Background

South Africa is one of the few African countries that have introduced genetically modified (GM) crops. South Africa has been growing first-generation commercial GM crops since 1997 [1]. In 2008, South Africa was ranked eighth in terms of global commercial GM production [2]. It is estimated that 90% of cotton (insect resistance (IR) and herbicide tolerance (HT)), 80% of soybean (HT), 72% of yellow maize (IR and HT) and 55% of white maize (IR and HT) (an important food staple) productions in South Africa are GM [2]. In 2008/2009, there were 14 field trials of various GM crops in South Africa [3]. Thus, it is expected that the number of approved GM events grown in South Africa will increase in the future.

Despite more than a decade of rapid adoption of GM crops in South Africa, there is currently no emphasis on coexistence to establish management practices for the effective segregation between GM and non-GM crops. Despite this, there is a requirement for non-GM in terms of export commodities, especially to countries in Africa, Asia and Europe. Furthermore, there is an expectation that second- and, especially, third-generation GM crops will become a reality within the next few years. This in itself will necessitate measures for coexistence wherever such crops are grown [4].

In a document published by the European Commission, coexistence is explained as, "the choice of consumers and farmers between conventional, organic and GM crop production, in compliance with the legal obligations for labelling defined in Community legislation. The possibility of adventitious presence of GM crops in non-GM crops cannot be excluded. Therefore, suitable measures are needed during cultivation, harvest, transport, storage and processing to ensure coexistence" [5]. Thus coexistence has become an important issue in managing the introduction of GM crops, especially, since in recent years, there have been several examples of unwanted commingling. Examples of these include the detection of transgenes in landraces in Mexico [6], the introgression of herbicide tolerance in wild bentgrass in the USA [7], the Prodigene pharmaceutical producing maize that commingled with soybean and maize [8], Starlink maize detected in processed food products in 2001 [9] and LibertyLink601 rice found in conventional rice in 2006 [10]. Thus, we suggest that in a broader context, coexistence deals with measures to prevent commingling between GM and non-GM crops in order to minimize economic losses as well as the negative impacts on human health, trade and the environment [1115]. Thus, unless GM producing countries take steps to ensure coexistence, unwanted commingling of GM and non-GM crop will occur.

One of the considerations of coexistence is the transfer of genes from one population to another through gene flow via pollen [16]. The methods used to study gene flow include potential pollen-mediated gene flow (which includes the analysis of pollen viability, pollen dispersal and deposition, pollen capture and computer modelling) [1726] and pollen-mediated gene flow (which involves determining the extent of cross-pollination over distance and computer modelling) [2738]. While several studies have determined the extent of cross-pollination at different distances ranging from 34 to 650 m, it is not certain how applicable these data are to the maize growing region of South Africa. Thus, while the aim of these studies has been to predict theoretical distances in order to minimize gene flow, the varying trial design and environmental conditions make it difficult to extrapolate this information from one region to another. Thus, the aim of this study, conducted from 2005 to 2007, was to determine the extent of GM maize cross-pollination to non-GM maize under South African conditions in the context of commercial farming practice.

Materials and methods

Field trial

Converted MON810 yellow maize hybrids containing Cry1Ab (PAN 6994B or PAN 6724B) and a conventional white maize hybrid (PAN 6479) were planted in two typical commercial maize growing regions, Bainsvlei and Kroonstad during 2005/2006 and Bainsvlei and Waterbron during 2006/2007, situated in the Free State province, South Africa. The hybrids were selected based on their flowering synchronicity (74 to 76 days) and the trials planted according to standard farming practice without any herbicide or insecticide spraying. The trial design consisted of a central yellow GM donor maize field (approximately 20 × 35 m) surrounded by receptor conventional white maize (approximately 180 × 230 m for Bainsvlei and Kroonstad and approximately 180 × 800 m at Waterbron) (Figure 1). The trials were planted with a 4-week temporal isolation to other maize within a 3-km radius to other maize plantings in the area. Weather data (wind speed, wind direction, temperature and relative humidity) were captured (5 days during flowering) using a mobile weather station (Vantage Pro, Davis Instruments Corp., Hayward, CA, USA) and data logger positioned in the centre of the GM plot.

