Abstract
Within the current seismology domain, earthquake magnitude prediction has become paramount since conventional approaches often need to improve precision and prognostic capability. This study discusses the urgent need for a prediction model that is more precise and dependable. The study presents a novel approach that utilizes sophisticated artificial neural networks (ANNs) and incorporates the tabu-search technique for hyperparameter tweaking to improve the model. The research employs a rigorous methodology using a comprehensive dataset that documents occurrences of earthquakes. The artificial neural network (ANN) model is trained across 50 epochs, with a batch size of 32. The key results demonstrate a significant R-squared value of 33.9%, indicating the improved predictive capacity of the model in estimating earthquake magnitudes. The mean absolute error (MAE) highlights its precision by exhibiting a variance of just 0.0806 units. The present study signifies a groundbreaking methodology for forecasting earthquake magnitudes, which has significant ramifications for seismic engineering and safety protocols.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, upon request.
References
Al Khazaleh, M., & Bisharah, M. (2023). Ann-based prediction of cone tip resistance with tabu-search optimization for geotechnical engineering applications. Asian Journal of Civil Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00693-3
Al Yamani, W. H., Ghunimat, D. M., & Bisharah, M. M. (2023). Modeling and predicting high-performance concrete compressive strength sensitivity using machine learning methods. Asian Journal of Civil Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00614-4
Ali, T., Eldin, M. N., & Haider, W. (2023). The effect of soil-structure interaction on the seismic response of structures using machine learning, finite element modeling and ASCE 7-16 methods. Sensors, 23(4), 2047. https://doi.org/10.3390/s23042047
Alkhdour, A., Khazaleh, M. A., Mnaseer, R. A., Bisharah, M., Alkhadrawi, S., & Al-Bdour, H. (2023). Optimizing soil settlement/consolidation prediction in Finland clays: Machine learning regressions with Bayesian hyperparameter selection. Asian Journal of Civil Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00704-3
Almahameed, B. A., & Bisharah, M. (2023). Applying machine learning and particle swarm optimization for predictive modeling and cost optimization in construction project management. Asian Journal of Civil Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00843-7
Al-Rawashdeh, M., Al Nawaiseh, M., Yousef, I., Bisharah, M., Alkhadrawi, S., & Al-Bdour, H. (2023). Predicting building damage grade by earthquake: A bayesian optimization-based comparative study of machine learning algorithms. Asian Journal of Civil Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00771-6
Arabiat, A., Al-Bdour, H., & Bisharah, M. (2023). Predicting the construction projects time and cost overruns using K-nearest neighbor and artificial neural network: A case study from Jordan. Asian Journal of Civil Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00649-7
Bingöl, A. F., Tortum, A., & Gül, R. (2013). Neural networks analysis of compressive strength of lightweight concrete after high temperatures. Materials & Design, 1980–2015(52), 258–264. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matdes.2013.05.022
Capacci, L., Biondini, F., & Frangopol, D. M. (2022). Resilience of aging structures and infrastructure systems with emphasis on seismic resilience of bridges and road networks: Review. Resilient Cities and Structures, 1(2), 23–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rcns.2022.05.001
Estêvão, J. (2018). Feasibility of using neural networks to obtain simplified capacity curves for seismic assessment. Buildings, 8(11), 151. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings8110151
Fajfar, P. (2017). Analysis in seismic provisions for buildings: Past, present and future. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 16(7), 2567–2608. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-017-0290-8
Fei, Y., Liao, W., Zhang, S., Yin, P., Han, B., Zhao, P., Chen, X., & Lu, X. (2022). Integrated schematic design method for shear wall structures: A practical application of generative adversarial networks. Buildings, 12(9), 1295. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings12091295
Feng, C., Xu, L., Zhao, L., Han, Y., Su, M., & Peng, C. (2022). Prediction of welded joint fatigue properties based on a novel hybrid SPDTRS-CS-ANN method. Engineering Fracture Mechanics, 275, 108824.
Gaytan, J. C. T., Ateeq, K., Rafiuddin, A., Alzoubi, H. M., Ghazal, T. M., Ahanger, T. A., et al. (2022). Ai-based prediction of capital structure: Performance comparison of ANN SVM and LR models. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/8334927
Hwang, S.-H., Mangalathu, S., Shin, J., & Jeon, J.-S. (2021). Machine learning-based approaches for seismic demand and collapse of ductile reinforced concrete building frames. Journal of Building Engineering, 34, 101905. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2020.101905
Iturrarán-Viveros, U., Muñoz-García, A. M., Castillo-Reyes, O., & Shukla, K. (2021). Machine learning as a seismic prior velocity model building method for full-waveform inversion: A case study from Colombia. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 178(2), 423–448. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-021-02655-9
Kalakonas, P., & Silva, V. (2021). Seismic vulnerability modelling of building portfolios using artificial neural networks. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 51(2), 310–327. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.3567
Kauf, C., Tuckute, G., Levy, R. P., Andreas, J., & Fedorenko, E. (2023). Lexical semantic content, not syntactic structure, is the main contributor to ANN-brain similarity of fMRI responses in the language network. Neurobiology of Language. https://doi.org/10.1162/nol_a_00116
Kaveh, A. (2014). Advances in metaheuristic algorithms for optimal design of structures (pp. 9–40). Springer International Publishing.
Kaveh, A., Gholipour, Y., & Rahami, H. (2008). Optimal design of transmission towers using genetic algorithm and neural networks. International Journal of Space Structures, 23(1), 1–19.
