Defining Optimization
Bentham (1776/2001) states that a ‘fundamental axiom […] is the greatest happiness of the greatest number that is the measure of right and wrong’. This is the greatest happiness principle and the basis of utilitarian philosophy. Conversely, Popper (1952) states that ‘human suffering makes a direct moral appeal for help, while there is no similar call to increase the happiness of a man who is doing well anyway’. This approach is called negative utilitarianism. According to what is considered the best approach, utilitarianism or negative utilitarianism, what I mean when using the term optimization is different.
In utilitarianism, optimization can be defined as achieving the highest influence of happiness with the lowest need for financial resources, see Table 1 in which low-cost public policies having high positive influence on happiness is what is sought.
Table 1 The utilitarianist cost-happiness matrix for public policies There can be different kinds of utilitarianist optimization between public spending and social conditions for happiness:
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a.
improving social conditions for happiness while keeping the same degree of public spending
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b.
reducing public spending while keeping the same degree of quality of social conditions for happiness
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c.
improving social conditions for happiness, but less than in option (a), and decreasing public spending, but less than in option (b)
In negative utilitarianism, optimization can be defined as achieving the highest positive influence on the happiness of the least happy/ the saddest with the lowest need for financial resources, see Table 2 in which low-cost public policies having high positive influence on the happiness of the least happy/ the saddest is what is sought.
Table 2 The negative utilitarianist cost-happiness matrix for public policies There can be different kinds of negative utilitarianist optimization between public spending and social conditions for happiness:
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a.
improving social conditions for happiness of the least happy/ the saddest while keeping the same degree of public spending
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b.
reducing public spending while keeping the same quality of social conditions for happiness of the least happy/ the saddest
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c.
improving social conditions for happiness of the least happy/the saddest, but less than in option (a), and decreasing public spending, but less than in option (b).
As I value negative utilitarianism more, I consider that it is always best to begin with a negative utilitarianist approach rather than with a utilitarianist approach and I propose the following process. First, identify the less happy people, understand how public policies can create a more favourable environment for them and implement such policies; then, understand how public policies can create a favourable environment for the greatest happiness for the greatest number, and implement such policies; finally, understand if specific public policies can explain the degree of happiness of the happiest people, and, if they do, understand how they do and implement such policies.
The Bookkeeping Approach and the Econometric Approach
There is a simple tool to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness. The idea is to design a public policy or part of it to improve social conditions for happiness, whether in a utilitarianist approach or, as I prefer, in a negative utilitarianist approach. This design can be made by doing a literature review, and using the World Database of Happiness can help, or by doing a Delphi study, see as an example Buettner et al. (2020). We then have to assess the cost of the new policy and compare this cost to the cost of the current policy. The assessment can be made using line item budget, a program budget or a performance budget. Finally, we have to decide if we change the policy or not. This tool falls within a bookkeeping approach. If the happiness policy is implemented, we will have to determine if the expected results have been reached.
The econometric approach is more complex and needs more explanation. In the following subsections, I will present the useful data to collect for the econometric approach, explain why quantile regression is the best tool in a negative utilitarianist and econometric approach, and provide an econometric model to help optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness.
Useful Variables in the Econometric Approach
At least seven kinds of variables can be used to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness when an econometric approach is taken. We will explain how these variables can be used to optimize the relationship between happiness and social conditions for happiness in subsection 4.5.
Measure(s) of Happiness
How happiness is measured depends on how happiness is defined. In my opinion, the best definition of happiness is how much one likes the life one leads and a relevant measure is the single-item scale ‘How much do you like the life you lead?’, however, other definitions and measures of happiness exist and can be used. The more dimensions a definition of happiness has, the more dimensions the subsequent measure of happiness has, and the more calculations will have to be done when trying to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness.
Measures of Sociodemographic Features
These measures are traditionally gathered in a scientific study. Here I propose a list of such measures, however, this list is not comprehensive and should be adapted and extended to the specific research field: gender, age, education, culture, native language, race, income, wealth, marital status, occupational status, health condition, homeownership status, neighbourhood, i.e. urban or rural, district, etc. Such measures allow us to:
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know if some categories of people are least happy/sadder than others
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control the representativeness of a study regarding each feature, selection bias being often a major limitation of studies
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study a specific population, for example the homeless or the unemployed.
