Skip to main content
Log in

Deep Neural Network Models for Improving Truck Productivity Prediction in Open-pit Mines

  • Published:
Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The accurate prediction of truck productivity plays a pivotal role in improving the efficiency and profitability of open-pit mining operations. However, predicting truck productivity is challenging owing to the complex nature of the working conditions of the mine site. This paper proposes a deep neural network model to overcome the challenge of predicting truck productivity in open-pit mines. The prediction model was built using eight variables and was optimized by considering different train-test split ratios, numbers of hidden layers and neurons, and activation functions. The proposed model's performance was evaluated using various metrics and was compared with other commonly used machine learning algorithms. According to the results, the proposed model outperformed traditional machine learning algorithms by achieving higher accuracy and lower error rates, with the best-performing model having four hidden layers with 70 neurons per layer and a scaled exponential linear unit activation function, resulting in a coefficient of determination value of 0.89. This demonstrates the potential of deep neural network models for predicting truck productivity in open-pit mine sites. Moreover, a single variable sensitivity analysis was conducted to investigate the impact of input variables on truck productivity. The results show that haul distance is the most influential variable for the prediction of truck productivity.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12

Similar content being viewed by others

Data Availability

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, [WVL], upon reasonable request.

References

  1. Fan C, Zhang N, Jiang B, Liu WV (2022) Prediction of truck productivity at mine sites using tree-based ensemble models combined with Gaussian mixture modelling. Int J Mining, Reclam Environ 37:66–86

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Alarie S, Gamache M (2002) Overview of solution strategies used in truck dispatching systems for open pit mines. Int J Surf Min, Reclam Environ 16:59–76

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Choi Y, Nguyen H, Bui X-N, Nguyen-Thoi T (2022) Optimization of haulage-truck system performance for ore production in open-pit mines using big data and machine learning-based methods. Resources Policy 75:102522

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Nobahar P, Pourrahimian Y, Mollaei Koshki F (2022) Optimum Fleet Selection Using Machine Learning Algorithms-Case Study: Zenouz Kaolin Mine. Mining 2:528–541

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Choi Y, Nguyen H, Bui X-N, Nguyen-Thoi T, Park S (2021) Estimating ore production in open-pit mines using various machine learning algorithms based on a truck-haulage system and support of internet of things. Nat Resour Res 30:1141–1173

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Dumakor-Dupey NK, Arya S (2021) Machine Learning-A Review of Applications in Mineral Resource Estimation. Energies 14:4079

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Jooshaki M, Nad A, Michaux S (2021) A systematic review on the application of machine learning in exploiting mineralogical data in mining and mineral industry. Minerals 11:816

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Jung D, Choi Y (2021) Systematic review of machine learning applications in mining: Exploration, exploitation, and reclamation. Minerals 11:148

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Sun X, Zhang H, Tian F, Yang L (2018) The use of a machine learning method to predict the real-time link travel time of open-pit trucks. Math Problems Eng, 2018.

  10. Dubey SR, Singh SK, Chaudhuri BB (2022) Activation functions in deep learning: A comprehensive survey and benchmark. Neurocomputing 503:92–108

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Baek J, Choi Y (2019) Deep neural network for ore production and crusher utilization prediction of truck haulage system in underground mine. Appl Sci 9:4180

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Merkel GD, Povinelli RJ, Brown RH (2017) Deep neural network regression as a component of a forecast ensemble. Proceeding of the 37th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting. Cairns, Australia, pp 1–4

  13. Fu Y, Aldrich C (2020) Deep learning in mining and mineral processing operations: a review. IFAC-PapersOnLine 53:11920–11925

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Baek J, Choi Y (2020) Deep neural network for predicting ore production by truck-haulage systems in open-pit mines. Appl Sci 10:1657

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Guo H, Zhou J, Koopialipoor M, Jahed Armaghani D, Tahir M (2021) Deep neural network and whale optimization algorithm to assess flyrock induced by blasting. Eng Computers 37:173–186

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Avalos S, Kracht W, Ortiz JM (2020) Machine learning and deep learning methods in mining operations: A data-driven SAG mill energy consumption prediction application. Mining, Metall Explor 37:1197–1212

    Google Scholar 

  17. Abbaspour H, Drebenstedt C, Badroddin M, Maghaminik A (2018) Optimized design of drilling and blasting operations in open pit mines under technical and economic uncertainties by system dynamic modelling,. Int J Min Sci Technol 28:839–848

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Taherdoost H (2016) Sampling methods in research methodology; how to choose a sampling technique for research. Avaliable at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3205035. Accessed 10 Apr 2016