Figure 1
figure 1

Field layout for Bainsvlei 2005/2006 and 2006/2007 and Waterbron 2006/2007. Field layout drawn to scale for Bainsvlei 2005/2006 and 2006/2007 (180 × 230 m) and Waterbron 2006/2007 (180 × 800 m). The open centre block represents the donor yellow GM maize and the surrounding grey block the recipient white non-GM maize. Cobs were collected along the 16 transects every 2 m up to 100 m and a further 200 m at 10 m intervals at Waterbron as indicated by the dashed line. Pollen traps (indicated by X within the non-GM maize field) were set at 50 m intervals in four directions and continued up to 400 m.

Pollen capture

Pollen traps were set for 5 days during the flowering period to coincide with weather data. The traps were set at 50 m intervals from the GM plot in four compass directions (N, S, W and E) up to 400 m. The pollen trap comprised a clamp on a pole with a glass slide coated with Tween20, adjusted to a height of 1.8 m to match the height of flowering maize. The glass slides were placed in the clamp at 6:00 a.m. and removed at 3:30 p.m. daily, for 5 days. Pollen was retrieved from the slides by rinsing them with 1 ml cetyltrimethylammonium bromide (CTAB) buffer (20 g/l CTAB, 1.4 M NaCl, 0.1 M Tris/HCl and 20 mM EDTA, pH 8), after which, it was stored at 4°C. Pollen was diluted (1:10) and counted using a haemocytometer using a light microscope under 10 × magnification.

Evaluation of cross-pollination

At seed maturity, the white non-GM field was divided into 16 compass transects and the first cob on the maize plant sampled at 2 m intervals up to 100 m at Bansvlei and Waterbron and 10 m intervals thereafter at Waterbron (Figure 1). A total of 800 cobs were sampled at Bainsvlei and 1,280 at Waterbron, per site per season, respectively.

Statistical analysis and graphical representation

All the seeds were removed from the cob, and the number of yellow seeds per cob was counted and expressed as a percentage to total seed number per cob. The mean percentage cross-pollination over distance from the GM plot, for all trial sites, was represented graphically and subjected to a power trend line. Each data set was transformed logarithmically and subjected to a linear trend line. The mean cross-pollination over distance per location per year was compared to the combined means over all data sets. The logarithmic high values of cross-pollination (the highest value of cross-pollination at a particular distance interval irrespective of direction) over logarithmic distance per location per year were compared to the combined values over all data sets. Theoretical values of cross-pollination were calculated at 1.0%, 0.1%, 0.01% and 0.001% using linear equations derived from logarithmic cross-pollination over logarithmic distance. ANOVA was performed using Excel 2007 (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA, USA) on theoretical cross-pollination distances derived from logarithmic combined mean cross-pollination over distance compared to logarithmic high cross-pollination over distance. The datasets were combined and the theoretical cross-pollination distances re-calculated using means with a 90%, 95% and 99% confidence interval, respectively.

Results and discussion

In a comparison of wind, pollen load and cross-pollination roses (Figure 2), it is evident that at Bainsvlei 2005/2006, the greatest pollen load over the 5 days of pollen capture was to the west and north, which partially coincides with the greatest incidence of easterly but not northerly wind. However, the greatest incidence of cross-pollination was in a southerly direction. A similar lack of congruency between the direction of wind, pollen load and cross-pollination was observed in Bainsvlei 2006/2007 and Waterbron 2006/2007. In Bainsvlei 2006/2007, the majority of winds were northerly, while the greatest amount of pollen captured was in a northerly and westerly direction and the majority of cross-pollination was again in a southerly direction. Compared to this, Waterbron 2006/2007 had mostly south-easterly and west-north-westerly winds; the greatest pollen load was in an easterly direction with the highest incidence of cross-pollination in a southerly and, secondarily, in a northerly direction. Thus, from these data, it is evident that wind direction, pollen load and the extent of cross-pollination were not in agreement across the different trial sites of this study. The reasons for this are unknown, but we hypothesise that other factors, including wind type, and other environmental and reproductive considerations may play an important role in the effect of pollen load on the extent of cross-pollination. The temperature (18°C to 23°C) and relative humidity (29% to 72%) at all three sites were characterized as, during pollen shed, conducive to maintaining maximum pollen viability. Furthermore, all three sites are characterized by swirling winds, and with an influence of primarily northerly winds may partially explain the bias for cross-pollination to the south. This is an important consideration, and most modelling of pollen movement and cross-pollination has hitherto assumed that the predominant direction for pollen movement would also translate into the greatest directional degree of cross-pollination [20]. The results from all three trial sites (the Kroonstad trial was terminated due to early frost) suggest that this is not the case for the geographic locations at which the trials occurred in this study.