Objective Measures of Collective Determinants of Happiness
An objective measure is a measure that is not drawn from the perceptions of a human being, for example measured electricity consumption or the number of medical doctors per 1,000 inhabitants in an area. Any objective measure can be used statistically if it fulfils two conditions. One: data have been collected at the individual level or at a group level. Two: there are at least some thirty individuals or groups. If data fulfil these two conditions, then we can use it in econometric models.
Subjective Measures of Collective Determinants of Happiness
Subjective measures can be much easier to use than objective measures, because they are collected at the same level as measures of happiness, the level of the individual. Two examples of these measures can be ‘How satisfied are you with the public transportation system in your city?’ and ‘How satisfied are you with the public transportation policy of the city?’.
A subjective measure is a measure that results from the perceptions of a human being. As perceptions can be false or imprecise, some people may think that objective measures are better than subjective measures, however, perceptions have a value, whether they are a good assessment of reality or not, because these perceptions may influence the degree of happiness of an individual and may be exposed behaviourally. Observed perceptions can sometimes be an indication that an objective measure is biased.
At least two kinds of subjective data on collective determinants of happiness are interesting for us to collect: one, data on an individual’s feelings on the current quality of different domains, that is how people feel about a current situation, and two, data on an individual’s feelings about current policies for these different domains, how people feel about the direction of the efforts to modify a situation or the fact that a current situation is seen to be unchanged. We use the word ‘feelings’ and the associated verb rather than the word ‘perception’ to show that both domain satisfaction measures and affect measures exist and can be assessed. Subjective appraisal may be cognitive, affective or both. All domains of public policies can become a topic for subjective assessment and each domain can be investigated in-depth.
Financial Measures
We can use two kinds of financial data to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness: a detailed budget and different index.
A detailed budget is useful to understand which budget item should receive more finance, less or to stay stable, given the results of some form of measurement of happiness. The detailed budget can be a line item budget, a program budget or a performance budget. If the authority is divided into more than thirty districts and financial data are available for each district, it is possible to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness study using econometric tools. If authorities want to help each other to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness, there need to be more than thirty members in the group for the econometric tools to be used effectively.
There is a field of research on finance in which researchers create new measures with existing data and use these measures to understand better finance. It is possible to create an index of what an authority has spent for each inhabitant, not the average public spending per inhabitant because such a measure does not allow us to discriminate inhabitants, but an estimate of the amount of money spent per inhabitant individually. Practically, it can be done as follows. If it is not possible to discriminate expenditure per inhabitant, we can use an average. If it is possible, then we discriminate per inhabitant. For example, take education, we consider that no public money is spent for people without children and public money is spent on people with children. The amount of money spent can vary depending on the age of a child and the services or the lack of services provided by the authority. Such a general index is constructed, by definition, using multiple policy-specific indexes that can also be used independently. As creating and using financial indexes is a new field, any results stemming from this approach must be considered cautiously. For example, a district with the highest degree of violence could be among the districts where inhabitants are the unhappiest and where spending more public money may help to solve the issues. The use of an index as I have described can lead to awkward results if they are not used properly.
Control Variables
A control variable is a variable that may affect the dependent variable in a regression, it is used to take into account its effect on a dependant variable so that we can ignore it and just study the relationships between the independent variables and the dependent variable. According to a situation, some of the variables I have presented can be used as control variables. For example, income and wealth may have been used as control variables in a previous example on happiness, violence, and public spending. Measures of personality traits can be useful control variables. Some traits are positively linked with happiness, while other traits are negatively associated with it, however, it may be complicated, or even unethical or illegal, for an authority to ask inhabitants to answer questions regarding their personality traits.
Measures for Special Topics
If a follow-up study is conducted on a specific topic, specific measures may be useful. For example, if the studied population is victims during and after legal proceedings, data may need to be collected more frequently to arrive at a better understanding on how the affects of being a victim evolve. Specific measures can be used to get information about specific domains such as police behaviour, judges’ behaviour, ease of understanding legal proceedings, quality of victim support, etc.