  19. Thompson SK (2012) Sampling, John Wiley & Sons. Hoboken, New Jersey

    Google Scholar 

  20. Wu L, Hu C, Liu WV (2020) Forecasting the deterioration of cement-based mixtures under sulfuric acid attack using support vector regression based on Bayesian optimization. SN Appl Sci 2:1970

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Ciulla G, D’Amico A (2019) Building energy performance forecasting: A multiple linear regression approach. Appl Energy 253:113500

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Fan C, Zhang N, Jiang B, Liu WV (2022) Preprocessing large datasets using Gaussian mixture modelling to improve prediction accuracy of truck productivity at mine sites. Arch Mining Sci 67:661–680

    Google Scholar 

  23. Gao C, Elzarka H (2021) The use of decision tree based predictive models for improving the culvert inspection process. Adv Eng Inform 47:101203

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. MEP (2018) Current and historical Alberta weather station data viewer. Government of Alberta, Edmonton

    Google Scholar 

  25. Knofczynski GT, Mundfrom D (2008) Sample sizes when using multiple linear regression for prediction. Educ Psychol Measure 68:431–442

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  26. Lwanga SK, Lemeshow S, Organization WH (1991) Sample size determination in health studies: a practical manual, World Health Organization. Switzeland, Geneva

    Google Scholar 

  27. Nguyen H, Bui X-N (2019) Predicting blast-induced air overpressure: A robust artificial intelligence system based on artificial neural networks and random forest. Nat Resour Res 28:893–907

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Deng H, Fannon D, Eckelman MJ (2018) Predictive modeling for US commercial building energy use: A comparison of existing statistical and machine learning algorithms using CBECS microdata. Energy Build 163:34–43

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Li J, Cheng J, Shi J, Huang F (2012) Brief Introduction of Back Propagation (BP) Neural Network Algorithm and Its Improvement. In: Jin D, Lin S (eds) Advances in Computer Science and Information Engineering. Springer, Berlin, pp 553–558

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  30. Ekici BB, Aksoy UT (2009) Prediction of building energy consumption by using artificial neural networks. Adv Eng Software 40:356–362

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Hewayde E, Nehdi M, Allouche E, Nakhla G (2007) Neural network prediction of concrete degradation by sulphuric acid attack. Struct Infrastruct Eng 3:17–27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Sheela KG, Deepa SN (2013) Review on methods to fix number of hidden neurons in neural networks. Math Problems Eng 2013:425740

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Kiliçarslan S, Celik M (2021) RSigELU: A nonlinear activation function for deep neural networks. Expert Syst Appl 174:114805

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Sharma O (2019) A new activation function for deep neural network. Proceeding of the 2019 International Conference on Machine Learning, Big Data, Cloud, and Parallel Computing (COMITCon). IEEE, Faridabad, India, pp 84–86

    Google Scholar 

  35. Rumelhart DE, Hinton GE, Williams RJ (1986) Learning representations by back-propagating errors. Nature 323:533–536

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Ugurlu ÖF (2021) Drill Bit Monitoring and Replacement Optimization in Open-Pit Mines,. Scientif Min J 60:83–87

    Google Scholar 

  37. Ugurlu OF, Ozturk CA (2021) Experimental investigation for the use of tailings as paste-fill material through design of experiment. Geomech Eng 26:465–475

    Google Scholar 

  38. Ugurlu OF, Kumral M (2019) Optimization of drill bit replacement time in open-cast coal mines. Int J Coal Sci Technol 6:399–407

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Arachchilage CB, Fan C, Zhao J, Huang G, Liu WV (2023) A machine learning model to predict unconfined compressive strength of alkali-activated slag-based cemented paste backfill. J Rock Mech Geotechn Eng 15:2803–2815

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. ShakorShahabi R, Qarahasanlou AN, Azimi SR, Mottahedi A (2021) Application of data mining in Iran’s Artisanal and Small-Scale mines challenges analysis. Resour Policy 74:102337

    Article  Google Scholar 

  41. Ohadi B, Sun X, Esmaieli K, Consens MP (2020) Predicting blast-induced outcomes using random forest models of multi-year blasting data from an open pit mine. Bull Eng Geol Environ 79:329–343

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Breiman L (2001) Random forests. Machine Learn 45:5–32

    Article  Google Scholar 

  43. Khoshroo A, Emrouznejad A, Ghaffarizadeh A, Kasraei M, Omid M (2018) Sensitivity analysis of energy inputs in crop production using artificial neural networks. J Cleaner Product 197:992–998

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Fan C, Zhang N, Jiang B, Liu WV (2023) Using deep neural networks coupled with principal component analysis for ore production forecasting at open-pit mines J Rock MechGeotechn Eng (In press).https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrmge.2023.06.005

