Skip to main content
Log in

Modeling the Effect of Interference and Gestation Delay in an Interacting Good Biomass and Bird Population: An Application to Wetland Ecosystem

  • Research
  • Published:
Thalassas: An International Journal of Marine Sciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper analyzes the interacting good bio-mass and bird population for the wetland system of Keoladeo National Park (KNP). The system dynamics is analyzed with and without time delay. The bifurcating periodic solution properties are investigated by normal form and central manifold arguments. The computer simulation is performed to validate the analytical findings that show the different dynamical outcomes such as stable and oscillatory dynamics in the absence of time delay. The numerical computation is performed for the delayed system and the stability behavior of gestation delay for different cases is investigated. The system dynamics show the chaotic behavior when the two crucial parameters (carrying capacity of good biomass and intensity of interference of bird population) have a high time delay value. Further, the diffusion-induced instability conditions are derived. The obtained spatial patterns show that the time and intensity of interference can change the spatial distributions, and the hot and cold spots pattern appears in the whole domain.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13
Fig. 14

Similar content being viewed by others

Availability of Data and Materials

Data sharing not applicable to this article as no datasets were generated or analyzed during the current study.

References

  • Abbas S, Banerjee M, Hungerbühler N (2010) Existence, uniqueness and stability analysis of allelopathic stimulatory phytoplankton model. J Math Anal Appl 367:249–259

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Agrawal R, Jana D, Upadhyay RK, Rao VSH (2017) Complex dynamics of sexually reproductive generalist predator and gestation delay in a food chain model: double Hopf-bifurcation to Chaos. J Appl Math Comput 55:513–547

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen B, Wang M (2008) Qualitative analysis for a diffusive predator-prey model. Comp Math Appl 55:339–355

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chopra K, Adhikari SK (2004) Environment development linkage: modeling a wetland system for ecological and economic value. Environ Dev Econ 9:19–45

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cui GH, Yan XP (2011) Stability and bifurcation analysis on a three species food chain system with two delays. Commun Nonlinear Sci Numer Simulat 16:3704–3720

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das S, Behera B, Mishra A (2015) Determinants of household use of wetland resources in West Bengal, India. Wetlands Ecol Manage 23:803–814

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das P, Upadhyay RK, Misra AK, Rihan FA, Das P, Ghosh D (2021) Mathematical model of COVID-19 with comorbidity and controlling using non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination. Nonlinear Dyn 106(2):1213–27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das P, Nadim SS, Das S, Das P (2021) Dynamics of COVID-19 transmission with comorbidity: a data driven modelling based approach. Nonlinear Dyn 106:1197–211

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das P, Das S, Das P, Rihan FA, Uzuntarla M, Ghosh D (2021) Optimal control strategy for cancer remission using combinatorial therapy: a mathematical model-based approach. Chaos, Solitons Fractals 145:110789

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das S, Das P, Das P (2020) Dynamics and control of multidrug-resistant bacterial infection in hospital with multiple delays. Commun Nonlinear Sci Numer Simul 89:105279

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hassard BD, Kazarinoff ND, Wan YH, Wan YW (1981) Theory and applications of Hopf bifurcation. CUP Archive 41

  • Jana D, Bairagi N, Agrawal R, Upadhyay RK (2013) Modeling the effect of gestation delay of predator on the stability of bifurcating periodic solutions in wetland ecosystem. J Ecol 107:175–189

    Google Scholar 

  • Legendre P, Fortin MJ (1989) Spatial pattern and ecological analysis. Plant Ecol 80:107–138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Malchow H (1993) Spatio-temporal patterns formulation in nonlinear equilibrium plankton dynamics. Proc R Soc Lond B 251:103–109

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Medvinsky AB, Petrovskii SV, Tikhonova IA, Malchow H, Li BL (2002) Spatio-temporal complexity of plankton and fish dynamics. SIAM Rev 44:311–370

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murray JD (1989) Mathematical biology. Springer Verlag, NY

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Ojha A, Thakur NK (2020) Exploring the complexity and chaotic behavior in plankton-fish system with mutual interference and time delay. BioSystems 198:104283

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Okubo A (1980) Diffusion and ecological problems: mathematical models. Springer Verlag, Berlin