Negative Utilitarianism and Quantile Regression
While utilitarianism emphasizes the greater happiness of the greater number, negative utilitarianism focused on the least happy/the saddest people, however, it is difficult to define precisely who they are, because a threshold has to be defined. This threshold may be a percentage of the whole population, a degree of declared happiness, or a deviation from the average or the median.
Unlike classical regressions that model the way the conditional means vary depending on independent variables, quantile regression allows us to determine how each quantile varies depending on independent variables. The quantile regression has at least three advantages. One: quantile regression facilitates negative utilitarianist optimization, because it makes possible to know which independent variables influence most the degrees of appreciation of life of the least happy/ the saddest. Note that quantile regression also makes it possible to determine the influence of an independent variable for the median people and the happiest.
Two: implementing a public policy for the least happy/the saddest does not mean that this policy has no impact on the rest of that population. Given the variations in the impact of independent variables, quantile regression allows us to grasp how the impact of independent variables varies according to the degree of happiness of participants. It is possible to see the consequences of the most important variables for the least happy/ the saddest people for other people in their population, whether these variables help to build public policies or are about public policies.
Three: using quantile regression makes the precise definition of a threshold between the least happy/the saddest and the other less important. That either we define the least happy/the saddest of a population as the x % less happy or the people who declare to be under y on a 1 to 10 scale, or as the influence of a public policy for the least happy/the saddest will also have an influence on the rest of the population, the threshold we define can be voluntarily fuzzy.
An Econometric Model
We will now propose a simple model that can be used to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness.
This econometric model can be developed using classical OLS regression when it falls within an utilitarianist approach, however, as I prefer a negative utilitarianist approach, I think it is better to use quantile regression.
From a statistical point of view, optimization needs causality and variance. A causal relationship allows us to make predictions about the consequence of a change. ‘It will tell us what could happen in an alternative world’ (Angrist & Pischke, 2009). In a situation in which it is difficult to prove causality, it is possible to use correlational findings on one condition: one must be aware of their limitations. The best way to collect data when it is not possible to conduct an experiment is to have a time lag between the time when data on independent variables are collected and the time when data on dependent variables are collected. Not all independent variables need this, for example age, happiness cannot change the number of years a person have been alive, but most of the independent variable need this treatment.
Variance is useful because we cannot measure the influence of one phenomenon over another if neither of the two phenomena change overtime. It is even possible to create variance rather than just using existing variance: every implementation of a new public policy may create variance and this variance can be used to extract more intelligence from the data. The most interesting kinds of variance are intra-individual and inter-individual variance, because happiness is measured at an individual level, but using intra-individual variance needs more than one data collection and using intra-individual and inter-individual variances are only possible if the other data used are also collected or assessed at an individual level. This is not usually the case for financial measures and objective measures of collective determinants of happiness. It is also possible to want to compare data at another level than the individual level, for example cities, regions or states that might want to work together to implement happiness policies. As my aim with this paper is to help any authority to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness, I have focused this paper on what an authority can do by itself, however, it is possible for authorities to cooperate, collect the same kinds of data and use inter-authority variance to get more variance and more intelligence from a wider set of data.
We can optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness directly. The measure of happiness used in the econometric model should be collected at time t and financial measures collected at time t-n (n ≥ 1). In doing this, we cannot be sure there is a causal link from public spending to happiness, however, we will at least obtain a longitudinal correlation.
What is the influence of different kinds of public spending on happiness according to numbers? The econometric solution is:
$$happiness_{{\text{i}}} = financial~measures_{{\text{i}}} ~.~\beta _{{\text{i}}} + \varepsilon _{{\text{i}}}$$
(1)
where financial measures represent a vector of many specific budgets.
