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Comprehensively Assessing PM2.5 Exposure Across Mainland China with Estimated Concentrations Considering Spatial Aggregation

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Abstract

PM2.5 is a main air pollutant in China. Considering the unevenly distributed PM2.5 and population in China, an accurate assessment of PM2.5 exposure is needed. In this study, the population-weighted exposure (PWE) is used to measure the overall PM2.5 exposure based on 2766 counties across mainland China. The population exposure risk (PER) is used to better assess the partial PM2.5 exposure risk level for residents at the county level. The PM2.5 PWE and PER are calculated with the latest 2020 census data and the predicted concentrations estimated by spatial models considering both the geographic similarities and aggregation. The PWE differed from the concentrations across China, especially in four heavily polluted regions and three detected high-concentration clusters. In China, the average PM2.5 PWE in 2019 was 39.46 μg/m3, 2.41 μg/m3 higher than the mean concentration (37.05 μg/m3). The exposure in three detected clusters was much higher than in the Sichuan Basin (SCB), the Pearl River Delta (PRD), and the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), suggesting the focus of environmental governance should not only be the traditional heavily polluted areas according to administrative divisions. Regions with high concentrations also differed from regions with high PM2.5 exposure risk. The counties with higher PM2.5 PER were located in east-central and eastern coastal China, different from the distribution of concentrations. This study clarified the necessity of considering spatial aggregation of PM2.5 in LUR models and also emphasized the importance of calculating PM2.5 PWE as exposures in further health effect assessments.

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Funding

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Numbers 81803332 and 82373689) Yue Ma; the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Numbers 81872713) Fei Yin; and the Sichuan Science & Technology Program (Grant Number 2021YFS0181) Yue Ma.

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Contributions

Xuelin Li: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Formal analysis, Data curation, Validation, Writing—original draft, Writing—review & editing. Jingfei Huang: Formal analysis, Data curation, Validation, Writing—original draft, Writing—review & editing. Yi Zhang: Writing—review & editing. Siwei Zhai: Writing—review & editing. Xinyue Tian: Software, Writing—review & editing. Sheng Li: Software, review & editing. Wei Wang: Software, Writing—review & editing. Tao Zhang: Writing—review & editing. Fei Yin: Funding acquisition, Writing—review & editing. Yue Ma: Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Funding acquisition, Writing—original draft, Writing—review & editing.

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Correspondence to Yue Ma.

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The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

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Li, X., Huang, J., Zhang, Y. et al. Comprehensively Assessing PM2.5 Exposure Across Mainland China with Estimated Concentrations Considering Spatial Aggregation. Int J Environ Res 18, 45 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41742-024-00603-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41742-024-00603-8

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