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Modeling the evolution of the world ocean ice cover in the 20th and 21st centuries

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Abstract

The current state of the simulation of sea ice cover as a component of new-generation global climate models is considered. Results from the model ensemble simulation of the observed world ocean ice cover, including its evolution in the 20th century, are analyzed, and projection of possible changes in the 21st century for three scenarios of anthropogenic forcing of the climate system are described. Unresolved problems and priorities for sea ice modeling are discussed.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory, Roshydromet, ul. Karbysheva 7, St. Petersburg, 194021, Russia

    V. M. Kattsov, T. V. Pavlova, P. V. Sporyshev & V. A. Govorkova

  2. Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, Roshydromet, ul. Beringa 38, St. Petersburg, 199397, Russia

    G. V. Alekseev & R. V. Bekryaev

Authors
  1. V. M. Kattsov
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  2. G. V. Alekseev
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  3. T. V. Pavlova
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  4. P. V. Sporyshev
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  5. R. V. Bekryaev
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  6. V. A. Govorkova
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Additional information

Original Russian Text © V.M. Kattsov, G.V. Alekseev, T.V. Pavlova, P.V. Sporyshev, R.V. Bekryaev, V.A. Govorkova, 2007, published in Izvestiya AN. Fizika Atmosfery i Okeana, 2007, Vol. 43, No. 2, pp. 165–181.

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Kattsov, V.M., Alekseev, G.V., Pavlova, T.V. et al. Modeling the evolution of the world ocean ice cover in the 20th and 21st centuries. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 43, 142–157 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433807020028

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433807020028

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