This equation is basic and it is possible to have a more elaborated econometric model. For example, when a financial measure is used, this variable often receives a logarithmic transformation. It can also be relevant to use control variable. Using this equation allows us to distinguish what the impact of each specific budget on happiness is. If we use quantile regression, it allows us to see how each specific budget may have a different impact on the degree of happiness of each quantile of inhabitants. Thus, it becomes possible to know if it would be a good idea to increase, reduce or stabilize a specific budget. The decision making still belongs to decision makers, however, the decision makers can make better informed decisions.
We can also optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness indirectly. The word indirectly here is used to mean that we use measures that are not financial but that allow an authority to choose better its public policies so that these policies will have a higher impact on happiness and, or a lower cost. There are at least three ways to realize this objective, one is to use sociodemographic features:
$$happiness_{{\text{i}}} = sociodemographic~features_{{\text{i}}} ~.~\beta _{{\text{i}}} + \varepsilon _{{\text{i}}}$$
(2a)
where the sociodemographic features are a vector of the sociodemographic features. The measure of happiness should be collected at time t and the measures of objective variables of collective determinants of happiness should be collected at time t-n (n ≥ 1).
Studying the relationship between sociodemographic features and happiness allow us to know the average degree of happiness of each group within a population so that it is possible to develop specific public policies to target the unhappiest groups. People with a low degree of happiness can be found in groups with a high degree of happiness and people with a high degree of happiness can be found in groups with a low degree of happiness, however, studying the relationship between sociodemographic features will allow authorities to take more relevant action by targeting specific sociodemographic groups. The consequence will be a better allocation of financial resources when it comes to using financial resources to influence social conditions for happiness in a negative utilitarianist way. Policy makers can target the unhappiest groups more and the happiest groups less. Financial optimization is not precise, but the allocation of financial resources will be better. Note: it is possible that targeting less the happiest group may lead to political issues.
Two: is to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness indirectly using objective measures of collective determinants of happiness:
$$happiness_{{\text{i}}} = objective~variables~of~collective~determinants~of~happiness_{{\text{i}}} ~.~\beta _{{\text{i}}} + \varepsilon _{{\text{i}}}$$
(2b)
where the objective variables of collective determinants are a vector of objective variables of collective determinants. The measure of happiness should be collected at time t and the measures of objective variables of collective determinants of happiness should be collected at time t-n (n ≥ 1).
An authority can use the result of this equation to understand if a public policy needs to be implemented, reinforced or abandoned. Imagine a determinant that is the result of a public policy or that can be influenced by implementing a public policy. If this determinant has a positive influence on happiness of the least happy/ the sadder, then the public policy can be reinforced. If this determinant has no influence, then the public policy can be reduced or even suppressed. If the determinant has a positive influence on the happiness of the happiest or if it has a negative influence on happiness, then it is possible to reduce or suppressed the associated public policy. It is these ways that the equation can be used to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness.
Three: is to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness indirectly using subjective measures of collective determinants of happiness:
$$happiness_{{\text{i}}} = subjective~variables~of~collective~determinants~of~happiness_{{\text{i}}} ~.~\beta _{{\text{i}}} + \varepsilon _{{\text{i}}}$$
(2c)
where the subjective variables of collective determinants are a vector of subjective variables of collective determinants. The measure of happiness should be collected at time t and the measures of subjective variable of collective determinants of happiness should be collected at time t-n (n ≥ 1).
There is one difference between how the results obtained using subjective measures of collective determinants of happiness should be used and how the results obtained using objective measures of collective determinants of happiness should be used. It is more difficult to analyse results obtained using subjective measures, because it can be unclear, if a result shows a relationship between a subjective measure of a collective determinant of happiness and social conditions for happiness, whether a policy should be implemented or reinforced, or whether the perceptions of inhabitants should be modified, or both. This is why it is important to use objective measures when deciding happiness policies whenever possible.
After happiness policies based on negative utilitarianist optimization have been implemented successfully, it is possible to use updated data and quantile regression for utilitarianist optimization and implementation of happiness policies for the greater happiness of the greater number. After happiness policies based on utilitarianist optimization have been implemented successfully, it is possible to use updated data and quantile regression for optimization and implementation of happiness policies by learning from the happiest. It is possible to use the same method to know more about a specific domain and optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness in that domain; we just need specific data for specific, in-depth study.
