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Climate change

Patterns of tropical warming

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The effect of rising greenhouse-gas emissions on climate is not uniform across the globe. An analysis of the mechanisms behind model-projected changes in ocean temperature gives greater confidence in the pattern of tropical warming and its potential impacts.

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Figure 1: Sea surface temperature change over the twenty-first century, averaged over 22 climate models for a mid-range emissions scenario (IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B (ref. 1); data are available from the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Amy Clement and Andrew C. Baker are at the Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, Florida 33149, USA.,

    Amy C. Clement & Julie Leloup

  2. Julie Leloup is at the Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1225 W Drayton Street, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA.,

    Andrew C. Baker

Authors
  1. Amy C. Clement
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  2. Andrew C. Baker
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  3. Julie Leloup
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Correspondence to Amy C. Clement.

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Clement, A., Baker, A. & Leloup, J. Patterns of tropical warming. Nature Geosci 3, 8–9 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo728

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