Figure 2
figure 2

Comparison of wind, pollen load and cross-pollination roses. Graphical representation of the direction of pollen load (top panel), wind data (middle panel) and cross-pollination (bottom panel) for Bainsvlei 2005/2006 (BV06), Bainsvlei 2006/2007 (BV07) and Waterbron 2006/2007 (WB07). In the top panel, the summary pollen load (50,000 to 800,000) in four wind directions over 5 days of flowering is indicated. In the middle panel, the direction and speed of wind, in metres per second (0.01 to 0.08 m/s), over 5 days of flowering are indicated. The bottom panel indicates the direction of summary cross-pollination data over distance (× 100 m).

In this study, similar results to other studies were found regarding the trend in cross-pollination over distance [3336]. The highest extent of cross-pollination was observed at 2 m for Bainsvlei 2005/2006 (mean, 14%; highest, 55%), Bainsvlei 2006/2007 (mean, 19%; highest, 54%) and Waterbron 2006/2007 (mean, 19%; highest, 82%) (Figure 3). At all sites, cross-pollination declined sharply up to between 20 and 25 m, after which, followed a plateau of low-percentage cross-pollination up to 100 m at Bainsvlei and 300 m at Waterbron, the furthest evaluation point, respectively. Although 98% of pollen deposition is known to occur within 25 to 50 m from the source [39], and the extent of cross-pollination is greatly reduced thereafter, it is incorrect to assume that the plateau of low levels of cross-pollination will no longer be observed at or beyond 300 m [33]. One requirement in establishing isolation distances regarding GM crops is whether cross-pollination should be minimized to below a predetermined threshold, as in the case of non-GM or organic production (depending on the regulations of the region or country), or prevented, as in the case of GM field trials under contained use or pharmaceutical, industrial or biofuel production in food crops, where there is 0% tolerance for contamination of non-GM food crops. Furthermore, it should be noted that while isolation distance is an important consideration for minimizing gene flow, other factors should also be considered in an integrated risk management plan for GM field trials [4044].

Figure 3
figure 3

Mean percentage cross-pollination versus distance. Graphical representation of percentage cross-pollination over distance for Bainsvlei 2005/2006 (R2 = 0.90; y = 61.043x-1.842), Bainsvlei 2006/2007 (R2 = 0.92; y = 216.91x-2.036) and Waterbron 2006/2007 (R2 = 0.91; y = 293.52x-2.055) superimposed by power trend lines with R2 and equation as indicated.