  45. Putatunda S, Rama K (2019) A modified Bayesian optimization based hyper-parameter tuning approach for extreme gradient boosting. In: Proceeding of the 15th International Conference on Information Processing (ICINPRO). Bengaluru, India, pp 1–6

    Google Scholar 

  46. Arachchilage CB, Huang G, Fan C, Liu WV (2023) Forecasting unconfined compressive strength of calcium sulfoaluminate cement mixtures using ensemble machine learning techniques integrated with shapely-additive explanations. Construct Build Mater 409:134083

    Article  Google Scholar 

  47. Liao X, Khandelwal M, Yang H, Koopialipoor M, Murlidhar BR (2020) Effects of a proper feature selection on prediction and optimization of drilling rate using intelligent techniques. Eng Comput 36:499–510

    Article  Google Scholar 

  48. Armaghani DJ, Koopialipoor M, Marto A, Yagiz S (2019) Application of several optimization techniques for estimating TBM advance rate in granitic rocks. J Rock Mech Geotechn Eng 11:779–789

    Article  Google Scholar 

  49. Rana A, Bhagat N, Jadaun G, Rukhaiyar S, Pain A, Singh P (2020) Predicting blast-induced ground vibrations in some Indian tunnels: a comparison of decision tree, artificial neural network and multivariate regression methods. Mining, Metallur Explor 37:1039–1053

    Article  Google Scholar 

  50. Ambrosius WT (2007) Topics in biostatistics,. Springer Science & Business Media, Totowa

    Book  Google Scholar 

  51. Marcu DC, Grava C (2021) The impact of activation functions on training and performance of a deep neural network, 2021 16th International Conference on Engineering of Modern Electric Systems (EMES), IEEE, Oradea, Romania, pp. 1-4

  52. Chen B, Liu Y, Zhang C, Wang Z (2020) Time series data for equipment reliability analysis with deep learning. IEEE Access 8:105484–105493

    Article  Google Scholar 

  53. Saltelli A (1999) Sensitivity analysis: Could better methods be used? J Geophys Res: Atmos 104:3789–3793

    Article  Google Scholar 

  54. Al-Chalabi H, Lundberg J, Ahmadi A, Jonsson A (2015) Case study: model for economic lifetime of drilling machines in the Swedish mining industry. Eng Econ 60:138–154

    Article  Google Scholar 

  55. de Werk M, Ozdemir B, Ragoub B, Dunbrack T, Kumral M (2017) Cost analysis of material handling systems in open pit mining: Case study on an iron ore prefeasibility study. Eng Economist 62:369–386

    Article  Google Scholar 

  56. Ozdemir B, Kumral M (2019) A system-wide approach to minimize the operational cost of bench production in open-cast mining operations,. Int J Coal Sci Technol 6:84–94

    Article  Google Scholar 

  57. Hasanipanah M, Amnieh HB, Arab H, Zamzam MS (2018) Feasibility of PSO–ANFIS model to estimate rock fragmentation produced by mine blasting. Neural Comput Applic 30:1015–1024

    Article  Google Scholar 

  58. Fan C, Zhang N, Jiang B, Liu WV (2023) Weighted ensembles of artificial neural networks based on Gaussian mixture modeling for truck productivity prediction at open-pit mines. Mining, Metallur Explor 40:583–598

    Article  Google Scholar 

  59. Schexnayder C, Weber SL, Brooks BT (1999) Effect of truck payload weight on production. J Construct Eng Manag 125:1–7

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The University of Alberta supported this project through a Collaborative Research Project [RES0043251] and a Pilot Seed Grant [RES0049944]. Omer Faruk Ugurlu is now affiliated with the Mining Engineering Department at Istanbul University - Cerrahpasa, Turkey.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Omer Faruk Ugurlu: Generation of concepts, Research design, Implementation of code, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing, Data representation.

Chengkai Fan: Initiation of Research Gap and Innovation, Generation of concepts, Research design, Writing - review & editing.

Bei Jiang: Supervision, Writing - review & editing.

Wei Victor Liu: Initiation of Research Gap and Innovation, Resources, Supervision, Writing - review & editing, Funding acquisition.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Bei Jiang or Wei Victor Liu.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The author(s) stated that no reported conflicts of interest existed.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Omer Faruk Ugurlu and Chengkai Fan contributed equally and shared the order of first authors.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ugurlu, O.F., Fan, C., Jiang, B. et al. Deep Neural Network Models for Improving Truck Productivity Prediction in Open-pit Mines. Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration 41, 619–636 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-024-00924-4

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-024-00924-4

Keywords

Navigation