Abstract
Although eye-tracking is useful for investigating economic decision-making processes, it remains unclear whether monetary incentives affect eye movements. The current study used a binary risky choice experiment with two incentive conditions: real incentive and hypothetical incentive. Eye movements, choices, and decision times were recorded and compared. For eye movements, participants’ total fixation durations, and visual transitions between probabilities and outcomes were analyzed. The choice distributions were almost identical between the two conditions. The decision times and total fixation durations were longer for the real incentive conditions. Visual transitions that are consistent with expected-utility-like models were less frequent in the real incentive conditions when the calculation of expected values of lotteries was easy. These findings indicate that decision-making processes, such as information processing patterns and the amount of cognitive effort, are affected by monetary incentives. To ensure that eye-tracking is used to examine economic decision-making processes appropriately, providing monetary incentives is important.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The datasets analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Notes
Russo and Dosher (1983) published a seminal study that examined eye movements between and within alternatives in risky situations. See also (Arieli et al. 2011; Fiedler and Glöckner 2012; Glöckner and Herbold 2011; Stewart et al. 2016; Su et al. 2013). Johnson et al. (2008) used MouseLab to study the choice between gambling procedures. See Orquin and Loose (2013) for a broader review.
Using information acquisition enables a better understanding of economic theories other than decision-making under risky conditions. See also Costa-Gomes et al. (2001); Devetag et al. (2016); Hristova and Grinberg (2005); Jiang et al. (2015); Johnson et al. (2002); Knoepfle et al. (2009); Reutskaja et al. (2011).
Several studies have examined the relationships between incentives and other decision-making processes, such as working memory, neural mechanisms, decision time, and pupil dilation (Heitz et al. 2008; Kahneman and Peavler 1969; Kahneman et al. 1968; Kang et al. 2011; Morgenstern et al. 2013; Small et al. 2005; Wilcox 1993).
Although eye-tracking and MouseLab are useful for analyzing information acquisition, eye-tracking has an advantage, because eye-tracking decreases the likelihood of influencing the decision process (Glöckner and Herbold 2011), and because eye-tracking records natural and unconscious movements whereas MouseLab requires a less natural information acquisition strategy (Lohse and Johnson 1996). Russo and Dosher (1983) argued that eye movements are relatively effortless, can be recorded non-reactively, and are not easily censored by participants.
Tobii Technology T-120 was an integrated model with a display.
The value was equivalent to a threshold 0.84 pixels/ms, with a 120 Hz eye tracker.
The quality of eye-tracking was evaluated by a percentage, calculated by dividing the number of correctly identified gaze samples by the number of attempts to identify the gaze samples, where 100% indicated that eye movements were identified perfectly and 50% indicated that half of the eye movements were not identified. Participants below the 50% level were excluded from the analysis.
The text in the figures is enlarged for readability. The actual size of the text was 20 pt. font to minimize peripheral vision effects.
The location of lotteries (left or right) and the sequence of the choice task were counterbalanced. Each participant performed each task once. No time restriction was imposed in each task.
89.1% of gaze samples were inside the AOI.
Russo and Dosher (1983); Russo and Rosen (1975) conducted the earliest study analyzing eye movements during multi-alternative choices and multi-attribute binary choices. Arieli et al. (2011); Fiedler and Glöckner (2012); Glöckner and Herbold (2011); Stewart et al. (2016); Su et al. (2013) are recent representative studies.
The datasets analyzed in the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Diagonal transitions were rarely observed. For each task and condition, on average, one diagonal transition was observed at most. Therefore, diagonal transitions were not analyzed.
Binomial test, U1[HI]: p = 0.522, U2[HI]: p = 0.731, U3[HI]: p = 0.839, U4[HI]: p = 0.069, U5[HI]: p = 0.235, U6[HI]: p = 0.860, U7[HI]: p = 0.196, U1[RI]: p = 0.824, U2[RI]: p = 0.367, U3[RI]: p = 0.227, U4[RI]: p = 0.364, U5[RI]: p = 0.838, U6[RI]: p = 0.175, U7[RI]: p = 1.000.
Binomial test, U1[HI]: p = 0.844, U2[HI]: p = 0.000, U3[HI]: p = 0.671, U4[HI]: p = 0.049, U5[HI]: p = 0.201, U6[HI]: p = 0.000, U7[HI]: p = 0.003, U1[RI]: p = 0.884, U2[RI]: p = 0.000, U3[RI]: p = 0.850, U4[RI]: p = 0.245, U5[RI]: p = 0.303, U6[RI]: p = 0.001, U7[RI]: p = 0.000.
Arieli et al. (2011) analyzed visual transition only for tasks U1, U2, U3, and U4, but not for U5, U6, and U7.
Dominance tasks U5 and U6 were not analyzed because almost all participants chose lottery A.
