Abstract
The most dramatic economic crises substantially changed the main communication lines in the world system. To all appearances, in the next few decades, the current global financial-economic crisis will prompt considerable changes in its structure and operation, as well as in the principles of international relations. Possible transformations caused by the crisis and the probability of different scenarios of the world system’s development are analyzed in the article published below.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
L. E. Grinin, “The Global Crisis As a Money Overproduction Crisis,” Filos. Obshch., No. 1 (2009).
L. E. Grinin and A. V. Korotaev, A Global Crisis in Retrospect: A Short History of Recoveries and Crises: From Lycurgus through Alana Greenspan (LIBROKOM, Moscow, 2010) [in Russian].
L. E. Grinin and A. V. Korotayev, “Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions,” World Futures, No. 7 (2009).
A. L. Kudrin, “Wolrd Economic Crisis and Its Impact on Russia,” Vopr. Ekon., No. 1 (2009).
P. J. Buchanan, The Death of the West: How Dying Populations and Immigrant Invasions Imperil Our Culture and Civilization (St. Martin’s Press, New York, 2001; AST, Moscow, 2007).
V. L. Inozemtsev, “Post-American World: A Dilettante’s Dream and a Complex Reality,” Mir. Ekon. Mezhdunar. Otnosh., No. 3 (2008).
L. E. Grinin, The State and the Historical Process: A Political Section of the Historical Process, 2nd ed. (LIBROKOM, Moscow, 2009) [in Russian].
V. V. Mikheev, “China,” in The World Economy: A Outlook until 2020, Ed. by A. A. Dynkin (Magistr, Moscow, 2008) [in Russian].
V. A. Mel’yantsev, Developed and Developing Countries in the Epoch of Change (ID Klyuch-S, Moscow, 2009) [in Russian].
A. G. Volodin, “India,” in The World Economy: An Outlook until 2020 (Magistr, Moscow, 2009) [in Russian].
Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World (Evropa, Moscow, 2009), www.dni.gov/nic/NIC-2025-project.html.
Z. Brzezinski, The Choice: Global Domination or Global Leadership (Basic Books, New York, 2004; Mezhdunar. Otnosh., Moscow, 2005).
L. E. Grinin, “The State in the Past and in the Future,” Vestn. Ross. Akad. Nauk 79(9) (2009) [Her. Russ. Acad. Sci. 79 (5), 480 (2009)].
L. E. Grinin, “Globalization and the Transformation of National Sovereignty,” in Systemic Development: Local Solutions in a Global Environment, Ed. by S. J. Auckland (ISCE, Goodyear, 2009).
Z. Brzezinski, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives (Basic Books, New York, 1998; Mezhdunar. Otnosh., Moscow, 1999).
J. Tinbergen, Reshaping the International Order: A Report to the Club of Rome (Dutton, New York, 1976; Progress, Moscow, 1980).
Additional information
Original Russian Text © L.E. Grinin, 2011, published in Vestnik Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk, 2011, Vol. 81, No. 4, pp. 325–330.
Leonid Efimovich Grinin, Dr. Sci. (Philos.), is chief researcher at the Volgograd Center for Social Research.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Grinin, L.E. Will the world face global changes?. Her. Russ. Acad. Sci. 81, 151–156 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1019331611020134
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1019331611020134