Kaveh, A., & Khalegi, A. (1998). Prediction of strength for concrete specimens using artificial neural networks. In: Advances in engineering computational technology (pp. 165–171).
Kaveh, A., & Khavaninzadeh, N. (2023). Efficient training of two ANNs using four meta-heuristic algorithms for predicting the FRP strength. Structures, 52, 256–272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.istruc.2023.03.178
Kaveh, A., & Servati, H. (2001). Design of double layer grids using backpropagation neural networks. Computers & Structures, 79(17), 1561–1568.
Kurani, A., Doshi, P., Vakharia, A., & Shah, M. (2023). A comprehensive comparative study of artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machines (SVM) on stock forecasting. Annals of Data Science, 10(1), 183–208.
Lazaridis, P. C., Kavvadias, I. E., Demertzis, K., Iliadis, L., & Vasiliadis, L. K. (2022). Structural damage prediction of a reinforced concrete frame under single and multiple seismic events using machine learning algorithms. Applied Sciences, 12, 3845. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202203.0188.v1
Li, M., Lin, P., Chen, D., Li, Z., Liu, K., & Tan, Y. (2022). An ANN-based short-term temperature forecast model for mass concrete cooling control. Tsinghua Science and Technology, 28(3), 511–524.
Lira, J. O., Riella, H. G., Padoin, N., & Soares, C. (2022). Computational fluid dynamics (CFD), artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic algorithm (GA) as a hybrid method for the analysis and optimization of micro-photocatalytic reactors: NOx abatement as a case study. Chemical Engineering Journal, 431, 133771.
Liu, Z., & Zhang, S. (2021). Artificial neural network-based method for seismic analysis of concrete-filled steel tube arch bridges. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience, 2021, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/5581637
Lou, H., Gao, B., Jin, F., Wan, Y., & Wang, Y. (2021). Shear wall layout optimization strategy for high-rise buildings based on conceptual design and data-driven tabu search. Computers & Structures, 250, 106546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compstruc.2021.106546
Málaga-Chuquitaype, C. (2022). Machine learning in structural design: An opinionated review. Frontiers in Built Environment. https://doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2022.815717
Mekaoui, N., & Saito, T. (2022). A deep learning-based integration method for hybrid seismic analysis of building structures: Numerical validation. Applied Sciences, 12(7), 3266. https://doi.org/10.3390/app12073266
Nguyen, H. D., Dao, N. D., & Shin, M. (2021). Prediction of seismic drift responses of planar steel moment frames using artificial neural network and extreme gradient boosting. Engineering Structures, 242, 112518. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2021.112518
Pribadi, K. S., Abduh, M., Wirahadikusumah, R. D., Hanifa, N. R., Irsyam, M., Kusumaningrum, P., & Puri, E. (2021). Learning from past earthquake disasters: The need for knowledge management system to enhance infrastructure resilience in Indonesia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 64, 102424. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102424
Shahbazian, A., Rabiefar, H., & Aminnejad, B. (2021). Shear strength determination in RC beams using ANN trained with tabu search training algorithm. Advances in Civil Engineering, 2021, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/1639214
Shehadeh, A., Alshboul, O., Al Mamlook, R. E., & Hamedat, O. (2021). Machine learning models for predicting the residual value of heavy construction equipment: An evaluation of modified decision tree, lightgbm, and XGBoost regression. Automation in Construction, 129, 103827. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2021.103827
Soleymani, A., Jahangir, H., & Nehdi, M. L. (2023). Damage detection and monitoring in heritage masonry structures: Systematic review. Construction and Building Materials, 397, 132402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conbuildmat.2023.132402
Stefanini, L., Badini, L., Mochi, G., Predari, G., & Ferrante, A. (2022). Neural networks for the rapid seismic assessment of existing moment-frame RC buildings. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 67, 102677. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102677
Sun, H., Burton, H. V., & Huang, H. (2021). Machine learning applications for building structural design and performance assessment: State-of-the-art review. Journal of Building Engineering, 33, 101816. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2020.101816
Taflanidis, A. A. (2011). Optimal probabilistic design of seismic dampers for the protection of isolated bridges against near-fault seismic excitations. Engineering Structures, 33(12), 3496–3508. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2011.07.012
Thakkar, A., Mungra, D., Agrawal, A., & Chaudhari, K. (2022). Improving the performance of sentiment analysis using enhanced preprocessing technique and artificial neural network. IEEE Transactions on Affective Computing, 13(4), 1771–1782.
Wani, F. M., Vemuri, J., & Chenna, R. (2023). Influence of near-fault ground motion characteristics and the relative geographical positioning of sites on the seismic response of RC structures. International Journal of Structural Integrity, 14(4), 600–628. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijsi-03-2023-0025
Zakian, P., & Kaveh, A. (2020). Topology optimization of shear wall structures under seismic loading. Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration, 19(1), 105–116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11803-020-0550-5
Zakian, P., & Kaveh, A. (2022). Seismic design optimization of engineering structures: A comprehensive review. Acta Mechanica, 234(4), 1305–1330. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00707-022-03470-6
Funding
The authors did not receive support from any organization for the submitted work.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
WHA and MB wrote the main manuscript text, HHA and NAA prepared figures 1–3. All authors reviewed the manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
All authors certify that they have no affiliations with or involvement in any organization or entity with financial interest or non-financial interest in the subject matter or materials discussed in this manuscript.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Al Yamani, W.H., Bisharah, M., Alumany, H.H. et al. Machine learning in seismic structural design: an exploration of ANN and tabu-search optimization. Asian J Civ Eng 25, 2367–2377 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00913-w
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s42107-023-00913-w