Limitations
There are at least four limitations to the two methods useful for optimizing the relationship between public spending and social condition for happiness, i.e. the bookkeeping method and the econometric method. One: self-selection bias. There are two kinds of people: those will participate in a study and respond to questions and those who will not. We cannot deal with this difference and this difference may hide other problems. If we have data on a whole population, it is possible to control if our sample is representative for the features we can control.
Two: people have a tendency to present themselves in the most favourable manner they can relative to prevailing social norms in human interactions. This tendency is called social desirability bias. A feeling of anonymity when answering a questionnaire reduces and even makes this tendency disappear. It is possible that for some populations such as the homeless or seniors that human interaction will be necessary to collect data rather than relying on anonymous collection via the Internet, this will reduce their feeling of anonymity and increase social desirability bias.
Three: people need freedom and confidence to respond directly, stating what they feel. This means that they need to know that their responses will not be overseen and cannot be used against them. The higher the degree of feeling of freedom in a country, the higher the likelihood people will respond freely saying what they think.
Four: people can behave strategically. If happiness becomes increasingly important with respect to building public policies, certain people may respond according to effects they want to provoke rather than with answers that reflect what they truly feel. Researchers in psychology use various methods to avoid such behaviours and to control for them, such as the way they structure a questionnaire and how they pay statistical attention to extreme values.
Reducing Premature Deaths
We have seen that policies aimed at reducing early deaths tend to be happiness policies. The more premature a death is, the more important it is that public policies should be implemented aimed at avoiding such deaths.
There are two situations. Either we have a record of the cause of every premature death, and we can use it, or we do not, then we have to generate a record. Such a record will allow authorities to build relevant happiness policies and prioritize public spending. The prioritization may be done using two indicators: the prematurity of a death and its cause. The more premature deaths a cause makes, the more important the prevention of this cause will become.
As the causes of premature deaths can change from one authority to another, public policies will also need to change their approaches. An authority can adapt its public policies to its specific record, however, this is not possible for authorities with small populations, because the results may not be representative of a particular population.
Implementing a public policy for a specific cause of premature death may be difficult and choices must be made. For example, to reduce the childhood cancer rate, research, medicine, and a better environment might be simultaneously necessary and fostering a better environment for children is not just about money, it is also about producing differently. Finding trade-offs between conditions required to reduce premature deaths will allow authorities to spend more effectively.
Conclusion
My aim with this paper was to bring to local, regional, national and supranational authorities a set of simple methods for optimizing the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness. I consider that people in our world could be much happier than they are and that public policies based on the advancements being made in the science of happiness are a leading means to fulfil this goal.
In this paper, we saw that how much one likes the life one leads may be the best definition of happiness; that a single-item scale allows us to measure happiness defined in this way. That the duration of life counts in happiness. That it is possible to develop public policies that foster the social conditions for happiness. That an ethical framework allows us to delimitate what happiness policies are so that happiness does not become a tyranny. That it is possible to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness in an utilitarianist way and in a negative utilitarianist way. That negative utilitarianism may be a better choice, because the suffering of human beings makes a direct moral appeal for help. That it is possible to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness using a bookkeeping method and an econometric method. That the econometric method may need or requires some variables such as a measure of happiness, measures of sociodemographic features, objective and subjective measures of collective determinants of happiness, and financial measures. That the econometric method requires we use quantile regression in the negative utilitarianist perspective. That it is possible to have some insights to optimize the relationship between public spending and happiness using some basic equations. That the two methods discussed here have the limitations of subjective data, because happiness is mainly a subjective phenomenon. Finally, that optimizing the relationship between public spending and the objective dimension of happiness, duration of life, is also complicated.
Future research on how to optimize the relationship between public spending and social conditions for happiness is needed, because the methods, as presented above, are basic and needs to be developed further. In a world already suffering from ecological damages and threatened by more, it may also be possible to develop the methods further to optimize the relationship between consumption of natural resources and happiness. In this perspective, financial resources would be replaced by natural resources, and my methods could be adapted to accommodate this change.