References
Arieli A, Ben-Ami Y, Rubinstein A (2011) Tracking decision makers under uncertainty. Am Econ J: Microeconomics 3(4):68–76. https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.3.4.68
Beach LR, Mitchell TR (1978) A contingency model for the selection of decision strategies. Acad Manag Rev 3(3):439–449
Beattie J, Loomes G (1997) The impact of incentives upon risky choice experiments. J Risk Uncertain 14:155–168
Bettman JR, Johnson EJ, Payne JW (1990) A componential analysis of cognitive effort in choice. Organ Behav Hum Decis Process 45(1):111–139
Brändstatter E, Körner C (2014) Attention in risky choice. Acta Physiol (oxf) 152:166–176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actpsy.2014.08.008
Brändstatter E, Gigerenzer G, Hertwig R (2006) The priority heuristic: making choices without trade-offs. Psychol Rev 113(2):409–432. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.113.2.409
Camerer CF (1995) Individual decision making. In: Kagel JH, Roth AE (eds) The handbook of experimental economics. Princeton University Press, NJ, Princeton, pp 587–703
Camerer CF, Hogarth RM (1999) The effects of financial incentives in experiments: a review and capital-labor-production framework. J Risk Uncertain 19(1):7–42. https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1007850605129
Carpenter PA, Just MA (1975) Sentence comprehension: a psycholinguistic processing model of verification. Psychol Rev 82(1):45
Costa-Gomes M, Crawford VP, Broseta B (2001) Cognition and behavior in normal-form games: an experimental study. Econometrica 69(5):1193–1235
Davis DD, Holt CA (1993) Experimental economics. Princeton, Princeton University Press
Devetag G, Di Guida S, Polonio L (2016) An eye-tracking study of feature-based choice in one-shot games. Exp Econ 19(1):177–201. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10683-015-9432-5
Fiedler S, Glöckner A (2012) The dynamics of decision making in risky choice: an eye-tracking analysis. Front Psychol 3:335. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2012.00335
Gächter S, Renner E (2010) The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments. Exp Econ 13(3):364–377. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10683-010-9246-4
Gigerenzer G, Gaissmaier W (2011) Heuristic decision making. Annu Rev Psychol 62(1):451–482
Glaholt MG, Reingold EM (2009a) Stimulus exposure and gaze bias: a further test of the gaze cascade model. Atten Percept Psychophys 71(3):445–450. https://doi.org/10.3758/APP.71.3.445
Glaholt MG, Reingold EM (2009b) The time course of gaze bias in visual decision tasks. Vis Cogn 17(8):1228–1243. https://doi.org/10.1080/13506280802362962
Glöckner A, Betsch T (2008) Do people make decisions under risk based on ignorance? An empirical test of the priority heuristic against cumulative prospect theory. Organ Behav Hum Decis Process 107(1):75–95
Glöckner A, Herbold AK (2011) An eye-tracking study on information processing in risky decisions: Evidence for compensatory strategies based on automatic processes. J Behav Decis Mak 24(1):71–98
Gould JD (1973) Eye movements during visual search and memory search. J Exp Psychol 98(1):184–195
Heitz RP, Schrock JC, Payne TW, Engle RW (2008) Effects of incentive on working memory capacity: behavioral and pupillometric data. Psychophysiology 45(1):119–129. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8986.2007.00605.x
Hertwig R, Ortmann A (2001) Experimental practices in economics: a methodological challenge for psychologists? Behav Brain Sci 24(3):383–451
Holt CA, Laury SK (2002) Risk aversion and incentive effects. Am Econ Rev 92(5):1644–1655
Hristova E, Grinberg M (2005) Information acquisition in the iterated prisoner’s dilemma game: An eye-tracking study. In: Proceedings of the 27th annual conference of the cognitive science society, pp 983–988
Jiang T, Potters J, Funaki Y (2015) Eye-tracking social preferences. J Behav Decis Mak 29(2–3):157–168. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.1899
Johnson EJ, Payne JW (1985) Effort and accuracy in choice. Manage Sci 31(4):395–414
Johnson EJ, Camerer CF, Sen S, Rymon T (2002) Detecting failures of backward induction: monitoring information search in sequential bargaining. J Econ Theory 104(1):16–47. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeth.2001.2850
Johnson EJ, Schulte-Mecklenbeck M, Willemsen MC (2008) Process models deserve process data: comment on Brandstätter, Gigerenzer, and Hertwig (2006). Psychol Rev 115(1):263–272
Just MA, Carpenter PA (1980) A theory of reading: from eye fixations to comprehension. Psychol Rev 87(4):329–354
Kahneman D, Peavler WS (1969) Incentive effects and pupillary changes in association learning. J Exp Psychol 79(2):312–318
Kahneman D, Tversky A (1979) Prospect theory: an analysis of decisions under risk. Econometrica 47:263–292
Kahneman D, Peavler WS, Onuska L (1968) Effects of verbalization and incentive on the pupil response to mental activity. Can J Psychol 22(3):186–196
Kang MJ, Rangel A, Camus M, Camerer CF (2011) Hypothetical and real choice differentially activate common valuation areas. J Neurosci 31(2):461–168
