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Demographic Transition and Economic Development in Karnataka

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Abstract

The universal process of population change has significant attainment of social and economic implications at global level. Demographic transition is not only consisting of population growth tendency but much more along with economic consequences Karnataka is in the third stage of demographic transition and this scenario is marked with opportunities and challenges. This paper examines the demographic trends of Karnataka by using different Census data collected from Census reports and time series data over the time period of 1991–2014 collected from SRS. The fertility and mortality levels in the state have declined considerably. The districts in the Karnataka state have shown considerable increment in HDI from decade to decade. The study used the bound testing approach to co-integration; Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was also applied for analyzing the long run relationship whereas Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) was applied for analyzing the short run link of the demographic variables with economic growth. The study exhibited that the demographic transition positively affected the economic growth in the long run and negatively in the short run.

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Fig. 1

Source: Census of India (2011)

Fig. 2

Source: Sample Registration System Bulletins, Registrar General of India

Fig. 3

Source: 2011-Annual Report on Registration of Births and Deaths Act. 1969

Fig. 4

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Statistics, Karnataka Arts College, Dharwad, 580001, India

    M. N. Megeri & G. Manoj Kumar

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  1. M. N. Megeri
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  2. G. Manoj Kumar
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Correspondence to M. N. Megeri.

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Megeri, M.N., Manoj Kumar, G. Demographic Transition and Economic Development in Karnataka. J. Quant. Econ. 16, 173–183 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40953-016-0068-x

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