Abstract
The phase distribution of all strong X-ray flares from 1976 to 2013 and the flares in the current 24th cycle have been investigated. It is concluded that, until around 2019, mid-level M-class flares and strong (up to X8 class) flares can be expected. Stronger flares may also occur. Superflares like the Carrington event are unlikely.
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Original Russian Text © A.I. Khlystov, 2014, published in Geofizicheskie Protsessy i Biosfera, 2014, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 66–73.
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Khlystov, A.I. Distribution of strong and super flares by phases of solar activity cycles. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 50, 776–781 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433814080052
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433814080052