim, Germany). The additional analyses and research efforts for the cost-effectiveness study were supported by research grants K01 AG 20980 from the National Institute of Aging (Katia Noyes) and K24 NS4 2098 from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (Robert Holloway).
Author contribution:
KN: conception and design, obtaining funding, acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data, drafting and revisions of the manuscript.
AD: conception and design, analysis and interpretation of data, revisions of the manuscript.
RH: conception and design, obtaining funding, acquisition and interpretation of data, drafting and revisions of the manuscript.
The authors have no conflicts of interest that are directly relevant to the content of this study.
The earlier version of the manuscript was presented at the 9th Annual Meeting of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research in Arlington, VA, May 2004, where it received the Best Podium Presentation Award. The authors would like to thank Drs. Andrew Briggs and Christopher McCabe for their comments on the earlier version of the manuscript, Carolynn O’Connell and Patricia Klein with assistance in preparing the manuscript, and all participating sites for collecting the data.
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Noyes, K., Dick, A.W. & Holloway, R.G. Pramipexole and levodopa in early parkinson’s disease. Pharmacoeconomics 23, 1257–1270 (2005). https://doi.org/10.2165/00019053-200523120-00009
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.2165/00019053-200523120-00009