Knoepfle DT, Camerer CF, Wang JT-y (2009) Studying learning in games using eye-tracking. J Eur Econ Assoc 7(2–3):388–398
Krajbich I, Armel C, Rangel A (2010) Visual fixations and the computation and comparison of value in simple choice. Nat Neurosci 13(10):1292–1298
Kühberger A, Schulte-Mecklenbeck M, Perner J (2002) Framing decisions: hypothetical and real. Organ Behav Hum Decis Process 89(2):1162–1175
Lohse GL, Johnson EJ (1996) A comparison of two process tracing methods for choice tasks. Organ Behav Hum Decis Process 68(1):28–43
Loomes G, Sugden R (1982) Regret theory: an alternative theory of rational choice under uncertainty. Econ J 92(368):805–824
Loomes G, Sugden R (1986) Disappointment and dynamic consistency in choice under uncertainty. Rev Econ Stud 53(2):271–282
March JG (1978) Bounded rationality, ambiguity, and the engineering of choice. Bell J Econ 9(2):587–608
Morgenstern R, Heldmann M, Vogt B (2013) Differences in cognitive control between real and hypothetical payoffs. Theor Decis 77(4):557–582
Newell A, Simon HA (1972) Human problem solving. Englewood Cliffs, Prentice-hall
Orquin JL, Loose SM (2013) Attention and choice: a review on eye movements in decision making. Acta Physiol (oxf) 144(1):190–206
Payne JW, Bettman JR, Johnson EJ (1993) The adaptive decision maker. Cambridge University Press, New York
Rayner K (1978) Eye movements in reading and information processing. Psychol Bull 85(3):618–660
Reutskaja E, Nagel R, Camerer CF, Rangel A (2011) Search dynamics in consumer choice under time pressure: an eye-tracking study. Am Econ Rev 101(2):900–926
Roth AE (1995) Introduction to experimental economics. In: Kagel JH, Roth AE (eds) The handbook of experimental economics. Princeton University Press, NJ, Princeton, pp 3–109
Russo JE (2011) Eye fixations as a process trace. In: Schulte-Mecklenbeck M, Kühberger A, Ranyard R (eds) A handbook of process tracing methods for decision research: a critical review and user’s guide. Psychology Press, New York, pp 43–64
Russo JE, Dosher BA (1983) Strategies for multiattribute binary choice. J Exp Psychol Learn Mem Cogn 9(4):676–696
Russo JE, Rosen LD (1975) An eye fixation analysis of multiattribute choice. Mem Cognit 3(3):267–276
Shimojo S, Simion C, Shimojo E, Scheier C (2003) Gaze bias both reflects and influences preference. Nat Neurosci 6(12):1317–1322
Simon HA (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice. Quart J Econ 69(1):99–118
Simon HA (1957) Models of man; social and rational
Simon HA (1978) Rationality as process and as product of thought. Am Econ Rev 68(2):1–16
Small DM, Gitelman D, Simmons K, Bloise SM, Parrish T, Mesulam M-M (2005) Monetary incentives enhance processing in brain regions mediating top-down control of attention. Cereb Cortex 15(12):1855–1865
Smith VL (1976) Experimental economics: induced value theory. Am Econ Rev 66(2):274–279
Smith VL (1982) Microeconomic systems as an experimental science. Am Econ Rev 72(5):923–955
Smith VL (1991) Rational choice: the contrast between economics and psychology. J Polit Econ 99(4):877–897
Smith VL, Walker JM (1993a) Monetary rewards and decision cost in experimental economics. Econ Inq 31(2):245–261
Smith VL, Walker JM (1993b) Rewards, experience and decision costs in first price auctions. Econ Inq 31(2):237–244
Stewart N, Hermens F, Matthews WJ (2016) Eye movements in risky choice. J Behav Decis Mak 29(2–3):116–136
Su Y, Rao L-L, Sun H-Y, Du X-L, Li X, Li S (2013) Is making a risky choice based on a weighting and adding process? An eye-tracking investigation. J Exp Psychol Learn Mem Cogn 39(6):1765–1780
Taylor MP (2017) Information acquisition under risky conditions across real and hypothetical settings. Econ Inq 55(1):352–367
Tversky A (1969) Intransitivity of preferences. Psychol Rev 76(1):31
Tversky A, Kahneman D (1992) Advances in prospect theory: cumulative representation of uncertainty. J Risk Uncertain 5(4):297–323
von Neumann J, Morgenstern O (1944) Theory of games and economic behavior. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Wallis WA, Friedman M (1942) The empirical derivation of indifference functions. In: Lange O, McIntyre F, Yntema TO (eds) Studies in mathematical economics and econometrics: in memory of Henry Schultz. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, pp 175–189
Wilcox NT (1993) Lottery choice: Incentives, complexity and decision time. Econ J 103(421):1397–1417
Acknowledgements
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to Professor Yukihiko Funaki for his thoughtful guidance and support.
Funding
The author acknowledges support from JSPS KAKENHI Grant Numbers 15H06685 and 19K13656.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The author has no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Communicated by Maomi Ueno.
About this article
Cite this article
Uto, N. Monetary incentives and eye movements: an eye-tracking investigation in a risky choice experiment with real and hypothetical incentives. Behaviormetrika 51, 75–97 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41237-023-00210-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41237-023-00210-5