Logarithmic transformation of the cross-pollination data revealed a linear correlation between mean cross-pollination over distance at individual sites (data not provided) as well as combined data over all three sites (Figure 4). From the linear equation, theoretical isolation distances were calculated to achieve a range of between <1.0% and 0.1%, <0.1% and 0.01% and <0.01% and 0.001% cross-pollination (Table 1). Based on these data, 45 m is sufficient to minimize cross-pollination to between <1.0% and 0.1%, 145 m for <0.1% to 0.01% and 473 m for <0.01% to 0.001%. However, an important consideration of using mean cross-pollination over distance is that the distance required to achieve a specified threshold of cross-pollination may be underestimated. In order to test this hypothesis, we plotted the highest values for cross-pollination over distance on a logarithmic scale. There is a linear correlation of the logarithmic transformation of high values of cross-pollination over distance for individual sites as well as combined data over all three sites (Figure 5). Furthermore, there was a significant difference between theoretical isolation distances calculated using the mean versus high values (P << 0.01) (Table 1). The theoretical isolation distances were also calculated from a combination of all three datasets using different confidence intervals (90%, 95% and 99%) to determine whether the use of high values of cross-pollination would overestimate cross-pollination and result in greater than the required isolation distances. However, it was found that the latter approach did not result in significantly different isolation distances compared to the use of high values of cross-pollination (P >> 0.01) (Table 1). Thus, we suggest that in order not to underestimate the potential for cross-pollination to occur at a predetermined isolation distance, the high values instead of mean values of cross-pollination over distance should be used. Based on this, a theoretical isolation distance of 135 m is required to ensure a minimum level of cross-pollination between <1.0% and 0.1%, 503 m for <0.1% to 0.01% and 1.8 km for <0.01% to 0.001%. While it may not be required to apply the most stringent isolation distances for non-GM or organic production, it should be a requirement where no commingling can be tolerated, such as GM field trials under contained use or non-GM seed production (Table 2). Furthermore, we recognize that under such conditions, an isolation distance of 1.8 km to achieve a minimum of <0.01% to 0.001% commingling (the limit of detection for PCR) may not be practical. We therefore suggest the combined use of a 3- to 4-week temporal isolation, which includes all maize fields within a 1.8-km radius of the proposed trial site, with the most practical distance to achieve a <0.01% threshold of commingling for GM field trials under contained use. In this study, only one GM pollen source was considered; however, it would be necessary to calculate the potential impact of more than one GM pollen source in a commercial farming environment.

Figure 4
figure 4

Correlation between logarithmic combined mean percentage cross-pollination and logarithmic distance. Linear correlation of logarithmic combined mean percentage cross-pollination (CP) over distance for all three trial sites (R2 = 0.87; y = -1.9509x + 2.2181). The vertical error bars on data points represent the standard error of the mean.

Table 1 Theoretical isolation distances derived from 1.0%, 0.1%, 0.01% and 0.001% cross-pollination
Figure 5
figure 5

Comparison of percentage mean cross-pollination to percentage high cross-pollination. Linear correlation of logarithmic combined mean percentage cross-pollination (CP) (big squares - lower line) over distance for all three trial sites compared to the linear correlation of logarithmic percentage high cross-pollination (small squares - top line) over distance (R2 = 0.83; y = -1.7547x + 2.7405).

Table 2 Summary of isolation distances based on mean versus high cross-pollination where applicable to non-GM or organic crop production as well as GM field trials and non-GM seed production (X)

We also observed that there was a shift between the trend lines in Figure 3 for Bainsvlei 2006/2007 and Waterbron 2006/2007 compared to the trend line for Bainsvlei 2005/2006. The graphic representation of mean cross-pollination over distance compared to high cross-pollination over distance produced a similar result (data not shown). Based on this observation as well as the comparison of wind, pollen load and cross-pollination roses, it appears that pollen load and environmental factors on their own are not solely responsible in determining cross-pollination potential. We hypothesise that reproductive physiological factors are also involved. Although the dynamics of such an interaction is currently unknown, we suggest that cross-pollination is a result of the interaction between pollen load, the environment and reproductive physiology:

Cross-pollination ← Pollen load ○ Environment ○ Reproductive physiology

Conclusions

In this study, we have investigated the effect of pollen load and environment on cross-pollination under typical maize growing conditions in South Africa. We have also compared mean cross-pollination to high cross-pollination values over distance in order to calculate isolation distances for predetermined thresholds of commingling. Mean cross-pollination data may be sufficient to determine isolation distances where commingling is allowable at a specific threshold, for example, non-GM production. However, to achieve zero commingling for non-GM seed production, or GM field trials under contained use, a more stringent approach through the use of greater isolation distances based on high compared to mean cross-pollination may be required. While this may not be practical under all conditions, it would be possible to achieve maximum stringency through the combined use of temporal and distance isolations, taking into account the GM maize fields within the radius of the most stringent isolation distance required. Finally, comparing the results of this study to others, it is evident that while the overall trends may be similar between different cross-pollination studies, geographic specific data are required to establish isolation distances for a specific region.