    Google Scholar 

  • Petrovskii SV, Malchow H (2014) Wave of chaos: new mechanism of pattern formation in spatiotemporal population dynamics. Theor Popul Biol 59:157–174

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Patra A, Tushar J, Dubey B (2017) Modeling and simulation of a wetland park: An application to Keoladeo National Park, India. Math Comput Simul 134:54–78

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rai V (2008) Modelling a wetland system: the case of Keoladeo National Park (KNP) India. Ecol Model 210:247–252

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rai V, Sedeki AM, Parsad RD, Upadhyay RK, Bhowmick S (2011) Wetlands for water quality management: the science and technology. In: Uhlig U (ed) Current issues in water management, chap 8, pp 163-176

  • Rihan FA, Alsakaji HJ, Rajivganthi C (2020) Stability and hopf bifurcation of three-species prey-predator System with time delays and Allee Effect. Complexity 1-15

  • Rihan FA, Alsakaji HJ (2022) Stochastic delay differential equations of three-species prey-predator system with cooperation among prey species. Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems-S 15(2):245–63

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shukla JB, Dubey B (1996) Effects of changing habitats on species: application to Keoladeo National Park, India. Ecol Model 86:91–99

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shukla VP (1998) Modeling the dynamics of wetland macrophytes: Keoladeo National park wetland, India. Ecol Model 109:99–114

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Song YL, Wei JJ (2004) Bifurcation analysis for Chen’s system with delayed feedback and its application to control of chaos. Chaos Solitons Fractals 22:75–91

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharma A (2015) A geographical study of Keoladeo National Park, Bharatpur (Rajasthan) with using remote sensing and GIS

  • Tiwari SK, Upadhyay RK (2017) Conservation of degraded wetland system of Keoladeo National Park, Bharatpur, India. Ecol Complex 32:74–89

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thakur NK, Ojha A (2020) Complex dynamics of delay-induced plankton-fish interaction exhibiting defense. SN Appl Sci 2:1–25

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thakur NK, Ojha A, Tiwari PK, Upadhyay RK (2021) An investigation of delay induced stability transition in nutrient-plankton systems. Chaos Solitons Fractals 142:110474

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thakur NK, Singh R, Ojha A (2022) Dynamical study of harmful algal bloom in Sundarban mangrove wetland with spatial interaction and competing effects. Model Earth Syst Environ 8:555–577

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Upadhyay RK, Kumari N, Rai V (2009) Wave of chaos in a diffusive system: generating realistic patterns of patchiness in planktonfish dynamics. Chaos Solitons Fractals 40:262–276

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Upadhyay RK, Rai V, Tiwari SK (2014) Modeling wetland systems of Keoladeo National Park (KNP), India: the role of space. Wetl Ecol Manag 22(6):605–624

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Upadhyay RK, Mishra S, Dong Y, Takeuchi Y (2019) Exploring the dynamics of a tritrophic food chain model with multiple gestation periods. Math Biosci Eng:MBE 16:4660–4691

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Upadhyay RK, Roy P, Venkataraman C, Madzvamuse A (2016) Wave of chaos in a spatial eco-epidemiological system: generating realistic patterns of patchiness in rabbit-lynx dynamics. Math Biol 281:98–119

    Google Scholar 

  • Upadhyay RK, Wang W, Thakur NK (2010) Spatiotemporal dynamics in a spatial plankton system. Math Model Nat Phenom 8:1–21

    Google Scholar 

  • Vijayan VS (1991) Keoladeo National Park Ecology Study 1980–1990. Final Report Bombay Natural History Society, India (BNHS), Bombay

    Google Scholar 

  • Volpert V (2011) Elliptic Partial Differential Equations. Birkhuser

Download references

Funding

The authors declare they have no financial interests.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Ravikant Singh: Formal analysis, Validation, Writing-original draft. Archana Ojha: Methodology, Validation, Writing-review & editing. Nilesh Kumar Thakur: Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nilesh Kumar Thakur.

Ethics declarations

Ethical Approval

The authors state that this research complies with ethical standards. This research does not involve either human participants or animals.

Competing Interests

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Singh, R., Ojha, A. & Thakur, N.K. Modeling the Effect of Interference and Gestation Delay in an Interacting Good Biomass and Bird Population: An Application to Wetland Ecosystem. Thalassas 40, 539–556 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41208-024-00667-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41208-024-00667-5

Keywords

Navigation